Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros Prediction

Deportivo Pasto
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Llaneros
Estadio Departamental Libertad, Pasto·Andres Rojas, Colombia 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.99
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+9.0%
Deportivo Pasto Rest
14 days
Llaneros Rest
4 days

Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros: result, form and history

Llaneros beat Deportivo Pasto 1-0 in the Primera A on 23 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Llaneros had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Deportivo Pasto.

Deportivo Pasto have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Llaneros tend to win more corners, 6.0 a game to 3.4 for Deportivo Pasto.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%1.96
X
32%3.13
2
26%4.10
Double Chance
1X
74%1.20
X2
58%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.99
No
44%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.03 = 2.24
Over 1.5
72%1.40
Over 2.5
45%2.29
Over 3.5
23%4.10
Under 1.5
28%2.75
Under 2.5
55%1.59
Under 3.5
77%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
55%1.65
Over 9.5
40%1.95
Over 10.5
29%2.54
Under 8.5
45%2.13
Under 9.5
60%1.77
Under 10.5
71%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 3.6 + 3.5 = 7.2
Over 3.5
91%-
Over 4.5
82%1.33
Under 3.5
9%-
Under 4.5
18%2.72

Match Events

28'J. Pertuz
33'M. Garavito
35'J. Contreras
42'F. Leys
46'F. Leys INY. Goez out
46'J. Contreras INJhon Vasquez out
62'F. CastanedaAssist: Jhon Vasquez
64'A. Ibarguen INM. Pisano out
67'J. Pertuz
67'J. Pertuz
70'F. Castaneda INL. Miranda out
71'Y. Mena INC. Cortes out
71'J. Ramirez INH. H. Mena Posada out
74'E. C. Serje Orozco INS. Cordoba out
74'N. Gil
83'J. Perlaza INP. Preciado out
87'J. Escobar Salcedo
88'S. Cordoba
90+1'M. S. Jimenez
90+3'C. Cortes
90+8'Y. Goez

Lineups

Deportivo Pasto
Coach: Jonathan Risueno
Llaneros
Coach: Jose Garcia

Deportivo Pasto Starting XI

1Ederson Cabezas6.5
6Santiago Jiménez90+1'6.9
5Nicolas Gil UribeC74'6.2
3Joyce Ossa7.0
33Mateo Garavito33'6.5
27Hervin Goyes7.2
8Enrique Serje74'replaced by S. Cordoba6.9
25Franco Leys42'46'replaced by Y. Goez6.2
7Jonathan Perlaza83'replaced by P. Preciado6.0
11Andrés Ibargüen64'replaced by M. Pisano6.3
9Jorge Obregón6.2
Avg rating6.55

Llaneros Starting XI

22Roameth Romaña6.9
4Juan Pertuz28'67'67'6.5
26Dennys Quintero6.9
21Francisco MezaC7.3
16Jhojan Escobar87'6.5
33Kelvin Osorio7.3
13Juan Castilla7.0
32Frank Castañeda62'70'replaced by L. Miranda7.6
8Juan Ramirez71'replaced by H. H. Mena Posada6.3
70Joel Contreras35'46'replaced by Jhon Vasquez6.3
17Yorleys Mena71'replaced by C. Cortes5.9
Avg rating6.76

Deportivo Pasto Substitutes

23Yeiler Góez46'for F. Leys90+8'6.9
32Matías Pisano64'for A. Ibarguen6.6
29Santiago Córdoba74'for E. C. Serje Orozco88'6.6
19Patrick Preciado83'for J. Perlaza6.2
12Geovanni Banguera
26Heiler Moreno
16Mayer Gil
15Harrinson Mancilla
35Frank Martínez

Llaneros Substitutes

95Jhon Vásquez46'for J. Contreras6.9
7Luis Miranda70'for F. Castaneda6.7
2Howell Mena71'for J. Ramirez6.6
9Carlos Cortés71'for Y. Mena90+3'6.7
12Juan Loaiza
94Jimmy Medranda
10Neider Ospina

Match Stats

Deportivo PastoLlaneros
51%Ball Possession49%
5Corner Kicks5
4Yellow Cards5
2Red Cards1
5Total Shots9
0Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal5
4Shots Inside Box3
1Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots3
19Fouls9
2Offsides5
306Total Passes303
230Passes Accurate225
75%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
LlanerosLlaneros
1434Elo Rating 1485
0.14Attack 0.56
1.47Defense 0.96
14%Hit Rate 23%
9.9Shots per Game 11.7
1.9Shots on Target 5.4
3.4Corners per Game 6.0
1.3Cards per Game 3.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LlanerosLlaneros
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto3Wins · 75%
Draws00%
LlanerosLlaneros1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Primera A11/02/2026
LlanerosDeportivo Pasto
01
Primera A23/08/2025
LlanerosDeportivo Pasto
21
Copa Colombia03/06/2025
Deportivo PastoLlaneros
30
Primera A09/03/2025
Deportivo PastoLlaneros
10

