Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco Prediction

Deportivo Garcilaso
4-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Cusco
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco·R. B. Perez 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-2.0%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.55
SignalGOODModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Deportivo Garcilaso Rest
6 days
Cusco Rest
8 days

Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco: result, form and history

Deportivo Garcilaso beat Cusco 4-1 in the Primera División on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Cusco have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.3 goals a game. Referee R. B. Perez averages 4.36 cards a game, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.56
X
25%3.00
2
27%2.80
Double Chance
1X
73%1.40
X2
52%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.80
No
50%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 0.88 = 2.25
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.10
Over 3.5
23%3.70
Under 1.5
28%3.05
Under 2.5
54%1.69
Under 3.5
77%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.7 = 8.9
Over 8.5
46%1.77
Over 9.5
31%2.23
Over 10.5
20%2.94
Under 8.5
54%1.92
Under 9.5
69%1.55
Under 10.5
80%1.32
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

26'P. DiazFoul
34'J. Manzaneda INA. Vidal out
45+2'B. Da SilvaAssist: F. Castelli
45+4'I. ColmanUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'X. MorenoFoul
56'F. Castelli(Penalty)
57'C. Diez INL. Colitto out
59'A. Ampuero
62'J. A. Rosell Delgado INA. Ascues out
67'K. SandovalAssist: F. Castelli
73'F. Castelli INC. Olivares out
73'A. Gonzalez INS. Ramirez out
77'A. FuentesFoul
81'J. Zevallos INC. Gamarra out
81'R. Lagos INHerrera Joel out
86'B. Da Silva INJ. Mendoza out
89'C. Olivares
90+3'A. FuentesFoul
90+3'A. FuentesFoul

Match Stats

Deportivo GarcilasoCusco
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards2
17Total Shots15
9Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box10
11Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots4
13Fouls13
1Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves5
322Total Passes351
270Passes Accurate289
84%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
CuscoCusco
1667Elo Rating 1577
2.38Attack 0.83
0.78Defense 1.51
46%Hit Rate 36%
17.5Shots per Game 15.9
6.0Shots on Target 4.9
5.8Corners per Game 5.6
2.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
CuscoCusco
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1Wins · 13%
Draws112%
CuscoCusco6Wins · 75%
2.3Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Copa De La Liga15/06/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco
00
Primera División08/03/2026
CuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
10
Primera División01/10/2025
CuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
40
Primera División12/05/2025
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco
13
Primera División29/07/2024
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco
02
Primera División18/02/2024
CuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
10
Primera División16/09/2023
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco
21
Primera División23/04/2023
CuscoDeportivo Garcilaso
21

Recent Form

Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
5W2D3L
17/08/2026
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
00
D
09/08/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoUCV Moquegua
20
W
02/08/2026
ADTDeportivo Garcilaso
01
W
27/07/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoFC Cajamarca
21
W
17/07/2026
Sporting CristalDeportivo Garcilaso
10
L
12/07/2026
UCV MoqueguaDeportivo Garcilaso
4020
L
29/06/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Binacional
41
W
22/06/2026
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
21
L
15/06/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoCusco
00
D
30/05/2026
Deportivo GarcilasoJuan Pablo II College
41
W

Referee Profile

R. B. Perez11 matches

4.36Cards per match
4.00Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

R. B. Perez4.36
Other referees4.93

4.36 cards a match, 0.57 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.93).

