Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 5
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima 02/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
51%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.04
SignalNEUTRALModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+6.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Rest
4 days
Nagoya Grampus Rest
4 days
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus: the result in context
Sanfrecce Hiroshima beat Nagoya Grampus 3-0 in the J1 League on 2 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. Sanfrecce Hiroshima tend to win more corners, 8.0 a game to 4.7 for Nagoya Grampus.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
155%1.50
X25%4.50
220%5.80
Double Chance
1X80%1.13
X245%2.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.57
No37%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 0.99 = 2.99
Over 1.584%1.14
Over 2.557%1.47
Over 3.534%2.18
Under 1.516%5.42
Under 2.543%2.54
Under 3.566%1.63
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.2 = 10.2
Over 8.564%1.48
Over 9.551%1.84
Over 10.542%2.27
Under 8.536%2.42
Under 9.549%1.86
Under 10.558%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.9 = 3.7
Over 3.546%-
Over 4.531%-
Under 3.554%-
Under 4.569%-
Match Events
17'Sho InagakiFoul
45'Takumu Kawamura INSébastien Haller out
71'Mutsuki Kato
73'Mutsuki Kato INShun Ayukawa out
73'Hayao Kawabe INYotaro Nakajima out
74'Yuki Nogami INYota Sato out
74'Ryuji Izumi INTomoya Koyamatsu out
74'Yuya Asano INHidemasa Koda out
80'Akito SuzukiAssist: Sébastien Haller
82'Yuya Yamagishi INKensuke Nagai out
85'Shunki Higashi INTakaaki Shichi out
87'Taishi MatsumotoFoul
90'Akito Suzuki INSota Koshimichi out
90+1'Sébastien HallerAssist: Shun Ayukawa
90+5'Yota SatoFoul
Lineups
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus
3-4-2-1Coach: Michael PetrovicAvg ratingAvg rating
99I. Ouchi
15S. Nakano
4H. Araki
19S. Sasaki
5N. Arai
6H. Kawabe
14T. Matsumoto
7S. Higashi
11M. Kato
8T. Kawamura
10A. Suzuki
35A. Pisano
2Y. Nogami
13H. Fujii
55S. Tokumoto
9Y. Asano
15S. Inagaki
31T. Takamine
27K. Nakayama
7R. Izumi
22Y. Kimura
11Y. YamagishiSanfrecce Hiroshima Substitutes
16T. Shichi85'for Shunki Higashi
18D. Suga
23S. Ayukawa73'for Mutsuki Kato
22S. Haller45'for Takumu Kawamura90+1'
37Kim Ju-Sung
32S. Koshimichi90'for Akito Suzuki
35Y. Nakajima73'for Hayao Kawabe
46R. Noguchi
1K. Osako
Nagoya Grampus Substitutes
33T. Kikuchi
19H. Koda74'for Yuya Asano
58T. Koyamatsu74'for Ryuji Izumi
18K. Nagai82'for Yuya Yamagishi
41M. Ono
3Y. Sato74'for Yuki Nogami90+5'
30S. Sugiura
16Y. Takeda
49Sakuto Fukaya
Match Stats
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus 53%Ball Possession47%
2Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots3
7Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal1
9Shots Inside Box3
7Shots Outside Box0
4Blocked Shots1
11Fouls6
2Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves4
532Total Passes472
447Passes Accurate386
84%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus1707Elo Rating 1552
2.70Attack 1.28
1.42Defense 1.46
61%Hit Rate 14%
18.0Shots per Game 14.5
5.9Shots on Target 4.5
8.0Corners per Game 4.7
0.7Cards per Game 0.8
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+155 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Nagoya Grampus- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sanfrecce Hiroshima5Wins · 50%Draws00%
Nagoya Grampus5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%3.5Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10
Previous meetings
23/05/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus42
18/03/2026Nagoya GrampusSanfrecce Hiroshima21
27/08/2025Nagoya GrampusSanfrecce Hiroshima24
28/06/2025Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus12
20/04/2025Nagoya GrampusSanfrecce Hiroshima21
08/09/2024Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus1021
04/09/2024Nagoya GrampusSanfrecce Hiroshima01
17/08/2024Nagoya GrampusSanfrecce Hiroshima12
06/05/2024Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus23
30/09/2023Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus31
Recent Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima7W2D1L
29/08/2026
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
JEF United Chiba
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima00
D26/08/2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Okinawa SV
22/08/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaOkinawa SV41
WSanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale11
D15/08/2026
UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima
08/08/2026UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima14
WSanfrecce HiroshimaJEF United Chiba30
W28/07/2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Verspah Oita
