FC Cajamarca vs Universitario Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.91
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+10.4%
FC Cajamarca Rest
7 days
Universitario Rest
8 days
FC Cajamarca vs Universitario: the result in context
Universitario beat FC Cajamarca 3-2 in the Primera División on 16 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Universitario had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for FC Cajamarca.
Universitario tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 3.1 for FC Cajamarca.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
136%4.80
X27%3.40
237%1.74
Double Chance
1X63%2.00
X264%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.91
No40%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.43 = 2.70
Over 1.575%1.32
Over 2.555%2.02
Over 3.534%3.75
Under 1.525%3.10
Under 2.545%1.73
Under 3.566%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.4 = 9.3
Over 8.557%1.95
Over 9.545%2.34
Over 10.532%3.14
Under 8.543%1.77
Under 9.555%1.50
Under 10.568%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.565%-
Over 4.542%1.83
Under 3.535%-
Under 4.558%1.87
Match Events
17'Y. VilchezFoul
24'C. IngaAssist: G. Lapadula
29'A. ValeraAssist: C. Inga
45+1'M. Rasmussen(Penalty)
60'A. J. Posito OlazabalFoul
61'G. Lapadula(Penalty)
65'M. Rasmussen INJ. Betancourt out
65'C. A. Correa Flores INE. Aubert out
65'C. Meza INJ. Lugo out
69'R. SuarezFoul
71'A. ValeraFoul
72'J. Concha INP. A. Quispe Cordova out
72'J. Requena INJ. Murrugarra out
80'G. Lapadula INJ. Rivera out
80'J. MurrugarraFoul
81'J. G. OrejuelaFoul
86'A. SantamariaFoul
88'J. Lugo(Penalty)
89'A. Valera INW. Riveros out
90'A. Quiroz INH. Fertoli out
Lineups
FC CajamarcaUniversitario
3-1-4-2Coach: Hector CuperAvg ratingAvg rating
12S. Aspajo
5R. Suárez
2A. Pósito
95Y. Vílchez
31S. Enciso
20C. Meza
C18J. Orejuela
13C. Correa
17B. Palacios
6M. Rasmussen
11M. Arrasco
1D. Romero
2C. Fara
4A. Santamaría
5M. Di Benedetto
15J. Manuel Requena
C24A. Polo
28A. Quiroz
17J. Concha
33C. Inga
20A. Valera
18G. LapadulaFC Cajamarca Substitutes
3Jonathan Medina
44Carlos Gómez
26Hairo Timaná
14Arthur Gutiérrez
27Jonathan Betancourt
21John Vega
25Paulo Goyoneche
88Edson Aubert65'for C. A. Correa Flores
77José Lugo65'for C. Meza88'
Universitario Substitutes
25Miguel Vargas
3Williams Riveros89'for A. Valera
29Aldo Corzo
23Jorge Murrugarra72'for J. Requena80'
8Héctor Fértoli90'for A. Quiroz
10Horacio Calcaterra
39Piero Quispe72'for J. Concha
30Lisandro Alzugaray
11José Rivera80'for G. Lapadula
Match Stats
FC CajamarcaUniversitario 58%Ball Possession42%
6Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots8
4Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal2
4Shots Inside Box5
12Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots0
15Fouls14
3Goalkeeper Saves2
388Total Passes282
326Passes Accurate233
84%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
FC CajamarcaUniversitario1426Elo Rating 1714
0.87Attack 2.40
0.80Defense 1.58
0%Hit Rate 64%
12.9Shots per Game 15.9
5.1Shots on Target 6.1
3.1Corners per Game 6.4
1.4Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC Cajamarca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Universitario- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
Head to Head
1 previous meeting, all competitions
FC Cajamarca0Wins · 0%Draws00%
Universitario1Wins · 100%
1Wins · 100%1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1
Previous meetings
02/03/2026UniversitarioFC Cajamarca10
Recent Form
FC Cajamarca3W4D3L
09/08/2026
FBC MelgarFC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo GarcilasoFC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
Juan Pablo II CollegeFC Cajamarca
Deportivo Llacuabamba
FBC MelgarFC Cajamarca24
W01/08/2026FC CajamarcaSport Huancayo02
L27/07/2026Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca21
L17/07/2026FC CajamarcaJuan Pablo II College22
D26/06/2026
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
20/06/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31
LFC CajamarcaDeportivo Llacuabamba11
D31/05/2026FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
FC CajamarcaAlianza Lima11
D24/05/2026
Alianza AtleticoFC Cajamarca
Alianza AtleticoFC Cajamarca11
D15/05/2026FC Cajamarca
Sporting Cristal
FC CajamarcaSporting Cristal31
W08/05/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca12
WUniversitario4W4D2L
08/08/2026UniversitarioSporting Cristal
CiencianoUniversitarioUniversitario
Cusco
ADTUniversitario
UniversitarioSporting Cristal11
D03/08/2026CiencianoUniversitario20
L25/07/2026UniversitarioCusco21
W18/07/2026ADTUniversitario12
W11/07/2026Universitario
Millonarios
UniversitarioMillonarios20
W27/06/2026Universitario
Atletico Grau
UniversitarioAtletico Grau11
D13/06/2026
Molinos El PirataUniversitario
Molinos El PirataUniversitario20
L31/05/2026UniversitarioSport Huancayo
UniversitarioSport Huancayo21
W27/05/2026Universitario
Deportes Tolima
UniversitarioDeportes Tolima00
D23/05/2026
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario
UCV MoqueguaUniversitario00
DReferee Profile
4.84Cards per match
4.47Yellow cards per match
0.38Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.84 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.06).
Cards come from 32 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 55:35 | +20 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54:37 | +17 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 57:47 | +10 | 47 | DDLLW |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29:41 | -12 | 34 | WLLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 44:60 | -16 | 28 | WWLLD |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 55:35 | 59 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 31 | 57:47 | 47 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 29:41 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 31 | 44:60 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DWLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | DDLLW |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWLLD |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 2 | Universitario | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:20 | +11 | 30 | DWLWL |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | DDLLW |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | +8 | 26 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 11 | WWLLD |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Universitario | 14 | 31:20 | 30 |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 14 | 21:32 | 11 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Cusco vs Juan Pablo II College 15/08/26
- ADT vs Alianza Atletico 15/08/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs FBC Melgar 15/08/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Sport Boys 16/08/26
- FC Cajamarca vs Atletico Grau 21/08/26
- Alianza Atletico vs Sporting Cristal 21/08/26
- Sport Huancayo vs UCV Moquegua 22/08/26
- UTC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos 22/08/26
About the FC Cajamarca vs Universitario forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FC Cajamarca and Universitario in the Primera División table
The table shows a wide gap: Universitario are 2nd in the Primera División, while FC Cajamarca sit 17th, 31 points behind. League goal record so far: FC Cajamarca 44-60, Universitario 55-35. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
FC Cajamarca and Universitario have met only 1 time recently, with 1.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.