Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Prediction

Heart Of Midlothian
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Dundee
Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalGOODModel70%RiskMediumGap0.0%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalHIGHModel67%RiskMediumGap+7.2%
Heart Of Midlothian Rest
2 days
Dundee Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.46
X
19%4.40
2
10%6.50
Double Chance
1X
90%1.12
X2
29%2.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.03 + 0.93 = 2.96
Over 1.5
83%1.18
Over 2.5
60%1.57
Over 3.5
35%2.42
Under 1.5
17%4.63
Under 2.5
40%2.27
Under 3.5
65%1.55
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4.2 = 10.6
Over 8.5
66%1.37
Over 9.5
54%1.67
Over 10.5
47%2.04
Under 8.5
34%2.71
Under 9.5
46%2.08
Under 10.5
53%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%1.83
Over 4.5
27%2.12
Under 3.5
54%1.83
Under 4.5
73%1.67

Match Events

10'Joe Westley INBobby Wales out
17'Bradley·FinkAssist: Imari Samuels
35'Josh McpakeFoul
45+8'Ryan FinniganFoul
45'Ryan Finnigan INJack Moorhouse out
45'Oisin McEntee INHarry Milne out
60'Calvin Miller INSabah Kerjota out
60'Jordi Altena INChristian Dahle Borchgrevink out
62'Ethan HamiltonFoul
65'Bradley·Fink INJoe Wright out
65'Alan Forrest INJoseph Bevan out
66'James wilson INJerome Williams out
69'Imari SamuelsFoul
76'Finlay Robertson INZan Besir out
82'Penalty confirmedChristian Dahle Borchgrevink
84'Claudio Rafael Soares Braga(Penalty)
87'Imari Samuels INCharlie Reilly out
90'Card upgrade confirmedZan Besir
90+1'Zan BesirSerious foul
90+6'Sabah KerjotaAssist: Josh Mcpake
90+7'Sabah Kerjota

Lineups

Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-3-1Coach: W. Vrancken
Dundee
4-4-2Coach: S. Pressley
B. Reus1B. ReusB. Reus
J. Altena23J. AltenaJ. Altena
O. McEntee6O. McEnteeO. McEntee
S. Findlay17S. FindlayS. Findlay
J. McCart5J. McCartJ. McCart
T. Magnússon22T. MagnússonT. Magnússon
L. Mendy78L. MendyL. Mendy
C. Miller7C. MillerC. Miller
Cláudio Braga10C. BragaCláudio Braga
J. McPake15J. McPakeJ. McPake
J. Wilson21J. WilsonJ. Wilson
O. Goodman1O. GoodmanO. Goodman
D. Wright7D. WrightD. Wright
R. Astley4R. AstleyR. Astley
O. Bevan5O. BevanO. Bevan
I. Samuels12I. SamuelsI. Samuels
F. Robertson10F. RobertsonF. Robertson
R. Finnigan8R. FinniganR. Finnigan
E. Hamilton48E. HamiltonE. Hamilton
A. Forrest14A. ForrestA. Forrest
B. Fink21B. FinkB. Fink
J. Westley19J. WestleyJ. Westley

Heart Of Midlothian Substitutes

2C. BorchgrevinkD
30R. FultonG
19S. GuendouzF
11P. KaboreF
29S. KerjotaF
74R. MatoF
18H. MilneD
9J. WilliamsF
77A. Ba-SyF

Dundee Substitutes

2B. HallidayD
13K. O'HaraG
3I. OdutayoD
18C. ReillyF
9B. WalesF
26J. WrightD
27J. BevanM
17Ž. BeširM
16J. MoorhouseM

Match Stats

Heart Of MidlothianDundee
55%Ball Possession45%
14Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
27Total Shots4
7Shots on Goal1
11Shots off Goal3
17Shots Inside Box2
10Shots Outside Box2
9Blocked Shots0
11Fouls19
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
623Total Passes255
526Passes Accurate162
18Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
DundeeDundee
1731Elo Rating 1567
2.32Attack 1.02
2.27Defense 1.42
86%Hit Rate 17%
17.6Shots per Game 8.2
6.5Shots on Target 2.1
9.5Corners per Game 2.6
1.8Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+164 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
DundeeDundee
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Heart Of Midlothian 83%Draw 0%17% Dundee
2.01Avg Goals
14%BTTS Rate
34%Over 2.5

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic660014:3+1118WWWWW
2RangersRangers64117:4+313WWWWL
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian640213:7+612LWWWW
4ST MirrenST Mirren63128:6+210LLWDW
5MotherwellMotherwell62228:9-18LLWDD
6DundeeDundee62137:6+17LDLWW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone62138:9-17LWDLL
8AberdeenAberdeen62136:7-17WDLLL
9HibernianHibernian62047:10-36LLLWW
10FalkirkFalkirk61235:8-35WDLLD
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd61236:11-55DLWLL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock61145:14-94WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic614:318
2RangersRangers67:413
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian613:712
4ST MirrenST Mirren68:610
5MotherwellMotherwell68:98
6DundeeDundee67:67
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone68:97
8AberdeenAberdeen66:77
9HibernianHibernian67:106
10FalkirkFalkirk65:85
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd66:115
12KilmarnockKilmarnock65:144
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Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premiership fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Premiership

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Key Factors for This Match

Heart Of Midlothian have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.01 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.