Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC Prediction

Emelec
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Guayaquil City FC
Estadio Banco del Pacífico Capwell, Guayaquil·Robert Cabrera 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.7%
Emelec Rest
7 days
Guayaquil City FC Rest
8 days

Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC: the result in context

Guayaquil City FC beat Emelec 1-0 in the Liga Pro on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game. Referee Robert Cabrera averages 5.87 cards a game, 0.88 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.80
X
29%3.40
2
22%4.24
Double Chance
1X
78%1.18
X2
51%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.95
No
50%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 1.07 = 2.68
Over 1.5
70%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.10
Over 3.5
26%3.75
Under 1.5
30%2.95
Under 2.5
54%1.66
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Janvier Yardely Rodríguez LópezFoul
21'Jefferson ValverdeFoul
37'Angelo MinaFoul
45'Janvier Yardely Rodríguez López INJoshue·Quinonez out
45'Angelo Mina INJose Francisco Cevallos out
45'Francisco Pizzini INTeodoro Arce out
45'Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez INluis Fragozo out
45+2'Diego DorregarayAssist: Edinson Mero
54'Pablo Mancilla INS Laurino out
59'Aníbal LeguizamónDissent
62'Penalty cancelledOrlando Herrera
72'Diego Dorregaray INMiller Bolaños out
72'R. Arias INJonathan Miller Ordóñez Cruz out
79'Ignacio Guerrico INAriel Mina out
79'Jefferson Valverde INLuca Klimowicz out
81'Pool Geovanny Gavilánez SolísDissent
82'Junior Ayovi INEsnaider Cabezas out
90+5'Romario CaicedoFoul
90+6'Teodoro ArceDissent

Lineups

Emelec
4-4-2Coach: Ezequiel Medrán
Guayaquil City FC
4-3-1-2Coach: P. Gavilánez
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating7.21
P. Ortíz6.312P. Ortíz
O. Herrera7.780O. Herrera
F. León7.027F. León
A. Leguizamón5.92A. Leguizamón
I. Guerrico6.93I. Guerrico
F. Pizzini6.310F. Pizzini
A. Mina7.25A. Mina
J. Valverde6.332J. Valverde
J. Ruíz6.619J. Ruíz
Reixon Saya6.759R. Saya
R. Carrillo6.79R. Carrillo
G. Napa9.31G. Napa
R. Caicedo6.933R. Caicedo
Y. Rodríguez7.03Y. Rodríguez
E. Ladines7.54E. Ladines
R. Arias7.06R. Arias
J. Ayovi6.517J. Ayovi
D. Arroyo7.214D. Arroyo
P. Mancilla6.970P. Mancilla
P. González7.280P. González
D. Dorregaray7.821D. Dorregaray
E. Mero7.711E. Mero

Emelec Substitutes

21J. Cevallos45'for Angelo Mina7.1
11S. Arce45'for Francisco Pizzini90+6'6.8
15Luis Fragozo45'for Juan Pablo·Ruiz Gomez6.8
6V. Griffith
13Luis Fernando Gómez Angulo
7L. Klimowicz79'for Jefferson Valverde6.4
30Madison Ariel Mina Ibarra79'for Ignacio Guerrico6.4
8G. Nápoli
16S. Quintero
4E. Segura
51S. Valencia
1Mario Alfredo Valero Sánchez

Guayaquil City FC Substitutes

15K. Sambonino
29J. Quiñónez45'for Janvier Yardely Rodríguez López7.1
30J. Pinos
12Rodrigo Ramiro Perea Salazar
9M. Palma
16J. Ordóñez72'for R. Arias6.7
19A. Naula
20S. Laurino54'for Pablo Mancilla6.8
7J. Caicedo
51E. Cabezas82'for Junior Ayovi7.1
23M. Bolaños72'for Diego Dorregaray6.8
28J. Vivar

Match Stats

EmelecGuayaquil City FC
45%Ball Possession55%
5Corner Kicks0
4Yellow Cards2
30Total Shots12
8Shots on Goal2
13Shots off Goal8
15Shots Inside Box10
15Shots Outside Box2
9Blocked Shots2
13Fouls8
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves9
315Total Passes418
267Passes Accurate353
7Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

EmelecEmelec
Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC
1504Elo Rating 1532
1.60Attack 1.80
1.49Defense 0.54
41%Hit Rate 39%
15.3Shots per Game 10.8
4.8Shots on Target 4.1
5.6Corners per Game 3.3
2.9Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend30% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

EmelecEmelec
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

EmelecEmelec2Wins · 20%
Draws660%
Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC2Wins · 20%
1.5Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro10/10/2026
Guayaquil City FCEmelec
32
Liga Pro10/08/2026
Guayaquil City FCEmelec
00
Liga Pro18/04/2026
EmelecGuayaquil City FC
13
Copa Ecuador23/10/2025
Guayaquil City FCEmelec
0020
Liga Pro04/11/2023
Guayaquil City FCEmelec
00
Liga Pro30/05/2023
EmelecGuayaquil City FC
00
Liga Pro24/07/2022
Guayaquil City FCEmelec
00
Liga Pro05/03/2022
EmelecGuayaquil City FC
22
Liga Pro31/10/2021
Guayaquil City FCEmelec
01
Liga Pro16/05/2021
EmelecGuayaquil City FC
10

Recent Form

EmelecEmelec
4W2D4L
18/10/2026
Leones del NorteEmelec
13
W
10/10/2026
Guayaquil City FCEmelec
32
L
20/09/2026
EmelecLibertad
12
L
13/09/2026
MacaraEmelec
10
L
08/09/2026
EmelecManta FC
10
W
04/09/2026
LibertadEmelec
11
D
31/08/2026
EmelecLeones del Norte
21
W
24/08/2026
LDU de QuitoEmelec
20
L
16/08/2026
EmelecTecnico Universitario
21
W
10/08/2026
Guayaquil City FCEmelec
00
D
Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC
4W3D3L

Referee Profile

Robert Cabrera82 matches

5.87Cards per match
5.47Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Robert Cabrera5.87
Other referees4.99

5.87 cards a match, 0.88 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.99).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074DLWWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DWLLW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550DLLDD
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LDWWD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744LLDDW
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWWWL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WLLDL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLWDW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LWLLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338DLDLD
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WWDDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LLDWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Placement Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
7LibertadLibertad341481243:39+450LWWWL
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3412101238:43-546WLWDW
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3411101337:40-343WLLDL
10EmelecEmelec341191431:41-1042LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
7LibertadLibertad3443:3950
8Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3438:4346
9Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3437:4043
10EmelecEmelec3431:4142
PromotionRelegation

About the Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Pro match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Emelec and Guayaquil City FC in the Liga Pro table

In the Liga Pro table, Emelec (10th) and Guayaquil City FC (9th) are level on 39 points. League goal record so far: Emelec 25-34, Guayaquil City FC 33-36. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.