FC Cajamarca vs Universitario Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 5
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon, Cajamarca· Micke Palomino, Peru 16/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.91SignalGOODModel42%RiskMediumGap+10.4%
FC Cajamarca Rest
7 days
Universitario Rest
8 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
136%4.80
X27%3.40
237%1.74
Double Chance
1X63%2.00
X264%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.91
No40%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.43 = 2.70
Over 1.575%1.32
Over 2.555%2.02
Over 3.534%3.75
Under 1.525%3.10
Under 2.545%1.73
Under 3.566%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.4 = 9.3
Over 8.557%1.95
Over 9.545%2.34
Over 10.532%3.14
Under 8.543%1.77
Under 9.555%1.50
Under 10.568%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.4 = 4.7
Over 3.565%-
Over 4.542%1.83
Under 3.535%-
Under 4.558%1.87
Match Events
17'Y. VilchezFoul
24'C. IngaAssist: G. Lapadula
29'A. ValeraAssist: C. Inga
45+1'M. Rasmussen(Penalty)
60'A. J. Posito OlazabalFoul
61'G. Lapadula(Penalty)
65'M. Rasmussen INJ. Betancourt out
65'C. A. Correa Flores INE. Aubert out
65'C. Meza INJ. Lugo out
69'R. SuarezFoul
71'A. ValeraFoul
72'J. Concha INP. A. Quispe Cordova out
72'J. Requena INJ. Murrugarra out
80'G. Lapadula INJ. Rivera out
80'J. MurrugarraFoul
81'J. G. OrejuelaFoul
86'A. SantamariaFoul
88'J. Lugo(Penalty)
89'A. Valera INW. Riveros out
90'A. Quiroz INH. Fertoli out
Lineups
FC CajamarcaUniversitario
3-1-4-2Coach: Hector Cuper
12S. AspajoSamuel Aspajo
5R. SuárezRenato Suárez
2A. PósitoAlejandro Pósito
95Y. VílchezYordi Vílchez
31S. EncisoSebastián Enciso
20C. MezaCarlos Meza
18J. OrejuelaJefferson Orejuela
13C. CorreaCarlos Correa
17B. PalaciosBrandon Palacios
6M. RasmussenMichel Rasmussen
11M. ArrascoMauricio Arrasco
1D. RomeroDiego Romero
2C. FaraCaín Fara
4A. SantamaríaAnderson Santamaría
5M. Di BenedettoMatías Di Benedetto
15J. Manuel RequenaJuan Manuel Requena
24A. PoloAndy Polo
28A. QuirozAdrián Quiroz
17J. ConchaJairo Concha
33C. IngaCésar Inga
20A. ValeraAlex Valera
18G. LapadulaGianluca LapadulaFC Cajamarca Substitutes
3Jonathan MedinaG
44Carlos GómezD
26Hairo TimanáD
14Arthur GutiérrezD
27Jonathan BetancourtM
21John VegaM
25Paulo GoyonecheM
88Edson AubertM
77José LugoF
Universitario Substitutes
25Miguel VargasG
3Williams RiverosD
29Aldo CorzoD
23Jorge MurrugarraM
8Héctor FértoliM
10Horacio CalcaterraM
39Piero QuispeM
30Lisandro AlzugarayF
11José RiveraF
Match Stats
FC CajamarcaUniversitario 59%Ball Possession41%
6Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots8
3Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal2
3Shots Inside Box5
10Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots0
15Fouls14
3Goalkeeper Saves2
371Total Passes265
312Passes Accurate220
84%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
FC CajamarcaUniversitario1503Elo Rating 1697
2.03Attack 2.70
0.28Defense 1.60
46%Hit Rate 77%
15.4Shots per Game 13.5
4.3Shots on Target 6.4
3.5Corners per Game 5.1
2.6Cards per Game 2.8
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC Cajamarca- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Universitario- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.9 in first half)
Head to Head
Based on 1 historical meeting
FC Cajamarca 0%Draw 0%100% Universitario
1Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5
Recent Form
FC Cajamarca1W1D3L
Universitario3W1D1L
08/08/2026Universitario
Sporting Cristal
CiencianoUniversitarioUniversitario
Cusco
ADTUniversitario
UniversitarioSporting Cristal11
D03/08/2026CiencianoUniversitario20
L25/07/2026UniversitarioCusco21
W18/07/2026ADTUniversitario12
W11/07/2026Universitario
Millonarios
UniversitarioMillonarios20
WReferee Profile
Micke Palomino, Peru · 31 matches analysed
4.5Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 60% of referees analysed
League Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | +24 | 53 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | +16 | 49 | WDWLW |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | +16 | 45 | LDDLL |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | +11 | 45 | WDDLL |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | +1 | 42 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | +7 | 40 | WWWWD |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | +5 | 40 | LDDWL |
| 9 |  Sport Boys | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | +3 | 37 | LWLLD |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | +6 | 35 | LLWWL |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 | DDDWL |
| 12 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 | DLLLW |
| 13 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 | WLLWW |
| 14 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 | DDDWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 | LLLLL |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 | WLLWD |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 | DWLDD |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 26 | 42:18 | 53 |
| 2 | Universitario | 26 | 43:27 | 49 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 26 | 44:28 | 45 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 35:24 | 45 |
| 5 | Cusco | 26 | 38:37 | 42 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 25 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 27 | 40:35 | 40 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 26 | 28:25 | 37 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 26 | 45:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 26 | 25:28 | 32 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 26 | 34:42 | 32 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 38:52 | 31 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 27 | 35:38 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 26 | 40:50 | 27 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 26 | 24:37 | 25 |
| 17 | ADT | 25 | 27:39 | 22 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 30:47 | 15 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | LWDWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | WDWLW |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | LDDLL |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WDDLL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | LDDWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DDDWL |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWLDD |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LLWWL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | LLLLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | WLLWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | WDWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:6 | +8 | 19 | WDDLL |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 19 | LDDWL |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 17 | LDDLL |
| 5 | Sport Boys | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 17 | LWLLD |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17:9 | +8 | 16 | LLWWL |
| 7 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 16 | DDDWL |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 16 | DLLLW |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 15 | WWLWL |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 15 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | +2 | 13 | LWDWW |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 9 | DDDWL |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | WWWWD |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 7 | WWWWW |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9:21 | -12 | 2 | LDLWL |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:18 | -13 | 2 | DWLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Universitario | 9 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 14:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Alianza Atletico | 10 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 9 | 15:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Sport Boys | 9 | 13:6 | 17 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 17:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Atletico Grau | 9 | 13:10 | 16 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 9 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 9 | Cusco | 9 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II College | 9 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 11 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 12 | FC Cajamarca | 9 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 10 | 17:18 | 9 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 8 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 9 | 7:13 | 7 |
| 16 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 17 | UTC Cajamarca | 9 | 9:21 | 2 |
| 18 | ADT | 8 | 5:18 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
FC Cajamarca vs Universitario Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Primera División
ScorePredicts covers Peru football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
Universitario have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FC Cajamarca and Universitario have met 1 times recently, averaging 1 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.