Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 10
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco· Jordi Espinoza 20/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskMediumGap-2.8%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.35SignalHIGHModel72%RiskMediumGap+5.5%
Deportivo Garcilaso Rest
6 days
Universitario Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
144%2.40
X29%3.06
227%2.90
Double Chance
1X73%1.35
X256%1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.85
No46%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.62 + 1.24 = 2.86
Over 1.572%1.36
Over 2.548%2.17
Over 3.527%3.91
Under 1.528%2.90
Under 2.552%1.63
Under 3.573%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.561%1.82
Over 9.550%2.33
Over 10.539%3.18
Under 8.539%1.90
Under 9.550%1.52
Under 10.561%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.572%-
Over 4.554%1.67
Under 3.528%-
Under 4.546%2.07
Match Events
6'Héctor Aldair SalazarAssist: Pablo Labrin
10'Pablo Labrin
18'Jorge MurrugarraFoul
19'Agustin Gonzalez
32'Piero QuispeFoul
45'Piero Quispe INAdrian Quiroz out
58'Facundo CastelliAssist: Francisco Arancibia
60'Lisandro Alzugaray INGianluca Lapadula out
66'Gianluca LapadulaFoul
69'Jairo Concha INJordan Guivin out
69'César Inga INJorge Gutiérrez out
76'Facundo Castelli INFernando Pacheco out
79'Alex Valera INBryan Reyna out
81'Francisco Arancibia INChristopher Olivares out
81'Beto Da Silva INAdrian Ascues out
89'Carlos Ramos INJosé Anthony Rosell out
89'Pablo Labrin INL. Ríos out
90+1'Héctor Aldair SalazarFoul
Lineups
Deportivo GarcilasoUniversitario
3-1-4-2Coach: H. Cúper
1P. ZubczukP. Zubczuk
55E. CanalesE. Canales
2A. SalazarA. Salazar
19A. GómezA. Gómez
23X. MorenoX. Moreno
18C. RamosC. Ramos
8A. GonzálezA. González
11F. ArancibiaF. Arancibia
10P. LabrinP. Labrin
30L. da SilvaL. da Silva
9F. CastelliF. Castelli
1D. RomeroD. Romero
4A. SantamaríaA. Santamaría
3W. RiverosW. Riveros
2C. FaraC. Fara
23J. MurrugarraJ. Murrugarra
24A. PoloA. Polo
17J. ConchaJ. Concha
39P. QuispeP. Quispe
33C. IngaC. Inga
30L. Joel AlzugarayLisandro Joel Alzugaray
20A. ValeraA. ValeraDeportivo Garcilaso Substitutes
27A. AscuesM
31J. BarbieriG
35J. MendozaM
24C. OlivaresF
88F. PachecoF
22J. PortalesD
17S. RamírezF
20A. RosellD
7L. RíosF
Universitario Substitutes
77B. ReynaF
15J. RequenaM
28A. QuirózM
18G. LapadulaF
70J. GutiérrezD
21J. GuivinM
8H. FértoliM
29A. CorzoD
25M. VargasG
Match Stats
Deportivo GarcilasoUniversitario 46%Ball Possession54%
4Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
18Total Shots9
11Shots on Goal1
6Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots4
13Fouls10
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves7
437Total Passes514
370Passes Accurate443
9Free Kicks11
Team Comparison
Deportivo GarcilasoUniversitario1679Elo Rating 1697
1.77Attack 2.70
2.11Defense 1.60
59%Hit Rate 77%
15.1Shots per Game 13.5
6.4Shots on Target 6.4
5.6Corners per Game 5.1
2.7Cards per Game 2.8
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.86 goals
📈BTTS Trend49% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Deportivo Garcilaso- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Universitario- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.9 in first half)
Head to Head
Based on 4 historical meetings
Deportivo Garcilaso 0%Draw 73%27% Universitario
1.97Avg Goals
49%BTTS Rate
49%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Deportivo Garcilaso3W1D1L
League Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44:18 | +26 | 56 | WLWDW |
| 2 | Universitario | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39:24 | +15 | 48 | LWDDL |
| 4 |  FBC Melgar | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:29 | +16 | 46 | WLDDL |
| 5 |  Cusco | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40:38 | +2 | 45 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | +5 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 9 |  Sporting Cristal | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48:40 | +8 | 38 | WLLWW |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:26 | +3 | 38 | LLWLL |
| 11 |  Sport Huancayo | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 35 | DDLLL |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42:52 | -10 | 34 | LWLLW |
| 13 |  Atletico Grau | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 32 | LDDDW |
| 14 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 | DDDWL |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 27 | DLLLL |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 | WWLLW |
| 17 |  ADT | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 22 | LDWLD |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 15 | DLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 27 | 44:18 | 56 |
| 2 | Universitario | 27 | 43:31 | 49 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | 39:24 | 48 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 27 | 45:29 | 46 |
| 5 | Cusco | 27 | 40:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 40:35 | 40 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 27 | 48:40 | 38 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 27 | 29:26 | 38 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 27 | 37:44 | 35 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 27 | 42:52 | 34 |
| 13 | Atletico Grau | 27 | 26:31 | 32 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 35:38 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 27 | 41:52 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 27 | 24:41 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 26 | 27:41 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 27 | 32:50 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WLWDW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | LWDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WLDDL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | LWDDL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LDDWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDDWL |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LDWLD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LLWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WWLLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LDDDW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DDLLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LWLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | +12 | 22 | LWDDL |
| 2 | Universitario | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | +3 | 20 | LWDWL |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 19 | LDDWL |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 19 | DDLLL |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 18 | LWLLW |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 | LLWLL |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 18 | LWWLW |
| 10 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 16 | LDDDW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 10 | DLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 7 | WWLLW |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 2 | DLDLW |
| 18 | ADT | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 | LDWLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario | 10 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | Juan Pablo II College | 10 | 20:12 | 18 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 10 | 7:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 10 | 11:24 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 9 | 5:20 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Universitario Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Deportivo Garcilaso have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Universitario have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Deportivo Garcilaso and Universitario have met 4 times recently, averaging 1.97 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.