Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 6
City Light Stadium, Okayama 06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.77
SignalNEUTRALModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
Fagiano Okayama Rest
3 days
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Rest
3 days
Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the result in context
Fagiano Okayama beat Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-2 in the J1 League on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.3 goals a game. Sanfrecce Hiroshima tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 5.8 for Fagiano Okayama.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
122%3.75
X31%3.55
247%1.93
Double Chance
1X53%1.85
X277%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.65
No40%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.44 = 2.69
Over 1.577%1.22
Over 2.551%1.78
Over 3.531%2.87
Under 1.523%3.80
Under 2.549%2.00
Under 3.569%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.8 = 9.4
Over 8.557%1.88
Over 9.545%2.35
Over 10.533%3.28
Under 8.543%1.84
Under 9.555%1.47
Under 10.567%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.6 = 3.4
Over 3.544%-
Over 4.526%-
Under 3.556%-
Under 4.574%-
Match Events
10'Kota KawanoAssist: Lucas Marcos Meireles
16'Oberdan Alionço de LimaNot retreating
21'Kota KawanoAssist: Oberdan Alionço de Lima
45'Naoto Arai INShun Ayukawa out
45+2'Sébastien HallerAssist: Mutsuki Kato
50'Kota KawanoAssist: Haruka Motoyama
58'Mutsuki Kato INTakumu Kawamura out
58'Kota Kawano INLéo Gaúcho out
64'Hayao KawabeAssist: Akito Suzuki
65'Lucas Marcos Meireles INKamiya Yuta out
66'Ibuki Fujita INEiji Miyamoto out
66'Ataru Esaka INNa Sang-Ho out
79'Hayato Araki INSota Koshimichi out
79'Yotaro Nakajima INTaishi Matsumoto out
86'Shunki Higashi INDaiki Suga out
88'Kosuke Shirai INDaichi Tagami out
90+3'Eiji MiyamotoFoul
90+9'Léo Gaúcho INSoichiro Mori out
Lineups
Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima
3-4-2-1Coach: Bartosch GaulAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Moser
6H. Omori
48Y. Tatsuta
43Y. Suzuki
26H. Motoyama
24I. Fujita
80Oberdan
51K. Shirai
20K. Kawano
8A. Esaka
99Lucão
99I. Ouchi
15S. Nakano
4H. Araki
19S. Sasaki
5N. Arai
6H. Kawabe
35Y. Nakajima
7S. Higashi
11M. Kato
10A. Suzuki
22S. HallerFagiano Okayama Substitutes
79N. Browne
33Y. Kamiya65'for Lucas Marcos Meireles
77G. Kawanami
9Léo Gaúcho58'for Kota Kawano90+9'for Soichiro Mori
41E. Miyamoto66'for Ibuki Fujita90+3'
44S. Mori90+9'replaced by Léo Gaúcho
10Na Sang-Ho66'for Ataru Esaka
18D. Tagami88'for Kosuke Shirai
88T. Yamane
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Substitutes
23S. Ayukawa45'for Naoto Arai
8T. Kawamura58'for Mutsuki Kato
37Kim Ju-Sung
32S. Koshimichi79'for Hayato Araki
14T. Matsumoto79'for Yotaro Nakajima
46R. Noguchi
1K. Osako
18D. Suga86'for Shunki Higashi
48Hiroto Ota
Match Stats
Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima 23%Ball Possession77%
2Corner Kicks8
3Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
10Total Shots22
5Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal13
8Shots Inside Box16
2Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots2
14Fouls8
2Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves2
240Total Passes789
154Passes Accurate705
64%Pass Accuracy89%
Team Comparison
Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima1563Elo Rating 1708
1.43Attack 2.11
1.40Defense 2.08
41%Hit Rate 77%
12.6Shots per Game 17.3
4.2Shots on Target 5.1
5.8Corners per Game 7.8
2.3Cards per Game 1.0
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Fagiano Okayama- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 4 meetings, all competitions
Fagiano Okayama2Wins · 50%Draws125%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima1Wins · 25%
1Wins · 25%1.3Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4
Previous meetings
02/05/2026Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima10
14/02/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaFagiano Okayama5141
05/07/2025Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima01
12/04/2025Sanfrecce HiroshimaFagiano Okayama01
Recent Form
Fagiano Okayama4W1D5L
02/09/2026
JEF United ChibaFagiano Okayama
Nagoya GrampusFagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama
Tokyo Verdy
Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
JEF United ChibaFagiano Okayama12
W29/08/2026Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama21
L26/08/2026Fagiano Okayama
Beluga Rosso Iwami
22/08/2026Fagiano OkayamaBeluga Rosso Iwami30
WFagiano OkayamaTokyo Verdy00
D15/08/2026Fagiano Okayama
V-varen Nagasaki
08/08/2026Fagiano OkayamaV-varen Nagasaki10
WCerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama21
L25/07/2026
FC Schalke 04Fagiano Okayama
FC Schalke 04Fagiano Okayama31
L22/07/2026
Werder BremenFagiano Okayama
Werder BremenFagiano Okayama20
L21/07/2026
Metalist 1925 KharkivFagiano Okayama
Metalist 1925 KharkivFagiano Okayama12
W14/07/2026
SV WehenFagiano Okayama
SV WehenFagiano Okayama20
LSanfrecce Hiroshima7W2D1L
02/09/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce HiroshimaJEF United Chiba
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus30
W29/08/2026Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima00
D26/08/2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Okinawa SV
22/08/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaOkinawa SV41
WSanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale11
D15/08/2026
UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima
08/08/2026UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima14
WSanfrecce HiroshimaJEF United Chiba30
W28/07/2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Verspah Oita
Sanfrecce HiroshimaVerspah Oita40
W14/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoSanfrecce Hiroshima
NK Slaven BelupoSanfrecce Hiroshima13
W11/07/2026
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima41
L06/06/2026Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima01
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 2 |  FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:8 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29:10 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW |
| 4 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:19 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25:18 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 8 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD |
| 13 |  Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:21 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 30:10 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 27:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 29:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 25:19 | 25 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 12:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 10:20 | 14 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 13:21 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 12:24 | 7 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Shimizu S-pulse vs FC Tokyo 02/09/26
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka 02/09/26
- Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga 02/09/26
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito Hollyhock 05/09/26
- JEF United Chiba vs Gamba Osaka 06/09/26
- Kashima vs Urawa 06/09/26
- Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia 06/09/26
- Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy 06/09/26
About the Fagiano Okayama vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima forecast
The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Fagiano Okayama and Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 3rd and Fagiano Okayama 10th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Fagiano Okayama 15-17, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 29-10. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.