Alverca vs Arouca Prediction
Portugal · Regular Season - 9
Alverca vs Arouca preview: form and head-to-head
On form this looks evenly balanced, with Alverca on 3 wins from their last five and Arouca on 2. They meet in the Primeira Liga on 24 Oct 2026.
Referee Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho averages 5.79 cards a game, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
Alverca
AroucaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Alverca- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)
Arouca- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
Alverca1Wins · 50%1Wins · 50%Previous meetings
24/04/2026AlvercaArouca14/12/2025AroucaAlvercaRecent Form
Alverca
TondelaAlverca
FamalicaoAlvercaAlverca
Rio Ave
NacionalAlvercaAlverca
SC BragaAlverca
Santa Clara
Sporting CPAlvercaAlverca
Estrela
FC PortoAlvercaAlverca
Sporting CP BArouca
CF Os BelenensesAroucaAroucaEstrelaSporting CPAroucaAroucaSanta Clara
EstorilAroucaArouca
MaritimoFC PortoAroucaArouca
Moreirense
GuimaraesArouca
Lusitânia LourosaAroucaReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.79 cards a match, 0.56 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.23).
Cards come from 39 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 20:4 | +16 | 24 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Benfica | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 24:7 | +17 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | +11 | 18 | WDDWW |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 18 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | +4 | 14 | WDLDW |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | +2 | 14 | WWDLL |
| 7 |  Academico Viseu | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | +1 | 14 | WWWWL |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | +1 | 11 | WWWLD |
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 | LLDWL |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 | LLDWD |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 8 | LDLLL |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 | LDWLL |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 7 | LWDDD |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 7 | WLDLL |
| 15 | Vitória SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | LDLDL |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 4 | LLLLL |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3:17 | -14 | 4 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 20:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Benfica | 8 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 8 | 12:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 8 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 6 | GIL Vicente | 8 | 8:6 | 14 |
| 7 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Braga | 8 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 10 | Estrela | 8 | 14:15 | 10 |
| 11 | Maritimo | 8 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 12 | Moreirense | 8 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 13 | Famalicao | 8 | 10:11 | 7 |
| 14 | Rio Ave | 8 | 8:17 | 7 |
| 15 | Vitória SC | 8 | 5:10 | 5 |
| 16 | Nacional | 8 | 9:18 | 4 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 8 | 3:17 | 4 |
| 18 | Estoril | 8 | 4:12 | 2 |
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This match
About the Alverca vs Arouca forecast
The forecasts for this Primeira Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Alverca and Arouca in the Primeira Liga table
In the Primeira Liga table, Arouca are 5th and Alverca 8th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Alverca 13-12, Arouca 11-7. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Alverca have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Alverca and Arouca have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.