Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia Prediction

Toyota Stadium, Toyota City 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
57%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Over 4.5
1.85
SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+7.1%
Nagoya Grampus Rest
3 days
Machida Zelvia Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%3.25
X
30%3.37
2
48%2.15
Double Chance
1X
52%1.67
X2
78%1.32
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.65
No
40%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.73 = 2.87
Over 1.5
77%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.84
Over 3.5
30%3.00
Under 1.5
23%3.60
Under 2.5
49%1.95
Under 3.5
70%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.4 = 10
Over 8.5
62%1.68
Over 9.5
47%2.10
Over 10.5
42%2.74
Under 8.5
38%2.06
Under 9.5
53%1.63
Under 10.5
58%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.4 = 3
Over 3.5
36%-
Over 4.5
19%-
Under 3.5
64%-
Under 4.5
81%-

Match Events

23'Yuya Asano INYuya Yamagishi out
36'Daihachi Okamura INHenry Heroki Mochizuki out
43'Ryuji IzumiFoul
45+7'Ryohei Shirasaki
45'Yuki Nogami INTeruki Hara out
46'Takahiro AkimotoFoul
55'Henry Heroki MochizukiOG
65'Kensuke Nagai INTomoya Koyamatsu out
66'Ryohei Shirasaki INHokuto Shimoda out
66'Takuma Nishimura INTete Yengi out
70'Ryuji Izumi INYota Sato out
75'Alexandre Kouto Horio PisanoOG
85'Tomoki TakamineFoul
85'Yuki Soma INYusuke Matsuo out
86'Koki Ogawa INMitchell Duke out
90+7'Yusuke Matsuo

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1Coach: Michael Petrovic
Machida Zelvia
3-4-2-1Coach: G. Kuroda
A. Pisano35A. PisanoA. Pisano
Y. Nogami2Y. NogamiY. Nogami
H. Fujii13H. FujiiH. Fujii
S. Tokumoto55S. TokumotoS. Tokumoto
R. Izumi7R. IzumiR. Izumi
S. Inagaki15S. InagakiS. Inagaki
T. Takamine31T. TakamineT. Takamine
K. Nakayama27K. NakayamaK. Nakayama
Y. Asano9Y. AsanoY. Asano
Y. Kimura22Y. KimuraY. Kimura
K. Nagai18K. NagaiK. Nagai
K. Tani1K. TaniK. Tani
D. Okamura50D. OkamuraD. Okamura
R. Kikuchi4R. KikuchiR. Kikuchi
G. Shōji3G. ShōjiG. Shōji
H. Nakamura88H. NakamuraH. Nakamura
H. Mae16H. MaeH. Mae
R. Shirasaki23R. ShirasakiR. Shirasaki
T. Akimoto33T. AkimotoT. Akimoto
T. Nishimura20T. NishimuraT. Nishimura
Y. Soma7Y. SomaY. Soma
Koki Ogawa9K. OgawaKoki Ogawa

Nagoya Grampus Substitutes

70T. HaraD
33T. KikuchiM
19H. KodaM
58T. KoyamatsuM
14T. MorishimaM
41M. OnoM
3Y. SatoD
1D. SchmidtG
11Y. YamagishiF

Machida Zelvia Substitutes

15M. DukeF
24Kim Min-TaeD
14Y. MatsuoM
6H. MochizukiD
13T. MoritaG
8K. SentoM
18H. ShimodaM
99T. YengiF
5I. DreševićD

Match Stats

Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots12
1Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots2
11Fouls15
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
485Total Passes318
420Passes Accurate247
14Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
1491Elo Rating 1726
0.48Attack 1.82
1.05Defense 2.27
14%Hit Rate 63%
11.5Shots per Game 13.0
1.9Shots on Target 4.8
4.2Corners per Game 3.8
1.5Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Nagoya Grampus 0%Draw 50%50% Machida Zelvia
2.33Avg Goals
59%BTTS Rate
59%Over 2.5

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia752019:6+1317DWWDW
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe751111:5+616WWWWL
3Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol750213:10+315WLLWW
4Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima742119:6+1314WLWDD
5FC TokyoFC Tokyo742113:8+514WWDWW
6Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama741210:8+213WWWLD
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale733113:9+412WWLWD
8KashimaKashima740314:13+112LLLWW
9Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos732211:9+211DWDLW
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka73136:11-510LDWLW
11Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock723211:9+29LDWDW
12UrawaUrawa730413:17-49LWWWL
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse72144:7-37WLDLL
14V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki72149:14-57WLDLL
15Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka71338:13-56LLDDL
16Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus72057:13-66LLLWW
17Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga71249:14-55LLDWL
18Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka71159:11-24LDLLL
19Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy70433:9-64DDLLD
20JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba71156:16-104DWLLL
Champions LeagueRelegation

Nagoya Grampus vs Machida Zelvia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this J1 League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About J1 League

ScorePredicts covers Japan football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Nagoya Grampus and Machida Zelvia have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.33 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.