Leones del Norte vs Libertad Prediction
Ecuador · Placement Group - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Leones del Norte vs Libertad: result, form and history
Leones del Norte beat Libertad 4-1 in the Liga Pro on 25 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Libertad had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Leones del Norte.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them. Referee Russell Macario Teran Leon averages 4.22 cards a game, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Leones del Norte
Avg ratingAvg rating
45M. Ramírez
29P. Madero
23N. Monserrat
2J. Morán
34S. Portocarrero
5T. Coppo
6E. Griffa
11M. Caramuto
99C. Solano
7M. Luque
40J. Luis Anangonó León
12D. Cabezas
17E. Patta
6B. Caicedo
2R. Morinigo
19O. Quiñónez
20J. Rodríguez
70V. Germán Branda Merlín
80X. Pineda
30J. Bravo
10G. Cortéz
33A. ChéreLeones del Norte Substitutes
Libertad Substitutes
Match Stats
Leones del NorteLibertad Team Comparison
Leones del NorteLibertadAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Leones del Norte- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Libertad- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Leones del Norte1Wins · 34%1Wins · 33%Previous meetings
09/10/2026LibertadLeones del Norte04/07/2026LibertadLeones del Norte28/02/2026Leones del NorteLibertadRecent Form
Leones del NorteLeones del Norte
EmelecLibertadLeones del Norte
Guayaquil City FCLeones del NorteLeones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SCLeones del NorteLeones del Norte
Orense SCEmelecLeones del NorteLeones del Norte
Independiente del Valle
Manta FCLeones del Norte
AucasLeones del NorteLibertadLibertadGuayaquil City FCLibertadLeones del NorteEmelecLibertadLibertadIndependiente del Valle
Deportivo CuencaLibertadLibertadEmelecAucasLibertadLibertad
MacaraGuayaquil City FCLibertadLibertad
Universidad CatolicaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.22 cards a match, 0.58 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.80).
Cards come from 27 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Liga Pro: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | +40 | 74 | DLWWW |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 51 | DWLLW |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | +8 | 51 | WWWWW |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | +5 | 50 | LDLLD |
| 5 |  LDU de Quito | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | +7 | 46 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  Barcelona SC | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | +7 | 44 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 | WLLDL |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 39 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 | WWDDD |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 | WDDLL |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 | WLLDW |
| 15 |  Delfin SC | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 | LWWDD |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 | LLWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 30 | 73:33 | 74 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica | 30 | 51:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Macara | 30 | 41:33 | 51 |
| 4 | Aucas | 30 | 33:28 | 50 |
| 5 | LDU de Quito | 30 | 31:24 | 46 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 30 | 32:25 | 44 |
| 7 | Libertad | 30 | 33:34 | 41 |
| 8 | Leones del Norte | 30 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City FC | 30 | 33:36 | 39 |
| 10 | Emelec | 30 | 25:34 | 39 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa SC | 30 | 35:38 | 38 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 30 | 25:37 | 36 |
| 13 | Orense SC | 30 | 36:47 | 33 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 30 | 28:42 | 32 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 30 | 19:31 | 28 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 30 | 17:42 | 21 |
Liga Pro: Placement Group
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 43:39 | +4 | 50 | LWWWL |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 38:43 | -5 | 46 | WLWDW |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 37:40 | -3 | 43 | WLLDL |
| 10 | Emelec | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31:41 | -10 | 42 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 34 | 43:39 | 50 |
| 8 | Guayaquil City FC | 34 | 38:43 | 46 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 34 | 37:40 | 43 |
| 10 | Emelec | 34 | 31:41 | 42 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Liga Pro matches
- Mushuc Runa SC vs Orense SC 19/10/26
- Independiente del Valle vs Universidad Catolica 23/10/26
- Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca 24/10/26
- Orense SC vs Delfin SC 24/10/26
- LDU de Quito vs Macara 24/10/26
- Emelec vs Guayaquil City FC 25/10/26
- Aucas vs Barcelona SC 25/10/26
- Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC 26/10/26
About the Leones del Norte vs Libertad forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Leones del Norte and Libertad in the Liga Pro table
Libertad and Leones del Norte are close in the Liga Pro table, 7th and 8th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Leones del Norte 31-32, Libertad 33-34. The full standings are on the Liga Pro Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.