Famalicao vs Arouca Prediction

Famalicao
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Arouca
Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicao·Gustavo Fernandes Correia 06/11/2026
FamalicaoFamalicao
1-0
Finished
AroucaArouca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseMediumGap-7.1%
Famalicao Rest
5 days
Arouca Rest
5 days

Famalicao vs Arouca: result, form and history

Famalicao beat Arouca 1-0 in the Primeira Liga on 6 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Arouca had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Famalicao.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.8 goals a game across 10 matches. Referee Gustavo Fernandes Correia averages 6.05 cards a game, 0.66 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.42
X
30%3.14
2
34%3.00
Double Chance
1X
66%1.36
X2
64%1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.84
No
49%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 1.09 = 2.37
Over 1.5
70%1.37
Over 2.5
44%2.19
Over 3.5
25%3.98
Under 1.5
30%3.00
Under 2.5
56%1.68
Under 3.5
75%1.24
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 4.3 = 9.1
Over 8.5
55%1.53
Over 9.5
43%1.93
Over 10.5
32%2.42
Under 8.5
45%2.36
Under 9.5
57%1.82
Under 10.5
68%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.8 = 5.2
Over 3.5
76%1.25
Over 4.5
60%1.52
Under 3.5
24%3.70
Under 4.5
40%2.45

Match Events

45'Javi SánchezDissent
48'Penalty cancelledAlfonso Trezza
55'Pedro SantosFoul
56'Alfonso Trezza INBrian Mansilla out
56'Mateo Flores INPablo Gozálbez out
66'Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura INPaulo Moreira out
66'Pedro Santos INÓscar Aranda Subiela out
69'Iván Barbero INDylan Nandín out
74'Roméo Beney INGil Dias out
74'Georgios Koutsias INPatricio Salas out
77'Óscar Aranda Subiela
77'Näis Djouahra INGabrijel Rukavina out
78'Taichi Fukui INLee Hyun-ju out
85'Espen van EeFoul
90'Jose FontánFoul
90+6'Paulo Moreira

Lineups

Famalicao
4-2-3-1Coach: Ricardo Silva
Arouca
4-2-3-1Coach: Vítor Severino
Avg rating6.86
Avg rating6.42
L. Carević7.425L. Carević
Gustavo Garcia7.02G. Garcia
Víctor Rofino7.115V. Rofino
F. van Breemen7.24F. van Breemen
Pedro Francisco7.028P. Francisco
T. van de Looi6.76T. van de Looi
Mathias De Amorim6.914M. De Amorim
R. Beney6.818R. Beney
Pedro Santos6.410P. Santos
Sorriso6.67Sorriso
G. Koutsias6.370G. Koutsias
I. de Arruabarrena7.412I. de Arruabarrena
Tiago Esgaio6.428T. Esgaio
Javi Sánchez6.915J. Sánchez
José Fontán6.63J. Fontán
O. Lebedenko6.018O. Lebedenko
E. van Ee6.56E. van Ee
T. Fukui6.68T. Fukui
A. Trezza6.219A. Trezza
Mateo Flores6.321M. Flores
N. Djouahra6.77N. Djouahra
Barbero6.217Barbero

Famalicao Substitutes

8Marcos Peña
9U. Abubakar
11Óscar Aranda66'for Pedro Santos77'7.1
23Gil Dias74'for Roméo Beney6.6
22Gabriel
72Juvenal Augusto Gomes Correia
24Mathis Jangeal
19Paulo Moreira66'for Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura90+6'7.7
3L. Realpe
33P. Salas74'for Georgios Koutsias6.2
30V. Serafimović
1I. Zlobin

Arouca Substitutes

37Mario Climent
10Pablo Gozálbez56'for Mateo Flores7.0
14Lee Hyun-Ju78'for Taichi Fukui5.8
24B. Mansilla56'for Alfonso Trezza5.8
9F. Mayulu
4Diogo Monteiro
23D. Nandín69'for Iván Barbero6.1
5B. Popović
20G. Rukavina77'for Näis Djouahra6.3
2L. Shahar
1J. Vinarčík
27Mamadu Balde

Match Stats

FamalicaoArouca
53%Ball Possession47%
9Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box5
5Blocked Shots0
8Fouls15
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves4
521Total Passes480
461Passes Accurate422
15Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

FamalicaoFamalicao
AroucaArouca
1662Elo Rating 1689
1.32Attack 1.06
1.78Defense 2.23
44%Hit Rate 56%
10.1Shots per Game 11.0
3.6Shots on Target 3.8
4.5Corners per Game 4.4
2.2Cards per Game 2.8

Game State Tendencies

FamalicaoFamalicao
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
AroucaArouca
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FamalicaoFamalicao3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
AroucaArouca3Wins · 30%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs22/07/2026
FamalicaoArouca
00
Primeira Liga06/03/2026
FamalicaoArouca
10
Primeira Liga05/10/2025
AroucaFamalicao
11
Primeira Liga05/04/2025
AroucaFamalicao
12
Primeira Liga09/11/2024
FamalicaoArouca
00
Primeira Liga23/02/2024
AroucaFamalicao
32
Primeira Liga22/09/2023
FamalicaoArouca
10
Primeira Liga03/04/2023
FamalicaoArouca
01
Primeira Liga10/10/2022
AroucaFamalicao
41
Primeira Liga31/01/2022
FamalicaoArouca
00

Referee Profile

Gustavo Fernandes Correia174 matches

6.05Cards per match
5.65Yellow cards per match
0.40Red cards per match
29.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gustavo Fernandes Correia6.05
Other referees5.39

6.05 cards a match, 0.66 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.39).

Cards come from 121 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto11110027:5+2233WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica1191130:10+2028WWWWL
3Sporting CPSporting CP1173124:11+1324WWLWD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1163216:8+821LWLWD
5AroucaArouca1162313:8+520LWWWD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1162315:13+220LWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1153310:8+218WDLWW
8SC BragaSC Braga1152413:11+217WWLLL
9MoreirenseMoreirense1142513:18-514LWWLD
10FamalicaoFamalicao1134415:14+113WLWLW
11AlvercaAlverca1133514:15-112DLLWW
12EstrelaEstrela1124517:22-510LLLLL
13NacionalNacional1131711:19-810WLWLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC1123611:12-19LDWLD
15MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia112276:20-148DLWLW
17Rio AveRio Ave112189:24-157LLLWL
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1127:533
2BenficaBenfica1130:1028
3Sporting CPSporting CP1124:1124
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1116:821
5AroucaArouca1113:820
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1115:1320
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1110:818
8SC BragaSC Braga1113:1117
9MoreirenseMoreirense1113:1814
10FamalicaoFamalicao1115:1413
11AlvercaAlverca1114:1512
12EstrelaEstrela1117:2210
13NacionalNacional1111:1910
14Vitória SCVitória SC1111:129
15MaritimoMaritimo109:218
16Casa PiaCasa Pia116:208
17Rio AveRio Ave119:247
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Famalicao vs Arouca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Famalicao and Arouca in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, Arouca are 5th and Famalicao 10th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Famalicao 15-14, Arouca 13-8. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Arouca have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.