Sporting CP vs Moreirense Prediction

Sporting CP
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Moreirense
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon·Joao Goncalves 07/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.41
SignalGOODModel80%SurpriseMediumGap+0.3%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.41
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Sporting CP Rest
4 days
Moreirense Rest
7 days

Sporting CP vs Moreirense: result, form and history

Sporting CP beat Moreirense 1-0 in the Primeira Liga on 7 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sporting CP have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game. Sporting CP tend to win more corners, 5.3 a game to 2.7 for Moreirense.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
86%1.12
X
10%8.65
2
4%19.00
Double Chance
1X
96%1.02
X2
14%6.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.25
No
55%1.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.5 + 0.75 = 3.25
Over 1.5
85%1.10
Over 2.5
68%1.41
Over 3.5
47%2.04
Under 1.5
15%5.99
Under 2.5
32%2.86
Under 3.5
53%1.76
Corners
Projected Corners: 7.2 + 2.9 = 10.1
Over 8.5
66%1.51
Over 9.5
55%1.91
Over 10.5
43%2.37
Under 8.5
34%2.38
Under 9.5
45%1.85
Under 10.5
57%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.50
Over 4.5
37%2.02
Under 3.5
44%2.47
Under 4.5
63%1.75

Match Events

54'Leonardo Vonić INYan Maranhão out
54'Chipyoka Songa INLeandro Santos out
61'Luis SuárezAssist: Issa Doumbia
62'Nestory Irankunda INRodrigo Zalazar out
62'Issa Doumbia INFlávio Gonçalves out
62'Luís Guilherme INGeny Catamo out
73'Landerson Costa Araújo INRodrigo Alonso out
75'Luis Suárez INFotis Ioannidis out
87'Guilherme Liberato INAfonso vieira out
87'Álvaro Martínez INMateja Stjepanović out

Lineups

Sporting CP
4-3-3Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Moreirense
4-2-3-1Coach: Vasco Costa
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.31
Kaique7.230Kaique
Iván Fresneda7.522I. Fresneda
Eduardo Quaresma6.972E. Quaresma
Gonçalo Inácio7.025G. Inácio
M. Araújo6.920M. Araújo
S. Andersen7.14S. Andersen
Sergi Altimira6.65S. Altimira
I. Doumbia7.777I. Doumbia
Luis Guilherme6.631L. Guilherme
L. Suárez8.197L. Suárez
N. Irankunda7.119N. Irankunda
André Ferreira6.713A. Ferreira
Dinis Pinto5.976D. Pinto
Gilberto Batista6.566G. Batista
Kevyn Monteiro7.04K. Monteiro
Álvaro Martínez6.017Á. Martínez
N. John6.223N. John
Guilherme Liberato6.465G. Liberato
Chipyoka Songa6.328C. Songa
Manuel Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça6.67M. Ascenção Bebiano Mendonça
Landerson6.111Landerson
L. Vonić6.479L. Vonić

Sporting CP Substitutes

13G. Vagiannidis
8João Simões
1Rui Silva
17R. Zalazar62'for Nestory Irankunda7.2
18M. Zekri
10Geny Catamo62'for Luís Guilherme6.6
21Pedro Lima
55Ibrahima Ba
28J. Derry
73Eduardo Felicíssimo
58Flávio Gonçalves62'for Issa Doumbia6.7
7F. Ioannidis75'for Luis Suárez6.5

Moreirense Substitutes

26Maracás
21Rodri Alonso73'for Landerson Costa Araújo6.2
2Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos54'for Chipyoka Songa5.9
8M. Stjepanović87'for Álvaro Martínez5.9
89Afonso Vieira87'for Guilherme Liberato6.3
25Afonso Assis
1Aranha
99Maranhão54'for Leonardo Vonić6.6
32José
87Miguel Andrade Silva
12Francisco Barbosa Sampaio
35Dante Dias de Brito

Match Stats

Sporting CPMoreirense
71%Ball Possession29%
8Corner Kicks4
19Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal4
16Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box3
4Blocked Shots3
10Fouls8
2Offsides3
2Goalkeeper Saves3
654Total Passes261
588Passes Accurate195
8Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Sporting CPSporting CP
MoreirenseMoreirense
1812Elo Rating 1604
1.56Attack 1.37
2.05Defense 2.00
69%Hit Rate 50%
18.8Shots per Game 11.1
5.7Shots on Target 3.4
5.3Corners per Game 2.7
1.7Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+208 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.25 goals
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Sporting CPSporting CP
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MoreirenseMoreirense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sporting CPSporting CP8Wins · 80%
Draws110%
MoreirenseMoreirense1Wins · 10%
2.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Primeira Liga21/02/2026
MoreirenseSporting CP
03
Primeira Liga22/09/2025
Sporting CPMoreirense
30
Primeira Liga18/04/2025
Sporting CPMoreirense
31
Primeira Liga05/12/2024
MoreirenseSporting CP
21
Primeira Liga19/02/2024
MoreirenseSporting CP
02
Primeira Liga17/09/2023
Sporting CPMoreirense
30
Primeira Liga14/03/2022
MoreirenseSporting CP
02
Primeira Liga23/10/2021
Sporting CPMoreirense
10
Primeira Liga05/04/2021
MoreirenseSporting CP
11
Primeira Liga28/11/2020
Sporting CPMoreirense
21

Referee Profile

Joao Goncalves52 matches

5.37Cards per match
4.95Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
27.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Goncalves5.37
Other referees5.14

5.37 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.14).

Cards come from 38 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primeira Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC PortoFC Porto11110027:5+2233WWWWW
2BenficaBenfica1191130:10+2028WWWWL
3Sporting CPSporting CP1173124:11+1324WWLWD
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1163216:8+821LWLWD
5AroucaArouca1162313:8+520LWWWD
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1162315:13+220LWWWW
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1153310:8+218WDLWW
8SC BragaSC Braga1152413:11+217WWLLL
9MoreirenseMoreirense1142513:18-514LWWLD
10FamalicaoFamalicao1134415:14+113WLWLW
11AlvercaAlverca1133514:15-112DLLWW
12EstrelaEstrela1124517:22-510LLLLL
13NacionalNacional1131711:19-810WLWLL
14Vitória SCVitória SC1123611:12-19LDWLD
15MaritimoMaritimo102269:21-128LLLDL
16Casa PiaCasa Pia112276:20-148DLWLW
17Rio AveRio Ave112189:24-157LLLWL
18EstorilEstoril100285:19-142LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC PortoFC Porto1127:533
2BenficaBenfica1130:1028
3Sporting CPSporting CP1124:1124
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1116:821
5AroucaArouca1113:820
6Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu1115:1320
7GIL VicenteGIL Vicente1110:818
8SC BragaSC Braga1113:1117
9MoreirenseMoreirense1113:1814
10FamalicaoFamalicao1115:1413
11AlvercaAlverca1114:1512
12EstrelaEstrela1117:2210
13NacionalNacional1111:1910
14Vitória SCVitória SC1111:129
15MaritimoMaritimo109:218
16Casa PiaCasa Pia116:208
17Rio AveRio Ave119:247
18EstorilEstoril105:192
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Sporting CP vs Moreirense forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sporting CP and Moreirense in the Primeira Liga table

In the Primeira Liga table, Sporting CP are 3rd and Moreirense 9th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Sporting CP 24-11, Moreirense 13-18. The full standings are on the Primeira Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.