Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 7
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva, Lima· Sebastian Lozano, Peru 30/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.71SignalHIGHModel63%RiskMediumGap+11.1%
Alianza Lima Rest
6 days
Deportivo Garcilaso Rest
7 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
165%1.32
X22%4.33
213%10.25
Double Chance
1X87%1.05
X235%3.08
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%2.29
No50%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 0.82 = 2.40
Over 1.572%1.27
Over 2.546%1.88
Over 3.524%3.10
Under 1.528%3.45
Under 2.554%1.87
Under 3.576%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 3.6 = 9.8
Over 8.565%1.71
Over 9.553%2.13
Over 10.539%2.83
Under 8.535%2.01
Under 9.547%1.63
Under 10.561%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.8 = 5.1
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.555%1.72
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.545%1.99
Match Events
29'B. Da Silva(Penalty)
41'F. CastelliUnsportsmanlike conduct
45+1'J. VelezFoul
46'Paolo Guerrero INF. Girotti out
46'A. Cantero INC. Neira out
63'F. Castelli INC. Olivares out
72'A. SalazarUnsportsmanlike conduct
75'M. Antoni INC. Carbajal out
75'L. Advincula INA. Burlamaqui out
75'J. Velez INL. Ramos out
81'R. GarcesFoul
82'F. Arancibia INA. Ascues out
88'B. Da Silva INS. Ramirez out
90+3'A. GomezFoul
90+3'N. DiazUnsportsmanlike conduct
Lineups
Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso
4-2-3-1Coach: Lisandro Greppo
1A. DuarteAlejandro Duarte
17L. AdvínculaLuis Advíncula
6R. GarcésRenzo Garcés
3M. AntoniMateo Antoni
2N. DíazNicolás Díaz
5E. PavezEsteban Pavez
7F. GaiborFernando Gaibor
11A. CanteroAlan Cantero
20J. VélezJairo Vélez
34P. GuerreroPaolo Guerrero
8E. CastilloEryc Castillo
1P. ZubczukPatrick Zubczuk
55E. CanalesErick Canales
2A. SalazarAldair Salazar
19A. GomezAgustin Gomez
23X. MorenoXavi Moreno
18C. RamosCarlos Ramos
8A. GonzálezAgustín González
11F. ArancibiaFrancisco Arancibia
10K. SandovalKevin Sandoval
30B. Da SilvaBeto Da Silva
9F. CastelliFacundo CastelliAlianza Lima Substitutes
22Christian NeiraM
99Federico GirottiF
31Cristian CarbajalD
18Alessandro BurlamaquiM
9Luis RamosF
12Ángel de la CruzG
4Gianfranco ChávezD
29Jean Pierre ArchimbaudM
25Gaspar GentileF
Deportivo Garcilaso Substitutes
24Christopher OlivaresF
27Adrián AscuesM
17Sharif RamírezF
31Juniors BarbieriG
6Cesar FloresM
33Samir VillacortaD
22Jefferson PortalesD
20Anthony RosellD
35Joao MendozaM
Match Stats
Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso 71%Ball Possession29%
10Corner Kicks2
3Yellow Cards3
25Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal5
15Shots off Goal2
18Shots Inside Box4
7Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots1
13Fouls16
6Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves6
476Total Passes200
402Passes Accurate121
84%Pass Accuracy61%
Team Comparison
Alianza LimaDeportivo Garcilaso1688Elo Rating 1679
1.10Attack 1.77
2.04Defense 2.11
27%Hit Rate 59%
17.6Shots per Game 15.1
4.6Shots on Target 6.4
7.2Corners per Game 5.6
1.3Cards per Game 2.7
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend81% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Alianza Lima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Deportivo Garcilaso- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Based on 5 historical meetings
Alianza Lima 50%Draw 27%23% Deportivo Garcilaso
3.54Avg Goals
81%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5
Recent Form
Alianza Lima2W3D0L
Deportivo Garcilaso4W1D0L
23/08/2026Deportivo Garcilaso
CuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
ADTDeportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco41
W17/08/2026
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
09/08/2026CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso00
DDeportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua20
W02/08/2026ADTDeportivo Garcilaso01
W27/07/2026Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca21
WReferee Profile
Sebastian Lozano, Peru · 20 matches analysed
4.5Avg Yellows
4.9Avg Cards
23.6Avg Fouls
Stricter than 62% of referees analysed
League Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44:18 | +26 | 56 | WLWDW |
| 2 |  Universitario | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | +12 | 49 | LWDWL |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39:24 | +15 | 48 | LWDDL |
| 4 |  FBC Melgar | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:29 | +16 | 46 | WLDDL |
| 5 | Cusco | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40:38 | +2 | 45 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | +5 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 9 |  Sporting Cristal | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48:40 | +8 | 38 | WLLWW |
| 10 |  Sport Boys | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:26 | +3 | 38 | LLWLL |
| 11 |  Sport Huancayo | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 35 | DDLLL |
| 12 |  Atletico Grau | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 32 | LDDDW |
| 13 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 | DDDWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 27 | DLLLL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 | ADT | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 22 | LDWLD |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 15 | DLDLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 27 | 44:18 | 56 |
| 2 | Universitario | 27 | 43:31 | 49 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 27 | 39:24 | 48 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 27 | 45:29 | 46 |
| 5 | Cusco | 27 | 40:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 40:35 | 40 |
| 9 | Sporting Cristal | 27 | 48:40 | 38 |
| 10 | Sport Boys | 27 | 29:26 | 38 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 27 | 37:44 | 35 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 27 | 26:31 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 35:38 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 27 | 41:52 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 26 | 27:41 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 27 | 32:50 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | WLWDW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | LWDWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WLDDL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | LWDDL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LDDWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDDWL |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | LDWLD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LLWLL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | DLDLW |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | LDDDW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DDLLL |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:6 | +12 | 22 | LWDDL |
| 2 | Universitario | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:16 | +3 | 20 | LWDWL |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 | WLLWW |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 19 | LDDWL |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 19 | DDLLL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 18 | WLDDL |
| 7 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | +7 | 18 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | +5 | 18 | LWWLW |
| 9 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | +4 | 16 | WLWDW |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:13 | +1 | 16 | LDDDW |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 18:24 | -6 | 10 | DLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 2 | DLDLW |
| 18 | ADT | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 2 | LDWLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 10 | 18:6 | 22 |
| 2 | Universitario | 10 | 19:16 | 20 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 5 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 16:13 | 19 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Sport Boys | 10 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 8 | Cusco | 10 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 9 | Alianza Lima | 10 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 10 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 10 | 18:24 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 10 | 11:24 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 9 | 5:20 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Deportivo Garcilaso have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Alianza Lima and Deportivo Garcilaso have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.54 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.