Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Prediction
Scotland · Regular Season - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell: the result in context
Kilmarnock beat Motherwell 3-2 in the Premiership on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Kilmarnock
Avg ratingAvg rating
12C. Ferrie
3M. Kamson-Kamara
4C. McCarthy
14G. Stanger
21M. Schjønning-Larsen
49B. Rice
18T. Lowery
8E. Ring
10T. John-Jules
11G. Kiltie
9J. Hugill
1A. Paulsen
7T. Sparrow
2S. O'Donnell
5M. Moormann
45M. Emmanuel
8L. Fadinger
71J. Hodge
18T. Jethro Maswanhise
11A. Lowry
19I. Said
47S. Palmer-HouldenKilmarnock Substitutes
Motherwell Substitutes
Match Stats
KilmarnockMotherwell Team Comparison
KilmarnockMotherwellAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Kilmarnock- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Motherwell- No tendency data available
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Kilmarnock2Wins · 20%3Wins · 30%Previous meetings
24/01/2026MotherwellKilmarnock22/11/2025KilmarnockMotherwell30/08/2025MotherwellKilmarnock14/05/2025MotherwellKilmarnock05/04/2025KilmarnockMotherwell08/01/2025KilmarnockMotherwell20/12/2024MotherwellKilmarnock
18/08/2024MotherwellKilmarnock03/02/2024MotherwellKilmarnock04/11/2023KilmarnockMotherwellRecent Form
Kilmarnock
RangersKilmarnockKilmarnock
Heart Of Midlothian
HibernianKilmarnockKilmarnock
AberdeenAberdeenKilmarnockKilmarnock
ST MirrenKilmarnock
Dundee UtdKilmarnock
Ayr UtdKilmarnock
Celtic
ST JohnstoneKilmarnockMotherwellMotherwellCeltic
DundeeMotherwellMotherwellAberdeenRangersMotherwellMotherwellDundee UtdST MirrenMotherwell
SC FreiburgMotherwellMotherwellSC Freiburg
StenhousemuirMotherwellMotherwell
HJK HelsinkiLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | +18 | 24 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Rangers | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | +6 | 20 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:15 | +5 | 16 | LWDLW |
| 4 | Dundee | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:10 | +3 | 14 | DWWLD |
| 5 | ST Johnstone | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 | DWDLW |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 | DWWDL |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 | WLDWD |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 9 |  Falkirk | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 | WLDWD |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 | LLLLL |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 | LLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtic | 9 | 23:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Rangers | 9 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Heart Of Midlothian | 9 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 4 | Dundee | 9 | 13:10 | 14 |
| 5 | ST Johnstone | 9 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Dundee Utd | 9 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 7 | Aberdeen | 9 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 8 | ST Mirren | 9 | 9:17 | 10 |
| 9 | Falkirk | 9 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 9 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 10:20 | 8 |
| 12 | Hibernian | 9 | 9:14 | 7 |
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This match
About the Kilmarnock vs Motherwell forecast
The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Kilmarnock and Motherwell in the Premiership table
In the Premiership table, Kilmarnock (11th) and Motherwell (10th) are level on 8 points. League goal record so far: Kilmarnock 10-20, Motherwell 11-16. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.