Cadiz vs Leganes Prediction

Cadiz
4-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Leganes
Nuevo Mirandilla, Cadiz·Morilla Turrion, Alejandro 03/10/2026
CadizCadiz
4-0
Finished
LeganesLeganes

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.69
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Cadiz Rest
7 days
Leganes Rest
4 days

Cadiz vs Leganes: the result in context

Cadiz beat Leganes 4-0 in the Segunda División on 3 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Leganes had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Cadiz.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.75
X
30%3.10
2
34%2.60
Double Chance
1X
66%1.45
X2
64%1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.85
No
50%1.84
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.05 = 2.31
Over 1.5
68%1.39
Over 2.5
43%2.24
Over 3.5
22%4.10
Under 1.5
32%2.88
Under 2.5
57%1.63
Under 3.5
78%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.1 = 9.2
Over 8.5
58%1.65
Over 9.5
47%2.09
Over 10.5
34%2.67
Under 8.5
42%2.06
Under 9.5
53%1.68
Under 10.5
66%1.36
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.6 = 5.1
Over 3.5
75%1.38
Over 4.5
57%1.82
Under 3.5
25%2.92
Under 4.5
43%1.88

Match Events

6'Antonio CorderoAssist: Vladyslav Kopotun
43'Yassine KechtaFoul
54'Vladyslav Kopotun
55'Marc-Olivier Doué INAimen Moueffek out
61'Patrick Soko INDani Rodriguez out
61'Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez INRubén Pulido out
61'Marvelous Antolín Garzón INUnax del Cura out
61'Miguel Atienza INZico Buurmeester out
62'Naim GarciaFoul
69'Manuel Fernández ArroyoFoul
71'Antonio CorderoAssist: Aimen Moueffek
73'Rubén PulidoDissent
74'Juan Díaz PeregrinaFoul
78'Juan Díaz Peregrina INBeñat de Jesús Domingo out
78'Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn INBorja Vazquez out
79'Francisco Montero INÁlvaro Tejero out
83'Aimen MoueffekAssist: Borja Vazquez
84'Vladyslav Kopotun INDamián Rodríguez Sousa out
84'Jandro Orellana INUrko Iruretagoiena Lertxundi out

Lineups

Cadiz
4-2-3-1Coach: Celades
Leganes
3-5-2Coach: Rubén Albés
Avg rating7.35
Avg rating5.98
David Gil6.41D. Gil
J. Diaz Peregrina6.327J. Diaz Peregrina
Javi Castro7.54J. Castro
Manu Fernández7.16M. Fernández
Sergio Arribas8.03S. Arribas
Jandro Orellana6.818J. Orellana
D. A. Zarate Hidalgo7.228D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
Antonio Cordero9.516A. Cordero
M. Doué7.25M. Doué
Ibon Sánchez6.924I. Sánchez
V. Kopotun9.021V. Kopotun
L. Zidane6.613L. Zidane
Lalo Aguilar6.36L. Aguilar
Javi Montero6.03J. Montero
Marvel6.12Marvel
Álex Sancris5.922Á. Sancris
Y. Kechta5.58Y. Kechta
Miguel Atienza6.220M. Atienza
Ismaël Gharbi6.117I. Gharbi
Naim García6.211N. García
P. Soko5.419P. Soko
Álvaro Morata6.421Á. Morata

Cadiz Substitutes

2Beñat de Jesús78'for Juan Díaz Peregrina7.0
20Borja Vazquez78'for Ibon Ignacio Sánchez Océn7.1
19Urko Izeta84'for Jandro Orellana6.7
22Cristian Gutiérrez
9Álvaro García
13Jokin Ezkieta
17A. Moueffek55'for Marc-Olivier Doué83'8.2
10Javi Ontiveros
25G. Petit
23Damián Rodríguez84'for Vladyslav Kopotun6.9
8E. Aghama
31N. Ukwuije

Leganes Substitutes

10Z. Buurmeester61'for Miguel Atienza5.8
18Andrés Campos
32Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
1Raúl Fernández
15Enric Franquesa
38Álex González
9Álex Millán
5Ignasi Miquel
4Rubén Pulido61'for Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez73'5.6
14Dani Rodríguez61'for Patrick Soko5.7
23Álvaro Tejero79'for Francisco Montero5.7
16U. del Cura61'for Marvelous Antolín Garzón6.3

Match Stats

CadizLeganes
46%Ball Possession54%
5Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
24Total Shots12
9Shots on Goal1
10Shots off Goal6
18Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box7
5Blocked Shots5
10Fouls17
0Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves4
369Total Passes441
308Passes Accurate378
16Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

CadizCadiz
LeganesLeganes
1539Elo Rating 1541
1.09Attack 0.27
1.78Defense 0.97
19%Hit Rate 0%
12.5Shots per Game 11.0
3.5Shots on Target 2.2
5.0Corners per Game 4.6
2.4Cards per Game 4.1

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

CadizCadiz
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LeganesLeganes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.3 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

CadizCadiz1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
LeganesLeganes0Wins · 0%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Segunda División24/05/2026
CadizLeganes
30
Segunda División22/08/2025
LeganesCadiz
11

Recent Form

CadizCadiz
1W5D4L
26/09/2026
TenerifeCadiz
11
D
19/09/2026
CadizGirona
12
L
12/09/2026
CadizLas Palmas
01
L
06/09/2026
AlmeriaCadiz
32
L
30/08/2026
CadizValladolid
11
D
22/08/2026
EldenseCadiz
22
D
15/08/2026
CadizCelta de Vigo II
00
D
05/08/2026
CadizGranada CF
20
W
01/08/2026
TenerifeCadiz
2222
D
29/07/2026
CadizAD Ceuta FC
13
L
LeganesLeganes
5W2D3L
28/09/2026
LeganesCastellón
02
L
20/09/2026
LeganesGranada CF
32
W
13/09/2026
TenerifeLeganes
20
L
04/09/2026
Las PalmasLeganes
00
D
29/08/2026
LeganesEldense
10
W
22/08/2026
OviedoLeganes
01
W
16/08/2026
GironaLeganes
11
D
08/08/2026
LeganesTenerife
3040
L
07/08/2026
LeganesMérida AD
30
W
04/08/2026
LeganesAl-Rayyan SC
21
W

Referee Profile

Morilla Turrion3 matches analysed

4.44Cards per match
4.28Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 51% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
8OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
9BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
8OviedoOviedo1115:1218
9BurgosBurgos1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Cadiz vs Leganes forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Cadiz and Leganes in the Segunda División table

Leganes and Cadiz are close in the Segunda División table, 17th and 18th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Cadiz 14-14, Leganes 7-16. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Cadiz and Leganes have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.