Iran vs New Zealand Prediction

World CupWorld World · Group Stage - 1
Cup
Iran
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
New Zealand
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood· César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico 16/06/2026
IranIran
2-2
Finished
New ZealandNew Zealand

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
90%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalGOODModel74%RiskMediumGap+5.2%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.80
SignalSTRONGModel67%RiskMediumGap+10.2%
Iran Rest
11 days
New Zealand Rest
9 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.80
X
26%3.50
2
10%4.92
Double Chance
1X
90%1.18
X2
36%2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%2.15
No
47%1.65
Goals
Projected Goals: 3.25 + 0.87 = 4.12
Over 1.5
74%1.44
Over 2.5
52%2.39
Over 3.5
33%4.50
Under 1.5
26%2.70
Under 2.5
48%1.57
Under 3.5
67%1.19
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 4.2 = 9.2
Over 8.5
52%2.05
Over 9.5
47%2.67
Over 10.5
34%3.65
Under 8.5
48%1.71
Under 9.5
53%1.43
Under 10.5
66%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2 = 3.5
Over 3.5
57%1.69
Over 4.5
34%2.35
Under 3.5
43%2.06
Under 4.5
66%1.53

Match Events

7'E. JustAssist: C. Wood
32'R. Rezaeian
46'A. Yousefi INM. Ghaedi out
53'S. Moghanlou INA. Alipour out
54'E. JustAssist: C. Wood
64'M. MohebiAssist: R. Rezaeian
65'S. Ghoddos INE. Hajsafi out
68'L. Cacace INB. Old out
68'C. McCowatt INR. Thomas out
78'T. Payne INC. Elliot out
80'M. Taremi INA. Hosseinzadeh out
89'E. HajsafiTripping
90+2'S. Singh INJ. Randall out
90+2'M. Stamenic INT. Bindon out

Lineups

Iran
4-4-2Coach: Amir Ghalenoei
New Zealand
4-2-3-1
Alireza Beiranvand1A. BeiranvandAlireza Beiranvand
Ramin Rezaeian23R. RezaeianRamin Rezaeian
Shoja Khalilzadeh4S. KhalilzadehShoja Khalilzadeh
Ali Nemati19A. NematiAli Nemati
Milad Mohammadi5M. MohammadiMilad Mohammadi
Mohammad Mohebi8M. MohebiMohammad Mohebi
Saman Ghoddos14S. GhoddosSaman Ghoddos
Saeid Ezatolahi6S. EzatolahiSaeid Ezatolahi
Aria Yousefi17A. YousefiAria Yousefi
Shahriar Moghanlou20S. MoghanlouShahriar Moghanlou
Mehdi Taremi9M. TaremiMehdi Taremi
Max Crocombe1M. CrocombeMax Crocombe
Tim Payne2T. PayneTim Payne
Finn Surman16F. SurmanFinn Surman
Michael Boxall5M. BoxallMichael Boxall
Liberato Cacace13L. CacaceLiberato Cacace
Joe Bell6J. BellJoe Bell
Marko Stamenić8M. StamenićMarko Stamenić
Callum McCowatt20C. McCowattCallum McCowatt
Sarpreet Singh10S. SinghSarpreet Singh
Elijah Just11E. JustElijah Just
Chris Wood9C. WoodChris Wood

Iran Substitutes

10Mehdi GhayediF
11Ali AlipourF
3Ehsan HajsafiD
18Amirhossein HosseinzadehF
12Payam NiazmandG
22Hossein HosseiniG
2Saleh HardaniD
13Hossein KanaaniD
15Roozbeh CheshmiM
25Danial EiriD
26Amirmohammad RazzaghiniaM
21Mohammad GhorbaniM
16Mahdi TorabiM
7Alireza JahanbakhshF
24Dennis Eckert AyensaF

New Zealand Substitutes

19Benjamin OldF
23Ryan ThomasM
24Callan ElliotD
4Tyler BindonD
21Jesse RandallF
12Alex PaulsenG
22Michael WoudG
26Tommy SmithD
3Francis De VriesD
15Nando PijnakerD
25Lachlan BaylissM
14Alex RuferM
18Ben WaineF
17Kosta BarbarousesF

Match Stats

IranNew Zealand
48%Ball Possession52%
4Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards0
17Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal8
8Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box10
7Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
10Fouls8
2Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves2
405Total Passes446
312Passes Accurate377
77%Pass Accuracy85%

Team Comparison

IranIran
New ZealandNew Zealand
1738Elo Rating 1515
0.94Attack 2.05
1.89Defense 0.43
0%Hit Rate 17%
12.0Shots per Game 10.8
4.2Shots on Target 4.6
3.1Corners per Game 4.0
2.7Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+223 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy4.12 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

IranIran
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
New ZealandNew Zealand
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

IranIran
3W1D1L
04/06/2026
IranMali
20
W
29/05/2026
IranGambia
31
W
10/06/2025
IranNorth Korea
30
W
05/06/2025
QatarIran
10
L
25/03/2025
IranUzbekistan
22
D
New ZealandNew Zealand
3W0D2L
06/06/2026
EnglandNew Zealand
10
L
03/06/2026
HaitiNew Zealand
40
L
24/03/2025
New CaledoniaNew Zealand
03
W
21/03/2025
New ZealandFiji
70
W
18/11/2024
SamoaNew Zealand
08
W

Referee Profile

César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico · 3 matches analysed

3.4Avg Yellows
3.5Avg Cards
23.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 5% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026

Group G

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BelgiumBelgium31206:2+45WDD
2EgyptEgypt31205:3+25DWD
3IranIran30303:303DDD
4New ZealandNew Zealand30124:10-61LLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BelgiumBelgium36:25
2EgyptEgypt35:35
3IranIran33:33
4New ZealandNew Zealand34:101

Group Stage

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Congo DRCongo DR31114:3+14WLD
2SwedenSweden31117:704DLW
3GhanaGhana31112:204LDW
4EcuadorEcuador31112:204WDL
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina31115:6-14WLD
6AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
7ParaguayParaguay31112:4-24DWL
8SenegalSenegal31028:6+23WLL
9IranIran30303:303DDD
10South KoreaSouth Korea31022:3-13LLW
11ScotlandScotland31021:4-33LLW
12UruguayUruguay30213:4-12LDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Congo DRCongo DR34:34
2SwedenSweden37:74
3GhanaGhana32:24
4EcuadorEcuador32:24
5Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina35:64
6AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
7ParaguayParaguay32:44
8SenegalSenegal38:63
9IranIran33:33
10South KoreaSouth Korea32:33
11ScotlandScotland31:43
12UruguayUruguay33:42

Bracket

Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0
Canada0
Morocco3
Paraguay0
France1
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland04
Colombia03
On penalties
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway10
England11
After extra time
Argentina12
Switzerland10
After extra time
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Spain01
Argentina00
After extra time
South Africa0
Canada1
Brazil2
Japan1
Germany13
Paraguay14
On penalties
Netherlands12
Morocco13
On penalties
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
France3
Sweden0
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
Congo DR1
Belgium21
Senegal20
After extra time
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Spain3
Austria0
Portugal2
Croatia1
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Australia12
Egypt14
On penalties
Argentina12
Cape Verde Islands11
After extra time
Colombia1
Ghana0

Iran vs New Zealand Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Iran and New Zealand have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.