Kashima vs Urawa Prediction

J1 LeagueJapan Japan · Regular Season - 6
Kashima
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Urawa
Mercari Stadium, Kashima 06/09/2026
KashimaKashima
0-1
Finished
UrawaUrawa

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+0.2%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.64
SignalSOLIDModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+6.7%
Kashima Rest
3 days
Urawa Rest
3 days

Kashima vs Urawa: result, form and history

Urawa beat Kashima 1-0 in the J1 League on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.80
X
28%3.63
2
20%4.20
Double Chance
1X
80%1.22
X2
48%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.70
No
42%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 0.99 = 2.70
Over 1.5
77%1.23
Over 2.5
51%1.77
Over 3.5
30%2.83
Under 1.5
23%3.90
Under 2.5
49%2.00
Under 3.5
70%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4 = 9.6
Over 8.5
57%1.71
Over 9.5
45%2.14
Over 10.5
33%2.88
Under 8.5
43%2.01
Under 9.5
55%1.60
Under 10.5
67%1.34
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.7 = 3.3
Over 3.5
42%-
Over 4.5
23%-
Under 3.5
58%-
Under 4.5
77%-

Match Events

17'DaniloFoul
20'Yuma SuzukiOG
42'Tatsuki SekoFoul
45'Haruki Hayashi INYuta Matsumura out
45'Hiiro Komori INAdo Onaiwu out
45'Atsushi Inagaki INShuta Sasa out
55'Aleksandar ČavrićFoul
60'Ryoma Watanabe INMatheus Sávio out
63'Aleksandar Čavrić INKyosuke Tagawa out
64'Matheus Bueno INGaku Shibasaki out
68'Tatsuki Seko INEiichi Katayama out
68'Kyosuke Tagawa INMinato Yoshida out
70'Kenta NemotoTime wasting
80'Kento Misao INRikuto Hirose out
80'Takuro Kaneko INHarumi Minamino out

Lineups

Kashima
4-4-2Coach: T. Oniki
Urawa
4-1-4-1Coach: Gwi-jae Jo
Avg rating6.50
Avg rating6.76
T. Hayakawa7.31T. Hayakawa
K. Tsukui7.123K. Tsukui
N. Ueda6.255N. Ueda
Kim Tae-Hyeon6.73K. Tae-Hyeon
R. Ogawa7.07R. Ogawa
A. Čavrić6.577A. Čavrić
K. Misao6.66K. Misao
Matheus Bueno6.68M. Bueno
H. Hayashu6.224H. Hayashu
Léo Ceará5.99L. Ceará
Y. Suzuki6.040Y. Suzuki
S. Nishikawa6.81S. Nishikawa
Danilo Boza6.13D. Boza
Y. Miyamoto7.42Y. Miyamoto
K. Nemoto6.95K. Nemoto
K. Hayashi6.618K. Hayashi
T. Seko6.112T. Seko
T. Kaneko6.77T. Kaneko
H. Ueki6.437H. Ueki
R. Watanabe7.113R. Watanabe
Atsushi Inagaki7.031A. Inagaki
H. Komori6.517H. Komori

Kashima Substitutes

21T. Yamada
30M. Yoshida68'replaced by Kyosuke Tagawa6.9
4K. Chida
37R. Hirose80'for Kento Misao6.4
25R. Koike
27Y. Matsumura45'for Haruki Hayashi6.3
35A. Motosuna
10G. Shibasaki64'for Matheus Bueno6.3
11K. Tagawa63'for Aleksandar Čavrić68'for Minato Yoshida6.1

Urawa Substitutes

32E. Katayama68'for Tatsuki Seko7.0
10Matheus Sávio60'for Ryoma Watanabe7.2
42H. Minamino80'for Takuro Kaneko6.6
8K. Mizunuma
88Y. Naganuma
45A. Onaiwu45'for Hiiro Komori6.7
33S. Sasa45'for Atsushi Inagaki7.3
25K. Yasui
23K. Fukui

