UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario Prediction
Peru · Clausura - 7
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.71
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
UTC Cajamarca Rest
4 days
Universitario Rest
5 days
UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario: the result in context
Universitario beat UTC Cajamarca 4-2 in the Primera División on 29 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Universitario had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for UTC Cajamarca.
Universitario have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Referee Jordi Espinoza averages 5.91 cards a game, 0.99 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
125%3.01
X26%3.20
249%2.25
Double Chance
1X51%1.58
X276%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.83
No44%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.97 + 1.45 = 2.42
Over 1.572%1.33
Over 2.546%2.05
Over 3.524%3.60
Under 1.528%3.06
Under 2.554%1.71
Under 3.576%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.9 + 4.1 = 9
Over 8.555%1.91
Over 9.540%2.40
Over 10.526%3.22
Under 8.545%1.78
Under 9.560%1.49
Under 10.574%1.28
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.4 = 5
Over 3.569%-
Over 4.555%1.67
Under 3.531%-
Under 4.545%2.07
Match Events
16'L. ArceAssist: M. Lliuya
20'A. ArroyoAssist: D. Camacho
24'A. ArroyoUnsportsmanlike conduct
29'A. Quiroz INP. A. Quispe Cordova out
32'A. FigueraFoul
45'L. GarroFoul
45+1'J. Concha
45+2'J. RequenaFoul
46'C. Fara INA. Santamaria out
46'I. Barrios INR. Bettocchi out
57'J. Huerto IND. Caro out
61'A. SantamariaFoul
63'L. Garro ING. Paredes out
66'G. Lapadula INL. Alzugaray out
66'J. Requena INJ. Murrugarra out
73'W. RiverosAssist: J. Concha
77'A. ValeraAssist: C. Inga
80'A. PoloAssist: L. Alzugaray
81'A. Arroyo INM. de Jesus out
81'B. Duarte INJ. Cantt out
83'C. Inga INJ. Gutierrez out
84'D. CamachoFoul
Lineups
UTC CajamarcaUniversitario
3-1-4-2Coach: Hector CuperAvg ratingAvg rating
29I. Barrios
17L. Garro
C2B. Duarte
6F. Cavagna
5C. Junior Huerto
88L. Arce
16A. Figuera
22D. Camacho
10M. Lliuya
19A. Muñoz
11A. Arroyo
1D. Romero
2C. Fara
3W. Riveros
5M. Di Benedetto
15J. Manuel Requena
C24A. Polo
28A. Quiroz
17J. Concha
33C. Inga
18G. Lapadula
20A. ValeraUTC Cajamarca Substitutes
21Ricardo Bettocchi
35Gilmar Paredes63'for L. Garro
13Dylan Caro57'for J. Huerto
15Joshua Cantt81'for B. Duarte
8David Dioses
9Marlon de Jesús81'for A. Arroyo
18Santiago Gálvez
Universitario Substitutes
39Piero Quispe29'for A. Quiroz
25Miguel Vargas
70Jorge Gutiérrez83'for C. Inga
4Anderson Santamaría46'for C. Fara61'
23Jorge Murrugarra66'for J. Requena
8Héctor Fértoli
10Horacio Calcaterra
30Lisandro Alzugaray66'for G. Lapadula
19Edison Flores
Match Stats
UTC CajamarcaUniversitario 50%Ball Possession50%
3Corner Kicks8
4Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots22
7Shots on Goal9
5Shots off Goal10
3Shots Inside Box12
12Shots Outside Box10
3Blocked Shots3
16Fouls4
5Goalkeeper Saves5
380Total Passes370
324Passes Accurate308
85%Pass Accuracy83%
Team Comparison
UTC CajamarcaUniversitario1434Elo Rating 1714
1.32Attack 2.40
1.49Defense 1.58
27%Hit Rate 64%
13.5Shots per Game 15.9
5.6Shots on Target 6.1
3.2Corners per Game 6.4
2.5Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
UTC Cajamarca- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
Universitario- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.8 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
UTC Cajamarca1Wins · 10%Draws220%
Universitario7Wins · 70%
7Wins · 70%2.0Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
15/03/2026UniversitarioUTC Cajamarca20
21/09/2025UTC CajamarcaUniversitario12
28/04/2025UniversitarioUTC Cajamarca60
05/08/2024UniversitarioUTC Cajamarca10
24/02/2024UTC CajamarcaUniversitario00
03/10/2023UniversitarioUTC Cajamarca30
28/05/2023UTC CajamarcaUniversitario10
28/10/2022UTC CajamarcaUniversitario11
04/07/2022UniversitarioUTC Cajamarca10
25/07/2021UTC CajamarcaUniversitario01
Recent Form
UTC Cajamarca2W3D5L
25/08/2026
Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca
22/08/2026Alianza AtleticoUTC Cajamarca5141
LUTC Cajamarca
Comerciantes Unidos13
L16/08/2026
Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
08/08/2026Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca10
LUTC Cajamarca
ADT11
D02/08/2026
CuscoUTC Cajamarca41
L26/07/2026UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua00
D18/07/2026
Atletico GrauUTC Cajamarca31
L12/07/2026UTC Cajamarca
Deportiva Agropecuaria
UTC CajamarcaDeportiva Agropecuaria41
W26/06/2026UTC Cajamarca
FC Cajamarca
15/06/2026UTC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca31
W
Deportivo LlacuabambaUTC Cajamarca22
DUniversitario6W2D2L
24/08/2026Universitario
Club Deportivo Los ChankasFC CajamarcaUniversitarioUniversitario
Sporting Cristal
CiencianoUniversitarioUniversitarioCuscoADTUniversitario
UniversitarioClub Deportivo Los Chankas30
W16/08/2026FC CajamarcaUniversitario23
W08/08/2026UniversitarioSporting Cristal11
D03/08/2026CiencianoUniversitario20
L25/07/2026UniversitarioCusco21
W18/07/2026ADTUniversitario12
W11/07/2026Universitario
Millonarios
UniversitarioMillonarios20
W27/06/2026UniversitarioAtletico Grau
UniversitarioAtletico Grau11
D13/06/2026
Molinos El PirataUniversitario
Molinos El PirataUniversitario20
L31/05/2026Universitario
Sport Huancayo
UniversitarioSport Huancayo21
WReferee Profile
5.91Cards per match
5.48Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
23.8Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.91 cards a match, 0.99 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.92).
Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 52:23 | +29 | 65 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 55:35 | +20 | 59 | DWLWL |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 54:37 | +17 | 54 | WDWLW |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | +15 | 54 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 46:44 | +2 | 51 | LDDWW |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 62:47 | +15 | 50 | LDDLL |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 53:43 | +10 | 50 | WWDLW |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 49:46 | +3 | 49 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46:48 | -2 | 47 | LWLLW |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 | WDLLW |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 35:33 | +2 | 44 | DLDWL |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 47:57 | -10 | 41 | LLLDD |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 35 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 29:41 | -12 | 34 | WLLLW |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33:45 | -12 | 30 | DWWDL |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 | LDLWL |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 44:65 | -21 | 28 | WWWLL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 31 | 52:23 | 65 |
| 2 | Universitario | 31 | 55:35 | 59 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 32 | 54:37 | 54 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 32 | 50:35 | 54 |
| 5 | Cusco | 32 | 46:44 | 51 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 32 | 62:47 | 50 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 31 | 53:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 32 | 49:46 | 49 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 32 | 46:48 | 47 |
| 10 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 32 | 39:51 | 47 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 31 | 35:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 32 | 47:57 | 41 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 31 | 42:45 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 32 | 29:41 | 34 |
| 15 | ADT | 31 | 33:45 | 30 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 32 | 25:46 | 29 |
| 17 | FC Cajamarca | 32 | 44:65 | 28 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 32 | 38:58 | 18 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | +22 | 40 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | +4 | 34 | WDLLW |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | +12 | 33 | WWDLW |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | +9 | 29 | DWLWL |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | +9 | 28 | WDWLW |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 | LDDWW |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 26 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | +2 | 21 | WLWWL |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | DLWWD |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | +1 | 20 | DWWDL |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 | LDDLL |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | LLLDL |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 | LDLWL |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 | WWWLL |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 | WLLLW |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 | LWLLW |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 | LLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 30:8 | 40 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 25:21 | 34 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 34:22 | 33 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 24:15 | 29 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 29:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 21:24 | 27 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 17 | 21:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Alianza Atletico | 17 | 20:18 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 18:20 | 21 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 22:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 15:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 28:30 | 19 |
| 13 | UTC Cajamarca | 17 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 17:24 | 18 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 17 | 23:28 | 17 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 21:31 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 22:40 | 16 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 34:17 | +17 | 31 | LDDLL |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 31 | LWLLW |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31:20 | +11 | 30 | DWLWL |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:17 | +12 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 29:28 | +1 | 28 | WLWWL |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 25:17 | +8 | 26 | WDWLW |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:17 | +8 | 25 | LLLDD |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | +6 | 24 | DLDWL |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 25:20 | +5 | 24 | LDDWW |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17:23 | -6 | 18 | WLLLW |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 17 | WWDLW |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 24:25 | -1 | 14 | DLWWD |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 13 | WDLLW |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 8:22 | -14 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 21:37 | -16 | 11 | WWWLL |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 10 | DWWDL |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 17:32 | -15 | 5 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 34:17 | 31 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 25:17 | 31 |
| 3 | Universitario | 14 | 31:20 | 30 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 29:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Alianza Atletico | 15 | 29:28 | 28 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 15 | 25:17 | 26 |
| 7 | Juan Pablo II College | 15 | 25:17 | 25 |
| 8 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 14 | 20:14 | 24 |
| 10 | Cusco | 15 | 25:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Atletico Grau | 15 | 17:23 | 18 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 14 | 19:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 24:25 | 14 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 15 | 14:30 | 13 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 15 | 8:22 | 11 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 15 | 21:37 | 11 |
| 17 | ADT | 14 | 11:24 | 10 |
| 18 | UTC Cajamarca | 15 | 17:32 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima 23/08/26
- Universitario vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas 24/08/26
- Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca 28/08/26
- Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Juan Pablo II College 29/08/26
- Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso 30/08/26
- UCV Moquegua vs Alianza Atletico 30/08/26
- ADT vs Sport Huancayo 30/08/26
- Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal 30/08/26
About the UTC Cajamarca vs Universitario forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
UTC Cajamarca and Universitario in the Primera División table
The table shows a wide gap: Universitario are 2nd in the Primera División, while UTC Cajamarca sit 18th, 41 points behind. League goal record so far: UTC Cajamarca 38-58, Universitario 55-35. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.