Eibar vs Las Palmas Prediction

Eibar
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Las Palmas
Ipurua Municipal Stadium, Eibar·Salvador Lax 27/09/2026
EibarEibar
3-2
Finished
Las PalmasLas Palmas

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-8.4%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.54
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Eibar Rest
8 days
Las Palmas Rest
7 days

Eibar vs Las Palmas: the result in context

Eibar beat Las Palmas 3-2 in the Segunda División on 27 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Eibar had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Las Palmas.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.76
X
28%3.50
2
22%4.50
Double Chance
1X
78%1.19
X2
50%1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.70
No
47%2.03
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 0.96 = 2.65
Over 1.5
76%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.83
Over 3.5
32%3.05
Under 1.5
24%3.75
Under 2.5
48%1.97
Under 3.5
68%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.5 = 9.1
Over 8.5
53%1.62
Over 9.5
42%2.02
Over 10.5
29%2.70
Under 8.5
47%2.11
Under 9.5
58%1.68
Under 10.5
71%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.5 = 4.8
Over 3.5
70%1.43
Over 4.5
52%1.85
Under 3.5
30%2.71
Under 4.5
48%1.83

Match Events

6'Ander Madariaga SusaetaAssist: Malcom Ares
9'Alvaro RodriguezAssist: Malcom Ares
24'Valentín Alejandro PezzolesiAssist: Iván Jaime
28'Giovanni BonfantiFoul
37'Alex SuárezHandball
61'Manu Fuster INJefte Betancor Sanchez out
62'Javier Martón AnsóAssist: jon guruzeta
68'Malcom Ares INElijah Gift Izobodo John out
68'Javier Martón Ansó INJon Bautista out
69'Aleix Garrido INLucas Nuñez Ramirez out
69'Kirian RodríguezDissent
71'Jesé Rodríguez INElías Romero out
71'Alex Suárez INAndrés Rodríguez Martínez out
79'jon guruzeta INPejiño out
81'Giovanni Bonfanti INSandro Ramírez out
81'Iván Jaime
85'Jefte Betancor SanchezAssist: Elías Romero
86'Andrés Rodríguez MartínezFoul
90+1'Valentín Alejandro PezzolesiFoul
90+2'Iñaki González ZambranoFoul
90+4'Iñaki González Zambrano

Lineups

Eibar
4-2-3-1Coach: Jokin Arambarri
Las Palmas
4-4-2Coach: Rubén De La Barrera
Avg rating6.96
Avg rating6.37
Jon Mikel6.913J. Mikel
Álvaro Rodríguez7.222Á. Rodríguez
Unai Elgezabal6.84U. Elgezabal
Anaitz Arbilla7.223A. Arbilla
Juan Bernat6.424J. Bernat
Aleix Garrido6.730A. Garrido
Ander Madariaga8.28A. Madariaga
Malcom Adu8.47M. Adu
Jon Magunazelaia6.011J. Magunazelaia
Jon Guruzeta7.110J. Guruzeta
Javi Martón7.720J. Martón
José Caro5.713J. Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi6.725V. Pezzolesi
Álex Suárez6.24Á. Suárez
G. Bonfanti6.121G. Bonfanti
E. Loiodice6.612E. Loiodice
T. Miyashiro5.811T. Miyashiro
Kirian Rodríguez6.520K. Rodríguez
Iñaki González Zambrano6.36I. González Zambrano
Iván Jaime7.224I. Jaime
Jesé6.410Jesé
Manu Fuster6.814M. Fuster

Eibar Substitutes

15Jair Amador
18M. Arana
9Jon Bautista68'for Javier Martón Ansó6.3
17Pejiño79'for jon guruzeta6.8
2Sergio Cubero
3Imanol García de Albéniz
21Iván Gil
27Elijah Gift Izobodo John68'for Malcom Ares6.5
1Luis López
28Lucas Nuñez69'for Aleix Garrido6.2
19Eric Pérez

Las Palmas Substitutes

26A. Bassinga
7Jefté Betancor61'for Manu Fuster85'7.3
30I. Medina
3N. Opoku
19Sandro Ramírez81'for Giovanni Bonfanti6.3
23A. Rodriguez71'for Alex Suárez86'5.5
29Elías Romero71'for Jesé Rodríguez6.5
42Rachid Saiah Bouchaiba
35Adrián Suárez
41Jorge Valverde Dios
44Adrián Vázquez
16Mateo Acimovic

Match Stats

EibarLas Palmas
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards6
0Red Cards1
18Total Shots11
6Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box5
6Blocked Shots2
6Fouls12
3Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves3
466Total Passes490
404Passes Accurate424
10Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

EibarEibar
Las PalmasLas Palmas
1687Elo Rating 1620
1.34Attack 1.08
1.20Defense 0.97
31%Hit Rate 27%
14.3Shots per Game 9.0
5.5Shots on Target 3.1
3.8Corners per Game 3.6
1.5Cards per Game 4.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

EibarEibar
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Las PalmasLas Palmas
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

EibarEibar2Wins · 34%
Draws233%
Las PalmasLas Palmas2Wins · 33%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Segunda División29/03/2026
EibarLas Palmas
31
Segunda División19/10/2025
Las PalmasEibar
31
Segunda División08/05/2023
EibarLas Palmas
01
Segunda División06/11/2022
Las PalmasEibar
11
Segunda División15/04/2022
EibarLas Palmas
22
Segunda División18/12/2021
Las PalmasEibar
01

Recent Form

EibarEibar
7W2D1L
19/09/2026
EldenseEibar
12
W
14/09/2026
Celta de Vigo IIEibar
04
W
06/09/2026
EibarGranada CF
30
W
30/08/2026
FC AndorraEibar
01
W
23/08/2026
EibarValladolid
10
W
16/08/2026
EibarTenerife
13
L
08/08/2026
Real UniónEibar
11
D
01/08/2026
EibarArenas Getxo
50
W
29/07/2026
Real Sociedad IIEibar
01
W
25/07/2026
Athletic ClubEibar
22
D
Las PalmasLas Palmas
4W1D5L
20/09/2026
Las PalmasBurgos
12
L
12/09/2026
CadizLas Palmas
01
W
04/09/2026
Las PalmasLeganes
00
D
29/08/2026
GironaLas Palmas
52
L
22/08/2026
AD Ceuta FCLas Palmas
02
W
16/08/2026
Las PalmasAlbacete
21
W
31/07/2026
Las PalmasNEOM
01
L
28/07/2026
Las PalmasUnião de Leiria
32
W
25/07/2026
Las PalmasAl-Ittihad FC
12
L
22/07/2026
Orlando PiratesLas Palmas
10
L

Referee Profile

Salvador Lax113 matches

4.72Cards per match
4.52Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Salvador Lax4.72
Other referees5.17

4.72 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.17).

Cards come from 67 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
2CastellónCastellón1072118:4+1423WLDWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1061311:9+219WWWLW
8OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
9BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
2CastellónCastellón1018:423
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1011:919
8OviedoOviedo1115:1218
9BurgosBurgos1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Eibar vs Las Palmas forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Eibar and Las Palmas in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Eibar are 3rd and Las Palmas 14th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Eibar 20-13, Las Palmas 14-19. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.