CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse Prediction

CSKA 1948
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Dunav Ruse
Bistritsa Stadium, Sofia 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.82
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
CSKA 1948 Rest
6 days
Dunav Ruse Rest
4 days

CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse: the result in context

CSKA 1948 beat Dunav Ruse 2-1 in the First League on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.36
X
23%4.68
2
11%7.64
Double Chance
1X
89%1.06
X2
34%3.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%1.89
No
63%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 0.87 = 2.70
Over 1.5
79%1.19
Over 2.5
59%1.63
Over 3.5
30%2.55
Under 1.5
21%4.32
Under 2.5
41%2.21
Under 3.5
70%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Mamadou DialloAssist: Frederic Maciel
24'Vladan Vidaković
39'
46'jordan louis saint
46'Frederic Maciel INBrian Sobrero out
62'Alexander Valiño Navasal
66'Vladan Vidaković INStefan Gavrilov out
72'Jules Meyer INBorislav Tsonev out
72'Mamadou Diallo INElias Correa Franco out
79'Alexander Valiño Navasal INIbrahim Keita out
79'Kristiyan Boychev INElie Sou out
80'Diego Medina INDragan Grivić out
80'Moataz Zemzemi INFlorian Krebs out
89'dimitar todorov
90'Dragan Grivić
90+3'jose cabarcas

Lineups

CSKA 1948
4-4-2Coach: Ognyan Mladenov
Dunav Ruse
3-5-2Coach: E. Lukanov
A. Bozhev31A. Bozhev
O. Gašević22O. Gašević
L. Dvali3L. Dvali
H. Cuellar33H. Cuellar
D. Medina2D. Medina
Frédéric Maciel67F. Maciel
M. Zemzemi8M. Zemzemi
J. Meyer30J. Meyer
G. Rusev11G. Rusev
A. Iliev9A. Iliev
M. Diallo93M. Diallo
G. Kitanov33G. Kitanov
S. Predev22S. Predev
J. Cabarcas4J. Cabarcas
Andre Alves39A. Alves
Jordan Layn Saint-Louis23J. Layn Saint-Louis
K. Boychev10K. Boychev
R. Apostolov14R. Apostolov
V. Vidaković44V. Vidaković
D. Todorov88D. Todorov
Álex Valiño9Á. Valiño
D. Minchev11D. Minchev

CSKA 1948 Substitutes

5B. Benamar
77Elias Franco72'for Mamadou Diallo
96D. Grivić80'for Diego Medina90'
4A. Hoffmann
70K. Iliev
23F. Krebs80'for Moataz Zemzemi
13D. Sheytanov
20B. Sobrero46'for Frederic Maciel
14K. Strinski
10B. Tsonev72'for Jules Meyer

Dunav Ruse Substitutes

6S. Yovkov
19S. Stefanov
78E. Sou79'for Kristiyan Boychev
77A. Simeonov
69P. Pepelyashev
18I. Keïta79'for Alexander Valiño Navasal
24S. Gavrilov66'for Vladan Vidaković
2M. Dilchovski
51I. Budinov
36C. Appiah

Match Stats

CSKA 1948Dunav Ruse
56%Ball Possession44%
7Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards3
12Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal1
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
Dunav RuseDunav Ruse
1665Elo Rating 1521
3.00Attack 2.28
2.11Defense 1.54
81%Hit Rate 69%
13.1Shots per Game 7.0
6.5Shots on Target 4.6
4.1Corners per Game 4.3
2.2Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+144 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CSKA 1948CSKA 1948
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.9 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Dunav RuseDunav Ruse
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Recent Form

Dunav RuseDunav Ruse
1W3D6L
07/09/2026
Dunav RuseSlavia Sofia
01
L
31/08/2026
Dunav RuseLokomotiv Sofia
22
D
21/08/2026
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
31
L
16/08/2026
Lokomotiv PlovdivDunav Ruse
12
W
08/08/2026
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
02
L
02/08/2026
CSKA SofiaDunav Ruse
21
L
27/07/2026
Dunav RuseLudogorets
02
L
17/07/2026
Levski SofiaDunav Ruse
21
L
11/07/2026
Cherno More VarnaDunav Ruse
11
D
01/07/2026
Dunav RuseDobrudzha
11
D

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1091023:4+1928WDWWW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1183027:9+1827WDWWD
3LudogoretsLudogorets1082021:7+1426WWWDD
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481281325:13+1225WLWWL
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1261517:18-119LWWWW
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1152415:17-217LDLLW
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1234511:17-613LWLDD
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia112549:9011LLDWL
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1232715:21-611WWDLL
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1224610:21-1110DLDDW
11Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1216513:20-79DDWLD
12Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv112276:14-88DDLWL
13Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1122710:21-118LLLLD
14Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1113711:22-116LDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia1023:428
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia1127:927
3LudogoretsLudogorets1021:726
4CSKA 1948CSKA 19481225:1325
5Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv1217:1819
6Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali1115:1717
7Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna1211:1713
8Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia119:911
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse1215:2111
10Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa1210:2110
11Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia1213:209
12Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv116:148
13Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia1110:218
14Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna1111:226
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the CSKA 1948 vs Dunav Ruse forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

CSKA 1948 and Dunav Ruse in the First League table

In the First League table, CSKA 1948 are 4th and Dunav Ruse 9th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: CSKA 1948 25-13, Dunav Ruse 15-21. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

CSKA 1948 have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Dunav Ruse have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. CSKA 1948 and Dunav Ruse have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.