Aucas vs Barcelona SC Prediction

Aucas
0-4
Finished
HT 0-1
Barcelona SC
Estadio Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, Quito·Alex Fabricio Cajas Torres 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.7 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.19
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Aucas Rest
8 days
Barcelona SC Rest
7 days

Aucas vs Barcelona SC: result, form and history

Barcelona SC beat Aucas 4-0 in the Liga Pro on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Barcelona SC tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 3.4 for Aucas.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.85
X
30%3.30
2
23%4.10
Double Chance
1X
77%1.19
X2
53%1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.93
No
52%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.08 = 2.34
Over 1.5
68%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.14
Over 3.5
23%3.88
Under 1.5
32%2.90
Under 2.5
56%1.66
Under 3.5
77%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'Darío BenedettoAssist: Byron Castillo
23'Exon Gustavo VallecillaFoul
29'Byron CastilloFoul
29'Bryan CarabaliDissent
38'Goal cancelledExon Gustavo Vallecilla
40'Robiño QuiñónezFoul
45'Mateo Burdisso INLuis Gustavino out
59'Johan Garcia INJefferson Intriago out
59'Byron Castillo INLuis Cano out
60'Byron Yardel Carabalí Delgado INCristhoper Zambrano out
60'Luis Arroyo INMichael Carcelen out
68'Sergio Díaz INDamián Díaz out
68'Darío Benedetto INTomás Rodríguez out
70'Andres Mena INRafael Monti Azpiazú out
70'Robiño Quiñónez
75'Jefferson Wila INErick Mendoza out
78'Piero Andrés Guzmán Arrobo INMaverick Vera out
82'Luis Cano
86'Maverick VeraFoul
90+4'Matias Gonzalo LugoFoul
90+5'Damián Díaz
90+8'Luis Cano

Lineups

Aucas
4-1-4-1Coach: N. Araujo
Barcelona SC
4-2-3-1Coach: Pablo Trobbiani
Avg rating6.18
Avg rating7.03
Hamilton Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez5.713H. Emanuel Piedra Ordóñez
A. Zova5.937A. Zova
M. Burdisso6.14M. Burdisso
S. Morales6.42S. Morales
B. Carabalí6.431B. Carabalí
A. Spina6.56A. Spina
A. Preciado6.310A. Preciado
P. Guzmán6.521P. Guzmán
Andrés David Mena Montenegro6.418A. David Mena Montenegro
R. Quiñónez5.128R. Quiñónez
Luis Aldair Arroyo Cabeza6.729L. Aldair Arroyo Cabeza
J. Contreras6.81J. Contreras
B. Carabalí6.918B. Carabalí
J. Báez7.533J. Báez
G. Vallecilla6.74G. Vallecilla
W. Vargas7.327W. Vargas
M. Lugo6.732M. Lugo
J. García7.250J. García
B. Castillo7.426B. Castillo
S. Díaz7.08S. Díaz
Jefferson Wila6.651J. Wila
D. Benedetto7.99D. Benedetto

Aucas Substitutes

1I. Chaves
34M. Carcelén60'for Luis Arroyo6.0
7J. Andrade
20D. Espinosa
16L. Gustavino45'for Mateo Burdisso5.9
9R. Monti Azpiazu70'for Andres Mena6.6
5Thiago
57M. Vera78'for Piero Andrés Guzmán Arrobo86'6.1
17C. Zambrano60'for Byron Yardel Carabalí Delgado6.2
63A. Garcia

Barcelona SC Substitutes

80Jandry Gomez
10D. Díaz68'for Sergio Díaz90+5'7.7
16L. Cano59'for Byron Castillo82'90+8'7.4
13José Luis Angulo
35J. Intriago59'for Johan Garcia6.9
23T. Martínez
21H. Villalba
11T. Rodríguez68'for Darío Benedetto6.4
14A. Rangel
15J. Perlaza
7E. Mendoza75'for Jefferson Wila6.5
20C. Medina

Match Stats

AucasBarcelona SC
64%Ball Possession36%
8Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
16Total Shots8
3Shots on Goal6
8Shots off Goal1
6Shots Inside Box8
10Shots Outside Box0
5Blocked Shots1
9Fouls8
0Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
405Total Passes230
353Passes Accurate185
8Free Kicks9

