Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee Prediction

Heart Of Midlothian
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Dundee
Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalSOLIDModel70%SurpriseMediumGap0.0%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+7.2%
Heart Of Midlothian Rest
2 days
Dundee Rest
3 days

Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee: the result in context

Heart Of Midlothian beat Dundee 2-1 in the Premiership on 6 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Heart Of Midlothian had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Dundee.

Heart Of Midlothian have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game. Dundee tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 3.8 for Heart Of Midlothian.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.46
X
19%4.40
2
10%6.50
Double Chance
1X
90%1.12
X2
29%2.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.03 + 0.93 = 2.96
Over 1.5
83%1.18
Over 2.5
60%1.57
Over 3.5
35%2.42
Under 1.5
17%4.63
Under 2.5
40%2.27
Under 3.5
65%1.55
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4.2 = 10.6
Over 8.5
66%1.37
Over 9.5
54%1.67
Over 10.5
47%2.04
Under 8.5
34%2.71
Under 9.5
46%2.08
Under 10.5
53%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
46%1.83
Over 4.5
27%2.12
Under 3.5
54%1.83
Under 4.5
73%1.67

Match Events

10'Joe Westley INBobby Wales out
17'Bradley·FinkAssist: Imari Samuels
35'Josh McpakeFoul
45'Ryan Finnigan INJack Moorhouse out
45'Oisin McEntee INHarry Milne out
45+8'Ryan FinniganFoul
60'Calvin Miller INSabah Kerjota out
60'Jordi Altena INChristian Dahle Borchgrevink out
62'Ethan HamiltonFoul
65'Bradley·Fink INJoe Wright out
65'Alan Forrest INJoseph Bevan out
66'James wilson INJerome Williams out
69'Imari SamuelsFoul
76'Finlay Robertson INZan Besir out
82'Penalty confirmedChristian Dahle Borchgrevink
84'Claudio Rafael Soares Braga(Penalty)
87'Imari Samuels INCharlie Reilly out
90'Card upgrade confirmedZan Besir
90+1'Zan BesirSerious foul
90+6'Sabah KerjotaAssist: Josh Mcpake
90+7'Sabah Kerjota

Lineups

Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-3-1Coach: W. Vrancken
Dundee
4-4-2Coach: S. Pressley
Avg rating6.82
Avg rating6.19
B. Reus6.31B. Reus
J. Altena6.723J. Altena
O. McEntee7.16O. McEntee
S. Findlay7.317S. Findlay
J. McCart6.95J. McCart
T. Magnússon6.322T. Magnússon
L. Mendy6.678L. Mendy
C. Miller6.47C. Miller
Cláudio Braga6.810C. Braga
J. McPake7.415J. McPake
J. Wilson6.321J. Wilson
O. Goodman6.91O. Goodman
D. Wright5.97D. Wright
R. Astley6.14R. Astley
O. Bevan6.35O. Bevan
I. Samuels6.412I. Samuels
F. Robertson6.210F. Robertson
R. Finnigan5.78R. Finnigan
E. Hamilton6.048E. Hamilton
A. Forrest5.814A. Forrest
B. Fink7.321B. Fink
J. Westley6.319J. Westley

Heart Of Midlothian Substitutes

2C. Borchgrevink60'for Jordi Altena6.5
30R. Fulton
19S. Guendouz
11P. Kabore
29S. Kerjota60'for Calvin Miller90+6'90+7'8.2
74R. Mato
18H. Milne45'for Oisin McEntee7.0
9J. Williams66'for James wilson6.7
77A. Ba-Sy

Dundee Substitutes

2B. Halliday
13K. O'Hara
3I. Odutayo
18C. Reilly87'for Imari Samuels6.4
9B. Wales10'for Joe Westley6.0
26J. Wright65'for Bradley·Fink6.2
27J. Bevan65'for Alan Forrest5.9
17Ž. Bešir76'for Finlay Robertson90+1'5.2
16J. Moorhouse45'for Ryan Finnigan6.5

Match Stats

Heart Of MidlothianDundee
72%Ball Possession28%
14Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
27Total Shots4
7Shots on Goal1
11Shots off Goal3
17Shots Inside Box2
10Shots Outside Box2
9Blocked Shots0
11Fouls19
1Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves5
622Total Passes254
525Passes Accurate163
84%Pass Accuracy64%

Team Comparison

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
DundeeDundee
1682Elo Rating 1585
1.30Attack 2.04
0.77Defense 1.58
23%Hit Rate 58%
15.9Shots per Game 15.1
4.8Shots on Target 5.9
3.8Corners per Game 6.5
2.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
DundeeDundee
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian8Wins · 80%
Draws00%
DundeeDundee2Wins · 20%
3.1Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership21/03/2026
Heart Of MidlothianDundee
10
Premiership11/01/2026
DundeeHeart Of Midlothian
01
Premiership01/11/2025
Heart Of MidlothianDundee
40
Premiership26/04/2025
Heart Of MidlothianDundee
01
FA Cup07/03/2025
Heart Of MidlothianDundee
31
Premiership01/02/2025
DundeeHeart Of Midlothian
06
Premiership07/12/2024
Heart Of MidlothianDundee
20
Premiership10/08/2024
DundeeHeart Of Midlothian
31
Premiership11/05/2024
Heart Of MidlothianDundee
30
Premiership03/02/2024
DundeeHeart Of Midlothian
23

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic1291227:10+1728LDWWW
2RangersRangers1173119:9+1024DWDWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1162324:17+720DWLWD
4FalkirkFalkirk1253415:12+318WWWWL
5DundeeDundee1152417:13+417WLDWW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1144316:16016DWDWW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1235415:19-414DDLDW
8ST MirrenST Mirren1242612:20-814LDWLL
9MotherwellMotherwell1233614:20-612WDLLL
10AberdeenAberdeen1132612:14-211LLWLD
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1223713:28-159DLLWL
12HibernianHibernian1122711:17-68DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1227:1028
2RangersRangers1119:924
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1124:1720
4FalkirkFalkirk1215:1218
5DundeeDundee1117:1317
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1116:1616
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1215:1914
8ST MirrenST Mirren1212:2014
9MotherwellMotherwell1214:2012
10AberdeenAberdeen1112:1411
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1213:289
12HibernianHibernian1111:178
PromotionRelegation

About the Heart Of Midlothian vs Dundee forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee in the Premiership table

Heart Of Midlothian and Dundee are close in the Premiership table, 3rd and 5th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Heart Of Midlothian 24-17, Dundee 17-13. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.