Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

Falkirk Stadium, Falkirk 15/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.91
SignalHIGHModel56%RiskMediumGap+9.9%
Falkirk Rest
10 days
Heart Of Midlothian Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%3.80
X
25%3.50
2
54%1.91
Double Chance
1X
46%1.85
X2
79%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.64
No
46%2.13
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.61 = 2.73
Over 1.5
78%1.23
Over 2.5
52%1.74
Over 3.5
32%2.79
Under 1.5
22%3.92
Under 2.5
48%2.06
Under 3.5
68%1.39
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.7 = 10
Over 8.5
63%1.41
Over 9.5
52%1.68
Over 10.5
42%2.15
Under 8.5
37%2.63
Under 9.5
48%2.04
Under 10.5
58%1.61
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
66%1.62
Over 4.5
48%2.00
Under 3.5
34%2.20
Under 4.5
52%1.75

Match Events

3'Finley Frank BarbrookFoul
8'Ben krauhausAssist: Ryan Strain
22'James wilsonAssist: Josh Mcpake
28'Claudio Rafael Soares BragaFoul
35'Yan DhandaFoul
45'James wilson INJerome Williams out
55'Ryan StrainFoul
57'Ben krauhaus INCalvin Fodrey out
67'Owen EamesFoul
68'Owen Eames
73'Calvin Miller INSabah Kerjota out
73'Harry Milne INStephen Kingsley out
73'Josh Mcpake INRogers Mato out
75'Calvin FodreyFoul
77'Jamie McCartFoul
78'Jacob Murrell INRoss Maclver out
79'Finley Frank Barbrook INCraig Sibbald out
80'Stuart Findlay INChristian Dahle Borchgrevink out
86'Owen Eames INDeniss Meļņiks out

Lineups

Falkirk
4-2-3-1Coach: J. McGlynn
Heart Of Midlothian
4-2-3-1Coach: W. Vrancken
S. Bain19S. BainS. Bain
R. Strain22R. StrainR. Strain
L. Neilson15L. NeilsonL. Neilson
L. Henderson5L. HendersonL. Henderson
L. McCann3L. McCannL. McCann
Finley Frank Barbrook16F. Frank BarbrookFinley Frank Barbrook
B. Spencer8B. SpencerB. Spencer
E. Ross23E. RossE. Ross
B. Krauhaus28B. KrauhausB. Krauhaus
Owen Eames42O. EamesOwen Eames
J. Murrell24J. MurrellJ. Murrell
B. Reus1B. ReusB. Reus
J. Altena23J. AltenaJ. Altena
J. McCart5J. McCartJ. McCart
S. Findlay17S. FindlayS. Findlay
H. Milne18H. MilneH. Milne
Y. Dhanda31Y. DhandaY. Dhanda
L. Mendy78L. MendyL. Mendy
C. Miller7C. MillerC. Miller
Cláudio Braga10C. BragaCláudio Braga
J. McPake15J. McPakeJ. McPake
J. Wilson21J. WilsonJ. Wilson

Falkirk Substitutes

17S. TanserD
47A. DohertyF
99C. FodreyM
1N. HogarthG
9R. MacIverF
4J. McMillanD
21D. MeļņiksM
7Ben ParkinsonF
10C. SibbaldM

Heart Of Midlothian Substitutes

19S. GuendouzF
30R. FultonG
74R. MatoF
3S. KingsleyD
29S. KerjotaF
11P. KaboreF
2C. BorchgrevinkD
77A. Ba-SyF
9J. WilliamsF

Match Stats

FalkirkHeart Of Midlothian
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks4
4Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots9
4Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal2
10Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
15Fouls13
0Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
347Total Passes486
264Passes Accurate389
13Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

FalkirkFalkirk
Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
1516Elo Rating 1731
0.69Attack 2.32
1.60Defense 2.27
0%Hit Rate 86%
10.0Shots per Game 17.6
2.7Shots on Target 6.5
4.4Corners per Game 9.5
2.1Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FalkirkFalkirk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Falkirk 0%Draw 19%81% Heart Of Midlothian
2.18Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
41%Over 2.5

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic660014:3+1118WWWWW
2RangersRangers64117:4+313WWWWL
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian640213:7+612LWWWW
4ST MirrenST Mirren63128:6+210LLWDW
5MotherwellMotherwell62228:9-18LLWDD
6DundeeDundee62137:6+17LDLWW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone62138:9-17LWDLL
8AberdeenAberdeen62136:7-17WDLLL
9HibernianHibernian62047:10-36LLLWW
10FalkirkFalkirk61235:8-35WDLLD
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd61236:11-55DLWLL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock61145:14-94WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic614:318
2RangersRangers67:413
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian613:712
4ST MirrenST Mirren68:610
5MotherwellMotherwell68:98
6DundeeDundee67:67
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone68:97
8AberdeenAberdeen66:77
9HibernianHibernian67:106
10FalkirkFalkirk65:85
11Dundee UtdDundee Utd66:115
12KilmarnockKilmarnock65:144
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Falkirk vs Heart Of Midlothian Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Premiership fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Heart Of Midlothian have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Falkirk and Heart Of Midlothian have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.18 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.