Cards come from 11 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima33209454:24+3069WWDWW
2UniversitarioUniversitario331710659:39+2061DLDWL
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar33169856:38+1857DWDWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso331671050:35+1555DWWWW
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal331561263:48+1551WLDDL
6CuscoCusco331631446:47-151WLDDW
7CiencianoCienciano331551354:46+850DLWWD
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo331551348:49-150DLWLL
9Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico331471249:48+149DWLWW
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas331391140:52-1248LWDLL
11Sport BoysSport Boys3312101137:35+242DWDLD
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College331181448:59-1141DLLLD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos338131244:47-337DLDLW
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau331071632:41-937LWLLL
15ADTADT337111536:48-1231LWDWW
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua33791727:48-2130DLDLW
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca33871846:65-1929DWWWL
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca33591938:58-2014DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima3354:2469
2UniversitarioUniversitario3359:3961
3FBC MelgarFBC Melgar3356:3857
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso3350:3555
5Sporting CristalSporting Cristal3363:4851
6CuscoCusco3346:4751
7CiencianoCienciano3354:4650
8Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo3348:4950
9Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico3349:4849
10Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas3340:5248
11Sport BoysSport Boys3337:3542
12Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College3348:5941
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos3344:4737
14Atletico GrauAtletico Grau3332:4137
15ADTADT3336:4831
16UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua3327:4830
17FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca3346:6529
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca3338:5814

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima17124130:8+2240WWDWW
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas17104325:21+434LWDLL
3CiencianoCienciano17103434:22+1233DLWWD
4UniversitarioUniversitario1785424:15+929DLDWL
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1784529:20+928DWDWL
6CuscoCusco1783621:24-327WLDDW
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1775521:18+326DWWWW
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1756620:18+221DWLWW
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1756618:20-221DLDLW
10ADTADT1755722:21+120LWDWW
11Sport BoysSport Boys1755715:19-420DWDLD
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1754828:30-219WLDDL
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1746721:26-518DLLLD
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1753917:24-718DLDLW
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1745823:28-517DWWWL
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1744912:18-616LWLLL
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1744921:31-1016DLWLL
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1744922:40-1816DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1730:840
2Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1725:2134
3CiencianoCienciano1734:2233
4UniversitarioUniversitario1724:1529
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1729:2028
6CuscoCusco1721:2427
7Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1721:1826
8Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1720:1821
9Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1718:2021
10ADTADT1722:2120
11Sport BoysSport Boys1715:1920
12Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1728:3019
13UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1721:2618
14UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1717:2418
15FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1723:2817
16Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1712:1816
17Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1721:3116
18Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1722:4016

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo16111427:18+934DLWLL
2Sporting CristalSporting Cristal16102435:18+1732WLDDL
3UniversitarioUniversitario1695235:24+1132DLDWL
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1692529:17+1229DWWWW
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1685327:18+929DWDWL
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1685324:16+829WWDWW
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1691629:30-128DWLWW
8Sport BoysSport Boys1675422:16+626DWDLD
9Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1674526:19+725DLLLD
10CuscoCusco1680825:23+224WLDDW
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1663720:23-321LWLLL
12CiencianoCienciano1652920:24-417DLWWD
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1637626:27-116DLDLW
14FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca16421023:37-1414DWWWL
15Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1635815:31-1614LWDLL
16ADTADT1626814:27-1312LWDWW
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1626810:24-1412DLDLW
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca16131217:32-156DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Sport HuancayoSport Huancayo1627:1834
2Sporting CristalSporting Cristal1635:1832
3UniversitarioUniversitario1635:2432
4Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso1629:1729
5FBC MelgarFBC Melgar1627:1829
6Alianza LimaAlianza Lima1624:1629
7Alianza AtleticoAlianza Atletico1629:3028
8Sport BoysSport Boys1622:1626
9Juan Pablo II CollegeJuan Pablo II College1626:1925
10CuscoCusco1625:2324
11Atletico GrauAtletico Grau1620:2321
12CiencianoCienciano1620:2417
13Comerciantes UnidosComerciantes Unidos1626:2716
14FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca1623:3714
15Club Deportivo Los ChankasClub Deportivo Los Chankas1615:3114
16ADTADT1614:2712
17UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua1610:2412
18UTC CajamarcaUTC Cajamarca1617:326
PromotionRelegation

About the Deportivo Garcilaso vs Cusco forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Deportivo Garcilaso and Cusco in the Primera División table

Deportivo Garcilaso and Cusco are close in the Primera División table, 4th and 6th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Deportivo Garcilaso 50-35, Cusco 46-47. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.