Recent Form

Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto
1W0D9L
09/08/2026
Deportivo PastoDeportivo Cali
02
L
05/08/2026
MillonariosDeportivo Pasto
20
L
01/08/2026
Deportivo PastoÁguilas Doradas
12
L
29/07/2026
Bogota FCDeportivo Pasto
03
W
25/07/2026
Independiente MedellinDeportivo Pasto
32
L
22/07/2026
Deportivo PastoBogota FC
01
L
14/05/2026
Deportivo PastoDeportes Tolima
02
L
10/05/2026
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
10
L
04/05/2026
JuniorDeportivo Pasto
43
L
24/04/2026
Deportivo PastoSanta Fe
12
L
LlanerosLlaneros
5W3D2L
19/08/2026
Águilas DoradasLlaneros
11
D
04/08/2026
LlanerosFortaleza FC
31
W
31/07/2026
BucaramangaLlaneros
11
D
25/07/2026
LlanerosDeportivo Pereira
10
W
27/05/2026
ChicoLlaneros
01
W
21/05/2026
LlanerosPatriotas
31
W
12/05/2026
MillonariosLlaneros
10
L
08/05/2026
LlanerosDepor FC
30
W
02/05/2026
ChicoLlaneros
30
L
27/04/2026
LlanerosAlianza Valledupar
00
D

Referee Profile

Andres Rojas217 matches

5.99Cards per match
5.59Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
25.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andres Rojas5.99
Other referees5.58

5.99 cards a match, 0.41 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.58).

Cards come from 200 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera A 2026

Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional19131535:15+2040WDWWL
2JuniorJunior19112631:24+735LWWLW
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto19104529:25+434DLWWL
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali19103625:15+1033LWLDW
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1989231:22+933DDDLD
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1987427:17+1031LDWWD
7Santa FeSanta Fe1978429:22+729DLWWD
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1977526:26028WDLLD
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1976620:16+427DWWLD
10MillonariosMillonarios1975731:23+826DLDWW
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1975726:24+226LDWLW
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1975720:25-526LWLWD
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1958626:20+623LLLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros19410517:20-322DWDDD
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1957722:27-522DDLLL
16JaguaresJaguares19531120:33-1318WLDLL
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417WDLWW
18ChicoChico19521215:32-1717LWLDL
19CucutaCucuta1937922:35-1316WDWDD
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710LLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1935:1540
2JuniorJunior1931:2435
3Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1929:2534
4America de CaliAmerica de Cali1925:1533
5Once CaldasOnce Caldas1931:2233
6Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1927:1731
7Santa FeSanta Fe1929:2229
8Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1926:2628
9Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1920:1627
10MillonariosMillonarios1931:2326
11Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1926:2426
12Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1920:2526
13BucaramangaBucaramanga1926:2023
14LlanerosLlaneros1917:2022
15Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1922:2722
16JaguaresJaguares1920:3318
17Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1913:2717
18ChicoChico1915:3217
19CucutaCucuta1922:3516
20Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1915:3210

Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional15102330:13+1732WDWWL
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1594229:11+1831LWLDW
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1686224:10+1430DWWLD
4Santa FeSanta Fe1584323:15+828DLWWD
5MillonariosMillonarios1668224:14+1026DLDWW
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1567223:15+825LLLLD
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1572622:21+123LDWLW
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1657421:20+122LWLWD
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1656520:18+221DDDLD
10CucutaCucuta1663718:24-621WDWDD
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1655618:19-120LDWWD
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1553716:26-1018WDLWW
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1638518:22-417WDLLD
14LlanerosLlaneros1652916:21-517DWDDD
15JuniorJunior1536620:23-315LWWLW
16ChicoChico1543812:25-1315LWLDL
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1528511:19-814LLLDD
18JaguaresJaguares1534817:28-1113WLDLL
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1519516:22-612DDLLL
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1533910:22-1212DLWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico NacionalAtletico Nacional1530:1332
2America de CaliAmerica de Cali1529:1131
3Deportivo CaliDeportivo Cali1624:1030
4Santa FeSanta Fe1523:1528
5MillonariosMillonarios1624:1426
6BucaramangaBucaramanga1523:1525
7Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin1522:2123
8Águilas DoradasÁguilas Doradas1621:2022
9Once CaldasOnce Caldas1620:1821
10CucutaCucuta1618:2421
11Deportes TolimaDeportes Tolima1618:1920
12Alianza ValleduparAlianza Valledupar1516:2618
13Internacional de BogotaInternacional de Bogota1618:2217
14LlanerosLlaneros1616:2117
15JuniorJunior1520:2315
16ChicoChico1512:2515
17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Pereira1511:1914
18JaguaresJaguares1517:2813
19Fortaleza FCFortaleza FC1516:2212
20Deportivo PastoDeportivo Pasto1510:2212

About the Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Deportivo Pasto and Llaneros in the Primera A table

In the Primera A table, Deportivo Pasto are 3rd and Llaneros 14th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo Pasto 29-25, Llaneros 17-20. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.