Alverca vs Casa Pia Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 11
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Alverca vs Casa Pia: the result in context
Alverca and Casa Pia drew 1-1 in the Primeira Liga on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Referee Sergio Jose Dos Santos Guelho averages 4.45 cards a game, 0.74 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Alverca
Avg ratingAvg rating
31M. Mendes
4Y. Bojang
21S. Gómez
12I. James
20D. Filipe Spencer Marques
25I. Luccas
6D. Gui
55F. Chissumba
10Chiquinho
19D. Camara
22Figueiredo
1P. Sequeira
18Geraldes
3Kaly
43D. Sousa
75P. Rosas
70J. Pedro Seno Luís Rêgo
24S. Pérez
16Silvi
29J. Livolant
9H. Araújo
77B. PauwelsAlverca Substitutes
Casa Pia Substitutes
Match Stats
AlvercaCasa Pia Team Comparison
AlvercaCasa PiaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Alverca- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Casa Pia- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Alverca2Wins · 100%0Wins · 0%Previous meetings
12/04/2026AlvercaCasa Pia29/11/2025Casa PiaAlvercaRecent Form
Alverca
Casa PiaCasa Pia
Sporting CP
EstrelaCasa Pia
AlpendoradaCasa PiaCasa Pia
Santa Clara
EstorilCasa PiaCasa Pia
FC Porto
Vitória SCCasa PiaCasa Pia
Moreirense
GIL VicenteCasa PiaCasa Pia
BenficaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.45 cards a match, 0.74 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.19).
Cards come from 40 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 27:5 | +22 | 33 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 28 | WWWWL |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24:11 | +13 | 24 | WWLWD |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 21 | LWLWD |
| 5 |  Arouca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | +5 | 20 | LWWWD |
| 6 |  Academico Viseu | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 20 | LWWWW |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 10:8 | +2 | 18 | WDLWW |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 | WWLLL |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 | LWWLD |
| 10 |  Famalicao | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 13 | WLWLW |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 12 | DLLWW |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | -5 | 10 | LLLLL |
| 13 |  Nacional | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 10 | WLWLL |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 9 | LDWLD |
| 15 |  Maritimo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | LLLDL |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 8 | DLWLW |
| 17 |  Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:24 | -15 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5:19 | -14 | 2 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 11 | 27:5 | 33 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 30:10 | 28 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 11 | 24:11 | 24 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 11 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 11 | 13:8 | 20 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 11 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 7 | GIL Vicente | 11 | 10:8 | 18 |
| 8 | SC Braga | 11 | 13:11 | 17 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 13:18 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicao | 11 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Alverca | 11 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | 17:22 | 10 |
| 13 | Nacional | 11 | 11:19 | 10 |
| 14 | Vitória SC | 11 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Maritimo | 10 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 11 | 6:20 | 8 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 11 | 9:24 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 5:19 | 2 |
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This match
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About the Alverca vs Casa Pia forecast
The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alverca and Casa Pia in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Alverca are 11th and Casa Pia 16th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Alverca 14-15, Casa Pia 6-20. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Alverca and Casa Pia have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.