Dundee vs Kilmarnock Prediction

Dundee
3-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
Dens Park, Dundee 28/10/2026
DundeeDundee
3-1
Finished
KilmarnockKilmarnock

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseHighGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 9.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.0%
Dundee Rest
4 days
Kilmarnock Rest
4 days

Dundee vs Kilmarnock: the result in context

Dundee beat Kilmarnock 3-1 in the Premiership on 28 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 9.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.89
X
26%3.70
2
26%3.70
Double Chance
1X
74%1.25
X2
52%1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.53
No
39%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.27 = 2.97
Over 1.5
81%1.19
Over 2.5
59%1.60
Over 3.5
37%2.50
Under 1.5
19%4.50
Under 2.5
41%2.30
Under 3.5
63%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.3 + 5 = 11.3
Over 8.5
77%1.33
Over 9.5
67%1.60
Over 10.5
56%2.00
Under 8.5
23%2.92
Under 9.5
33%2.20
Under 10.5
44%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%1.45
Over 4.5
31%2.10
Under 3.5
49%2.62
Under 4.5
69%1.67

Match Events

32'Joseph BevanAssist: Ethan Hamilton
58'Cathal McCarthyFoul
60'Joseph Bevan INCharlie Reilly out
65'Bradley·Fink INJoe Westley out
66'Joe Wright INMatai Akinmboni out
70'Robbie Deas INMichael-John Kamson-Kamara out
75'Joe Hugill(Penalty)
76'Greg Kiltie INIeuan Gwyn Owen out
76'Jamie Brandon INJonathan Meier out
78'Callum Jones INZan Besir out
80'Goal cancelledAshley Hay
83'Ashley HayAssist: Alan Forrest
85'George StangerFoul
89'Cathal McCarthy INDjenairo Daniels out
90+3'Michael-John Kamson-KamaraDissent
90+4'Ashley HayAssist: Owen Goodman

Lineups

Dundee
4-4-2Coach: S. Pressley
Kilmarnock
4-3-3Coach: N. McCann
Avg rating6.93
Avg rating6.19
O. Goodman6.61O. Goodman
D. Wright6.87D. Wright
J. Wright6.326J. Wright
R. Astley7.34R. Astley
I. Samuels6.512I. Samuels
J. Bevan7.827J. Bevan
C. Jones6.728C. Jones
E. Hamilton7.748E. Hamilton
A. Forrest7.714A. Forrest
A. Hay9.111A. Hay
B. Fink6.421B. Fink
N. Mantl6.058N. Mantl
J. Brandon6.02J. Brandon
C. McCarthy5.64C. McCarthy
G. Stanger6.214G. Stanger
R. Deas6.16R. Deas
T. Lowery6.518T. Lowery
A. Tshibola6.536A. Tshibola
M. Schjønning-Larsen5.721M. Schjønning-Larsen
T. John-Jules6.810T. John-Jules
J. Hugill6.39J. Hugill
G. Kiltie6.611G. Kiltie

Dundee Substitutes

2B. Halliday
17Ž. Bešir78'for Callum Jones6.4
77Alfie Harrison
3I. Odutayo
45Cole Perrie
18C. Reilly60'for Joseph Bevan6.1
30H. Sharp
19J. Westley65'for Bradley·Fink6.2
6M. Akinmboni66'for Joe Wright6.5

Kilmarnock Substitutes

29D. Daniels89'for Cathal McCarthy6.3
32R. Ellis
3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara70'for Robbie Deas90+3'5.8
23Roshaun Mathurin
7R. McKenzie
19J. Meier76'for Jamie Brandon6.4
8E. Ring
12C. Ferrie
27I. Owen76'for Greg Kiltie6.2

Match Stats

DundeeKilmarnock
46%Ball Possession54%
7Corner Kicks5
0Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots15
5Shots on Goal3
8Shots off Goal8
11Shots Inside Box13
4Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots4
7Fouls13
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
405Total Passes412
304Passes Accurate322
13Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

DundeeDundee
KilmarnockKilmarnock
1585Elo Rating 1486
2.04Attack 1.16
1.58Defense 0.48
58%Hit Rate 19%
15.1Shots per Game 12.2
5.9Shots on Target 2.8
6.5Corners per Game 4.7
1.2Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

DundeeDundee
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)
KilmarnockKilmarnock
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

DundeeDundee3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
KilmarnockKilmarnock3Wins · 30%
3.3Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership12/05/2026
KilmarnockDundee
31
Premiership11/04/2026
KilmarnockDundee
22
FA Cup17/01/2026
KilmarnockDundee
12
Premiership30/12/2025
DundeeKilmarnock
21
Premiership23/08/2025
KilmarnockDundee
00
Premiership10/05/2025
KilmarnockDundee
32
Premiership30/11/2024
KilmarnockDundee
11
Premiership03/11/2024
DundeeKilmarnock
32
Premiership05/10/2024
DundeeKilmarnock
23
Premiership18/05/2024
DundeeKilmarnock
11

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1191127:8+1928DWWWL
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
6FalkirkFalkirk1143413:12+115WWWLD
7ST MirrenST Mirren1142512:19-714DWLLL
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1134413:17-413DLDWD
9AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
10MotherwellMotherwell1123613:20-79DLLLL
11HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1122711:26-158LLWLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1127:828
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4DundeeDundee1117:1317
5Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
6FalkirkFalkirk1113:1215
7ST MirrenST Mirren1112:1914
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1113:1713
9AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
10MotherwellMotherwell1113:209
11HibernianHibernian1111:178
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1111:268
PromotionRelegation

About the Dundee vs Kilmarnock forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dundee and Kilmarnock in the Premiership table

The table shows a wide gap: Dundee are 4th in the Premiership, while Kilmarnock sit 12th, 9 points behind. League goal record so far: Dundee 17-13, Kilmarnock 11-26. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.