Sanfrecce HiroshimaVerspah Oita40
W14/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoSanfrecce Hiroshima
NK Slaven BelupoSanfrecce Hiroshima13
W11/07/2026
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima41
L06/06/2026Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima01
W30/05/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale21
WNagoya Grampus2W1D7L
29/08/2026Nagoya Grampus
Fagiano OkayamaNagoya GrampusGamba Osaka
KashimaNagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus
Shimizu S-pulse
Nagoya GrampusFagiano Okayama21
W26/08/2026Nagoya Grampus
Gainare Tottori
22/08/2026Nagoya GrampusGainare Tottori13
LNagoya GrampusGamba Osaka31
W15/08/2026KashimaNagoya Grampus21
L08/08/2026Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse01
L25/07/2026
Consadole SapporoNagoya Grampus
Consadole SapporoNagoya Grampus10
L21/07/2026
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus
FC TokyoNagoya Grampus21
L06/06/2026
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus
Machida ZelviaNagoya Grampus2010
L30/05/2026Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia
Nagoya GrampusMachida Zelvia22
D23/05/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus
Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus42
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 33:8 | +25 | 33 | WWWDW |
| 2 |  Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 31:20 | +11 | 31 | WWWDL |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 32:10 | +22 | 30 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 29 | DDDWW |
| 5 |  Vissel Kobe | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 27 | DWDLW |
| 6 | Kashima | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:24 | +5 | 23 | LWLDW |
| 7 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 21:15 | +6 | 22 | DWDDD |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | +4 | 22 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 23:29 | -6 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 17 | DLLWL |
| 11 |  Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:25 | -9 | 17 | WLDDL |
| 12 |  Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:23 | -4 | 16 | WWDDL |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | LLDDW |
| 14 |  Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12:22 | -10 | 14 | WWWDL |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:23 | -13 | 14 | LLLLD |
| 16 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 13 | WWDLD |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 | LDDWD |
| 19 |  Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 20 |  Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 14:25 | -11 | 8 | DLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 33:8 | 33 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 31:20 | 31 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 32:10 | 30 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 14 | 30:10 | 29 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 14 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 6 | Kashima | 14 | 29:24 | 23 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 28:24 | 22 |
| 9 | Urawa | 14 | 23:29 | 22 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 14 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 16:25 | 17 |
| 12 | Kyoto Sanga | 14 | 19:23 | 16 |
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 15:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Tokyo Verdy | 14 | 12:22 | 14 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 14 | 10:23 | 14 |
| 16 | V-varen Nagasaki | 14 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 17 | JEF United Chiba | 14 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 18 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 19 | Mito Hollyhock | 14 | 12:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 14:25 | 8 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Kawasaki Frontale vs JEF United Chiba 29/08/26
- Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama 29/08/26
- Urawa vs Yokohama F. Marinos 29/08/26
- Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima 29/08/26
- Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa 02/09/26
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kashiwa Reysol 02/09/26
- JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama 02/09/26
- Machida Zelvia vs Kawasaki Frontale 02/09/26
About the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Nagoya Grampus forecast
The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 3rd and Nagoya Grampus 13th, 16 points apart. League goal record so far: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 32-10, Nagoya Grampus 15-23. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.