Team Comparison

AucasAucas
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
1570Elo Rating 1551
0.83Attack 1.14
1.74Defense 1.50
0%Hit Rate 14%
7.7Shots per Game 10.3
1.9Shots on Target 3.6
3.4Corners per Game 6.4
1.7Cards per Game 3.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AucasAucas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AucasAucas3Wins · 30%
Draws550%
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC2Wins · 20%
2.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga Pro07/09/2026
AucasBarcelona SC
11
Liga Pro17/05/2026
Barcelona SCAucas
30
Liga Pro28/09/2025
Barcelona SCAucas
11
Liga Pro02/06/2025
AucasBarcelona SC
20
Liga Pro02/11/2024
AucasBarcelona SC
11
Liga Pro13/05/2024
Barcelona SCAucas
11
Liga Pro08/10/2023
AucasBarcelona SC
32
Liga Pro08/05/2023
Barcelona SCAucas
51
Liga Pro14/11/2022
AucasBarcelona SC
00
Liga Pro06/11/2022
Barcelona SCAucas
01

Recent Form

AucasAucas
2W4D4L
17/10/2026
AucasLDU de Quito
11
D
10/10/2026
Independiente del ValleAucas
21
L
19/09/2026
AucasMacara
12
L
12/09/2026
Manta FCAucas
00
D
07/09/2026
AucasBarcelona SC
11
D
03/09/2026
Universidad CatolicaAucas
11
D
30/08/2026
AucasLibertad
10
W
27/08/2026
LDU de QuitoAucas
10
L
23/08/2026
Delfin SCAucas
01
W
17/08/2026
AucasLDU de Quito
01
L
Barcelona SCBarcelona SC
3W3D4L

Referee Profile

Alex Fabricio Cajas Torres120 matches

5.08Cards per match
4.60Yellow cards per match
0.48Red cards per match
23.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alex Fabricio Cajas Torres5.08
Other referees5.16

5.08 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.16).

Cards come from 99 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Pro 2026

Liga Pro: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle30242473:33+4074DLWWW
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica30149751:27+2451DWLLW
3MacaraMacara30156941:33+851WWWWW
4AucasAucas30148833:28+550LDLLD
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito301371031:24+746LDWWD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC301111832:25+744WLLDD
7LibertadLibertad301181133:34-141LWWWL
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte301091131:32-139WLLDL
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC301091133:36-339WLWDW
10EmelecEmelec301091125:34-939LWLLL
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC309111035:38-338DLDLD
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca301061425:37-1236WWDDD
13Orense SCOrense SC30961536:47-1133WDDLL
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario301021828:42-1432LLDWL
15Delfin SCDelfin SC30771619:31-1228LWWDD
16Manta FCManta FC30561917:42-2521LLWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3073:3374
2Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3051:2751
3MacaraMacara3041:3351
4AucasAucas3033:2850
5LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3031:2446
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3032:2544
7LibertadLibertad3033:3441
8Leones del NorteLeones del Norte3031:3239
9Guayaquil City FCGuayaquil City FC3033:3639
10EmelecEmelec3025:3439
11Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC3035:3838
12Deportivo CuencaDeportivo Cuenca3025:3736
13Orense SCOrense SC3036:4733
14Tecnico UniversitarioTecnico Universitario3028:4232
15Delfin SCDelfin SC3019:3128
16Manta FCManta FC3017:4221

Liga Pro: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle33253575:35+4078DLWWW
2MacaraMacara34196947:35+1263WWWWW
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica341411953:31+2253DWLLW
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito341581137:29+853LDWWD
5AucasAucas341491136:37-151LDLLD
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC331212938:28+1048WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1Independiente del ValleIndependiente del Valle3375:3578
2MacaraMacara3447:3563
3Universidad CatolicaUniversidad Catolica3453:3153
4LDU de QuitoLDU de Quito3437:2953
5AucasAucas3436:3751
6Barcelona SCBarcelona SC3338:2848
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About the Aucas vs Barcelona SC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aucas and Barcelona SC in the Liga Pro table

Aucas and Barcelona SC are close in the Liga Pro table, 4th and 6th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: Aucas 33-28, Barcelona SC 32-25. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.