Eldense vs Oviedo Prediction

Eldense
4-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Oviedo
Nuevo Pepico Amat, Alicante·Rafael Sanchez Lopez 02/10/2026
EldenseEldense
4-1
Finished
OviedoOviedo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap-4.2%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.59
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+6.1%
Eldense Rest
5 days
Oviedo Rest
4 days

Eldense vs Oviedo: result, form and history

Eldense beat Oviedo 4-1 in the Segunda División on 2 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Oviedo had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Eldense.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 4 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.47
X
32%3.00
2
30%2.96
Double Chance
1X
70%1.36
X2
62%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.98
No
52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.24 + 1.16 = 2.40
Over 1.5
66%1.46
Over 2.5
41%2.40
Over 3.5
20%4.87
Under 1.5
34%2.62
Under 2.5
59%1.55
Under 3.5
80%1.17
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
67%1.59
Over 9.5
55%2.08
Over 10.5
43%2.50
Under 8.5
33%2.19
Under 9.5
45%1.71
Under 10.5
57%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.40
Over 4.5
47%1.83
Under 3.5
34%2.83
Under 4.5
53%1.84

Match Events

1'Alberto ReinaAssist: David Jimenez
22'Samuel Rodríguez de la RivaDissent
40'David JimenezFoul
43'Alex Serradell GarralagaDissent
45'Iker Recio Ortega INJuan Larios López out
45'Guillermo Macho Muñoz INRoberto López out
50'Juan Larios LópezFoul
56'Roberto López(Penalty)
64'Samuel Rodríguez de la Riva INJuan Cruz out
65'David Jimenez INAisar Ahmed out
65'Daniel Villahermosa INEnzo Pérez Miranda out
65'Roberto López INAingeru Olabarrieta out
67'Pablo SaenzFoul
68'Fidel(Penalty)
71'Fidel INMarcos Bustillo Aquesolo out
71'Carlos DominguezFoul
73'Youness Lachhab Didi INVíctor García Mingo out
76'Waldo Rubio INJorge Rastrojo out
83'Juan Cruz INNacho Vidal out
90'Aingeru OlabarrietaAssist: Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo
90+5'Jorge Rastrojo

Lineups

Eldense
4-2-3-1Coach: Javi Calleja
Oviedo
4-1-2-1-2Coach: Julián Calero
Avg rating6.71
Avg rating6.09
Ramón Vila6.01R. Vila
A. Ibarrondo6.719A. Ibarrondo
Alex Serradell6.15A. Serradell
F. Smand7.14F. Smand
Iker Recio6.52I. Recio
Carlos Guirao7.115C. Guirao
Guillermo Macho6.318G. Macho
Fidel7.110Fidel
Javi Martínez6.224J. Martínez
Waldo Rubio6.420W. Rubio
Manu Nieto6.111M. Nieto
Miguel Narváez6.81M. Narváez
David Jiménez5.921D. Jiménez
Dani Calvo5.812D. Calvo
Carlos Domínguez5.623C. Domínguez
S. Rodriguez5.315S. Rodriguez
Y. Didi6.25Y. Didi
Dani Villahermosa6.46D. Villahermosa
Mikel Goti6.48M. Goti
Alberto Reina7.210A. Reina
Jacobo González6.611J. González
Pablo Sáenz6.020P. Sáenz

Eldense Substitutes

34J. Olaizola
13Juanpa
29Dinis Rodrigues
7Jorge Rastrojo76'for Waldo Rubio90+5'7.6
22J. Yanda
8Marcos Bustillo71'for Fidel6.5
6Borja Calvo
17Jesús Clemente
3Juan Larios45'for Iker Recio Ortega50'6.2
12Roberto López45'for Guillermo Macho Muñoz56'65'for Aingeru Olabarrieta7.8
23Jordi Martín
33Aingeru Olabarrieta65'replaced by Roberto López90'7.7

Oviedo Substitutes

22Nacho Vidal83'replaced by Juan Cruz5.7
32Enzo Perez65'for Daniel Villahermosa6.0
18V. Mingo73'for Youness Lachhab Didi6.3
28D. Menendez
30Marco Esteban
3Juan Cruz64'for Samuel Rodríguez de la Riva83'for Nacho Vidal5.7
4David Costas
2Aisar65'for David Jimenez5.5
33Óscar de la Hera
27Samuel Franganillo

Match Stats

EldenseOviedo
54%Ball Possession46%
6Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards4
17Total Shots15
9Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal5
12Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots6
18Fouls17
1Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves5
417Total Passes356
338Passes Accurate272
14Free Kicks17

Team Comparison

EldenseEldense
OviedoOviedo
1616Elo Rating 1643
2.19Attack 2.03
1.59Defense 1.37
69%Hit Rate 56%
15.2Shots per Game 17.6
5.5Shots on Target 7.1
5.2Corners per Game 6.1
2.8Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

EldenseEldense
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
OviedoOviedo
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

EldenseEldense0Wins · 0%
Draws375%
OviedoOviedo1Wins · 25%
2.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División10/02/2025
OviedoEldense
00
Segunda División21/09/2024
EldenseOviedo
11
Segunda División04/02/2024
OviedoEldense
11
Segunda División01/10/2023
EldenseOviedo
13

Recent Form

EldenseEldense
1W2D7L
27/09/2026
BurgosEldense
10
L
19/09/2026
EldenseEibar
12
L
13/09/2026
Sporting GijonEldense
01
W
05/09/2026
EldenseMallorca
00
D
29/08/2026
LeganesEldense
10
L
22/08/2026
EldenseCadiz
22
D
17/08/2026
AlmeriaEldense
30
L
07/08/2026
AlbaceteEldense
10
L
04/08/2026
EldenseVillarreal II
13
L
01/08/2026
Real MurciaEldense
21
L
OviedoOviedo
4W3D3L
27/09/2026
OviedoSporting Gijon
20
W
20/09/2026
SabadellOviedo
31
L
13/09/2026
ValladolidOviedo
03
W
06/09/2026
OviedoBurgos
00
D
29/08/2026
AlbaceteOviedo
01
W
22/08/2026
OviedoLeganes
01
L
15/08/2026
OviedoGranada CF
00
D
01/08/2026
1. FC NürnbergOviedo
21
L
29/07/2026
OviedoPonferradina
40
W
25/07/2026
OviedoDeportivo La Coruna
00
D

Referee Profile

Rafael Sanchez Lopez200 matches

4.94Cards per match
4.68Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Rafael Sanchez Lopez4.94
Other referees5.14

4.94 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 120 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Eldense vs Oviedo forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Eldense and Oviedo in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Oviedo are 9th and Eldense 13th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Eldense 13-15, Oviedo 15-12. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Oviedo have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.