Derry City vs Sligo Rovers Prediction

Derry City
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Sligo Rovers
The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry 07/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
73%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.37
SignalHIGHModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+6.4%
Derry City Rest
5 days
Sligo Rovers Rest
7 days

Derry City vs Sligo Rovers: the result in context

Derry City beat Sligo Rovers 2-0 in the Premier Division on 7 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.9 goals a game. Derry City tend to win more corners, 4.9 a game to 2.6 for Sligo Rovers.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.42
X
28%4.40
2
17%6.88
Double Chance
1X
83%1.09
X2
45%2.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.92
No
49%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.78 + 0.96 = 2.74
Over 1.5
76%1.22
Over 2.5
52%1.75
Over 3.5
28%2.88
Under 1.5
24%3.80
Under 2.5
48%2.04
Under 3.5
72%1.37
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

54'B. CotterAssist: D. Burns
55'R. O'Kane INA. Nolan out
55'T. George INJ. McManus out
58'B. Lyons-FosterFoul
64'A. O'ReillyAssist: L. Boyce
65'S. Quirk INJ. McGonigle out
66'D. Burns INC. Barr out
66'K. McDonagh INS. Stewart out
75'N. Twisk INJ. Olayinka out
75'B. Cotter INT. Smith out
82'J. ClarkeFoul
83'L. Boyce INE. Chapman out

Lineups

Derry City
4-3-3Coach: Tiernan Lynch
Sligo Rovers
4-2-3-1Coach: Darren Purse
Avg rating7.12
Avg rating6.53
Brian Maher6.91B. Maher
Barry Cotter8.72B. Cotter
Cameron Dummigan7.223C. Dummigan
Patrick McClean7.33P. McClean
Brooklyn Lyons-Foster6.224B. Lyons-Foster
Darragh Burns7.612D. Burns
Nick Twisk7.017N. Twisk
Adam O'Reilly8.28A. O'Reilly
James Clarke6.915J. Clarke
Liam Boyce6.627L. Boyce
Michael DuffyC7.27M. Duffy
Sam Sargeant6.929S. Sargeant
Jeannot Esua6.633J. Esua
Oliver Denham6.215O. Denham
Gareth McElroy6.952G. McElroy
Kyle McDonagh6.023K. McDonagh
Carl McHughC6.216C. McHugh
Seb Quirk6.54S. Quirk
Ryan O'Kane6.528R. O'Kane
Trey George6.020T. George
Jack Shorrock7.27J. Shorrock
Cian Kavanagh7.211C. Kavanagh

Derry City Substitutes

13Tom Norcott
22Conor Barr66'for D. Burns6.7
33Oisin O'Brien
14Ellis Chapman83'for L. Boyce
31Callum Downey
28James Olayinka75'for N. Twisk6.7
29Tyler Smith75'for B. Cotter6.5
32Terence Doherty

Sligo Rovers Substitutes

1Liam Hughes
3Sean Stewart66'replaced by K. McDonagh6.6
14James McManus55'for T. George6.3
61Conor Cannon
51Aidan Gabbidon
19Alex Nolan55'for R. O'Kane6.6
43Callum Lynch
18Jamie McGonigle65'for S. Quirk6.3
24Jamie O’Donnell

Match Stats

Derry CitySligo Rovers
59%Ball Possession41%
10Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards0
24Total Shots4
6Shots on Goal1
11Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box4
9Shots Outside Box0
7Blocked Shots0
15Fouls8
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
524Total Passes374
434Passes Accurate290
83%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

Derry CityDerry City
Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
1609Elo Rating 1391
1.47Attack 0.90
1.90Defense 0.38
56%Hit Rate 0%
17.3Shots per Game 6.7
5.3Shots on Target 2.8
4.9Corners per Game 2.6
2.3Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+218 Elo

Game State Tendencies

Derry CityDerry City
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Derry CityDerry City4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
Sligo RoversSligo Rovers2Wins · 20%
1.9Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division06/04/2026
Sligo RoversDerry City
00
Premier Division06/02/2026
Derry CitySligo Rovers
21
Premier Division05/10/2025
Derry CitySligo Rovers
10
Premier Division12/07/2025
Sligo RoversDerry City
20
Premier Division22/04/2025
Derry CitySligo Rovers
30
Premier Division15/03/2025
Sligo RoversDerry City
01
Premier Division14/10/2024
Derry CitySligo Rovers
11
Premier Division04/07/2024
Sligo RoversDerry City
21
Premier Division24/05/2024
Derry CitySligo Rovers
22
Premier Division24/02/2024
Sligo RoversDerry City
00

Recent Form

Sligo RoversSligo Rovers
1W3D6L
31/07/2026
DundalkSligo Rovers
11
D
25/07/2026
Sligo RoversDrogheda United
22
D
18/07/2026
JanesboroSligo Rovers
04
W
14/07/2026
Sligo RoversColeraine FC
12
L
11/07/2026
Galway UnitedSligo Rovers
32
L
03/07/2026
Sligo RoversShamrock Rovers
12
L
27/06/2026
Sligo RoversShelbourne
22
D
19/06/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Sligo Rovers
20
L
12/06/2026
WaterfordSligo Rovers
40
L
29/05/2026
Sligo RoversBohemians
13
L

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers36208859:38+2168LWLWW
2BohemiansBohemians36198963:44+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.361791055:31+2460LDLLW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3612131152:50+249LWWWD
5Derry CityDerry City3611151050:47+348DWWLW
6DundalkDundalk3611121355:59-445WLDLL
7WaterfordWaterford3610131354:61-743WWWLL
8Galway UnitedGalway United3610121446:53-742LDLWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3610101644:57-1340WLWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers365102128:66-3825DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3659:3868
2BohemiansBohemians3663:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3655:3160
4ShelbourneShelbourne3652:5049
5Derry CityDerry City3650:4748
6DundalkDundalk3655:5945
7WaterfordWaterford3654:6143
8Galway UnitedGalway United3646:5342
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3644:5740
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3628:6625
Relegation

About the Derry City vs Sligo Rovers forecast

The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Derry City and Sligo Rovers in the Premier Division table

In the Premier Division table, Derry City are 5th and Sligo Rovers 10th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: Derry City 50-47, Sligo Rovers 28-66. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.