Match Stats

KashimaUrawa
59%Ball Possession41%
5Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal1
11Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots7
11Fouls10
0Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves3
472Total Passes331
372Passes Accurate230
79%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

KashimaKashima
UrawaUrawa
1724Elo Rating 1610
2.11Attack 1.06
1.99Defense 1.36
42%Hit Rate 50%
17.8Shots per Game 19.4
5.9Shots on Target 3.6
8.2Corners per Game 7.5
1.0Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+114 Elo

Game State Tendencies

KashimaKashima
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
UrawaUrawa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

KashimaKashima3Wins · 30%
Draws770%
UrawaUrawa0Wins · 0%
1.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League18/04/2026
KashimaUrawa
10
J1 League28/02/2026
UrawaKashima
23
J1 League20/09/2025
UrawaKashima
01
J1 League16/03/2025
KashimaUrawa
11
J1 League17/08/2024
KashimaUrawa
00
J1 League22/06/2024
UrawaKashima
22
J1 League28/10/2023
KashimaUrawa
00
J1 League04/06/2023
UrawaKashima
00
J1 League03/09/2022
KashimaUrawa
22
J1 League21/05/2022
UrawaKashima
11
Full head-to-head record

Recent Form

KashimaKashima
8W0D2L
02/09/2026
Mito HollyhockKashima
42
L29/08/2026
Tokyo VerdyKashima
02
W
26/08/2026
KashimaSuzuka Unlimited
30
W
22/08/2026
KashimaAvispa Fukuoka
32
W
15/08/2026
KashimaNagoya Grampus
21
W07/08/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosKashima
34
W
15/07/2026
KashimaVegalta Sendai
50
W
06/06/2026
KashimaVissel Kobe
20
W
30/05/2026
Vissel KobeKashima
50
L
23/05/2026
KashimaFC Tokyo
10
W
UrawaUrawa
3W2D5L
02/09/2026
Avispa FukuokaUrawa
23
W29/08/2026
UrawaYokohama F. Marinos
32
W
26/08/2026
UrawaYamanashi Gakuin
30
W
23/08/2026
Machida ZelviaUrawa
31
L
15/08/2026
UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima
14
L
07/08/2026
Gamba OsakaUrawa
43
L
01/08/2026
UrawaOmiya Ardija
22
D
17/07/2026
FC RyukyuUrawa
54
L
06/06/2026
UrawaFagiano Okayama
02
L
31/05/2026
Fagiano OkayamaUrawa
11
D

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo14103133:8+2533WWWDW
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol14101331:20+1131WWWDL
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1493232:10+2230DWWLW
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1485130:10+2029DDDWW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1483323:14+927DWDLW
6KashimaKashima1472529:24+523LWLDW
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1457221:15+622DWDDD
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1464428:24+422LLWWW
9UrawaUrawa1471623:29-622DLWWW
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1452716:22-617DLLWL
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1445516:25-917WLDDL
12Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1444619:23-416WWDDL
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1442815:23-814LLDDW
14Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1435612:22-1014WWWDL
15Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1442810:23-1314LLLLD
16V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1434717:22-513DLLWL
17JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1434716:24-813WWDLD
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1426616:24-812LDDWD
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1423912:26-149LLLLL
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka14221014:25-118DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1433:833
2Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1431:2031
3Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1432:1030
4Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1430:1029
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1423:1427
6KashimaKashima1429:2423
7Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1421:1522
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1428:2422
9UrawaUrawa1423:2922
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1416:2217
11Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1416:2517
12Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1419:2316
13Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1415:2314
14Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1412:2214
15Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1410:2314
16V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1417:2213
17JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1416:2413
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1416:2412
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1412:269
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1414:258
Champions LeagueRelegation

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About the Kashima vs Urawa forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kashima and Urawa in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Kashima are 6th and Urawa 9th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: Kashima 29-24, Urawa 23-29. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.