FC Juarez vs Puebla Prediction

FC Juarez
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Puebla
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez, Ciudad Juarez·Fernando Hernandez, Mexico 18/07/2026
FC JuarezFC Juarez
0-1
Finished
PueblaPuebla

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.49
SignalHIGHModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+13.5%
FC Juarez Rest
8 days
Puebla Rest
7 days

FC Juarez vs Puebla: the result in context

Puebla beat FC Juarez 1-0 in the Liga MX on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 6. Referee Fernando Hernandez averages 5.25 cards a game, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.66
X
20%3.90
2
18%4.75
Double Chance
1X
82%1.17
X2
38%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.68
No
47%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 0.95 = 2.64
Over 1.5
79%1.20
Over 2.5
61%1.70
Over 3.5
34%2.62
Under 1.5
21%4.10
Under 2.5
39%2.10
Under 3.5
66%1.43
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 3.6 = 9.6
Over 8.5
61%1.46
Over 9.5
50%1.83
Over 10.5
36%2.30
Under 8.5
39%2.41
Under 9.5
50%1.86
Under 10.5
64%1.55
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.4 = 4.3
Over 3.5
60%1.31
Over 4.5
42%1.72
Under 3.5
40%2.82
Under 4.5
58%2.00

Match Events

7'L. Romero IND. Garcia out
11'I. MaestroAssist: A. Herrera
46'A. Ramirez INS. Sanabria out
46'Madson INJ. Rodriguez out
58'J. Aquino INF. J. Nevarez Pulgarin out
58'Monchu INJ. M. Torres Ramirez I. out
59'O. Estupinan INL. Dupuy out
64'I. MorenoFoul
66'A. Organista INA. Leyva out
69'I. MaestroDelay of game
74'Guilherme CastilhoFoul
81'I. Maestro INE. Mustre out
87'K. Velasco INO. Villa out

Lineups

FC Juarez
4-2-3-1Coach: Pedro Caixinha
Puebla
4-2-3-1Coach: Alberto Espigares
Avg rating6.55
Avg rating6.79
Sebastián JuradoC6.61S. Jurado
Javier Aquino7.220J. Aquino
Jesús Murillo6.23J. Murillo
Haret Ortega7.223H. Ortega
Alejandro Mayorga6.34A. Mayorga
Lucas Romero15L. Romero
Monchu6.76Monchu
Madson de Souza Silva6.39M. de Souza Silva
Guilherme Castilho6.38G. Castilho
Ricardinho6.721Ricardinho
Óscar Estupiñán6.219Ó. Estupiñán
Daniel Gutierrez6.528D. Gutierrez
Iker Moreno6.512I. Moreno
Facundo Almada6.65F. Almada
Juan Pablo VargasC6.94J. Pablo Vargas
Fernando Monarrez6.97F. Monarrez
Alonso Ramirez6.916A. Ramirez
Alberto Herrera6.73A. Herrera
Kevin Velasco6.526K. Velasco
Alejandro Organista6.924A. Organista
Emiliano Gómez6.511E. Gómez
Ignacio Maestro Puch7.919I. Maestro Puch

FC Juarez Substitutes

5Denzell Garcia7'for L. Romero6.6
11José Luis Rodríguez46'for Madson6.3
27Guillermo Ruiz
33Francisco Nevarez58'for J. Aquino
2Gilberto Sepúlveda
7Raymundo Fulgencio
201Jan Carmona
10Jairo Torres58'for Monchu
29Ettson Ayón
17Luca Martínez Dupuy59'for O. Estupinan

Puebla Substitutes

21Sergio Sanabria46'for A. Ramirez6.7
33Jesús Rodríguez
15Óscar Villa87'for K. Velasco
2Angel Leyva
17Raúl Castillo
8Omar Moreno
10Mathías Tomás
22Carlos Baltazar
29Eduardo Mustre81'for I. Maestro

Match Stats

FC JuarezPuebla
65%Ball Possession35%
5Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots13
1Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box8
4Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots4
9Fouls22
1Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
484Total Passes266
416Passes Accurate192
86%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

FC JuarezFC Juarez
PueblaPuebla
1512Elo Rating 1471
1.18Attack 1.29
1.34Defense 0.62
27%Hit Rate 0%
13.8Shots per Game 13.4
4.2Shots on Target 4.7
5.8Corners per Game 4.3
3.0Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FC JuarezFC Juarez
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
PueblaPuebla
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FC JuarezFC Juarez3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
PueblaPuebla3Wins · 30%
3.5Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX04/04/2026
PueblaFC Juarez
11
Liga MX25/10/2025
FC JuarezPuebla
44
Liga MX30/03/2025
FC JuarezPuebla
20
Liga MX28/09/2024
PueblaFC Juarez
23
Liga MX24/03/2024
FC JuarezPuebla
43
Liga MX26/08/2023
PueblaFC Juarez
10
Liga MX01/04/2023
FC JuarezPuebla
02
Liga MX27/08/2022
PueblaFC Juarez
22
Liga MX02/03/2022
PueblaFC Juarez
11
Liga MX30/10/2021
FC JuarezPuebla
02

Recent Form

FC JuarezFC Juarez
3W4D3L
10/07/2026
Colorado RapidsFC Juarez
11
D
04/07/2026
Mineros de ZacatecasFC Juarez
13
W
01/07/2026
FC JuarezCA La Paz
22
D
28/06/2026
FC JuarezAtlante FC
20
W
26/04/2026
FC JuarezAtletico San Luis
21
W
22/04/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasFC Juarez
42
L
19/04/2026
LeonFC Juarez
31
L
11/04/2026
FC JuarezClub Tijuana
12
L
08/04/2026
Club QueretaroFC Juarez
11
D
04/04/2026
PueblaFC Juarez
11
D
PueblaPuebla
2W2D6L
10/07/2026
AtlasPuebla
34
W
04/07/2026
CF PachucaPuebla
31
L
01/07/2026
PueblaTlaxcala
31
W
25/04/2026
PueblaClub Queretaro
12
L
22/04/2026
MonterreyPuebla
21
L
19/04/2026
Guadalajara ChivasPuebla
50
L
11/04/2026
PueblaLeon
01
L
04/04/2026
PueblaFC Juarez
11
D
23/03/2026
Santos LagunaPuebla
21
L
14/03/2026
PueblaNecaxa
00
D

Referee Profile

Fernando Hernandez168 matches

5.25Cards per match
4.85Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Fernando Hernandez5.25
Other referees4.57

5.25 cards a match, 0.68 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.57).

Cards come from 158 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7Club LeonClub Leon1665523:21+223LWDLD
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7Club LeonClub Leon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
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About the FC Juarez vs Puebla forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Juarez and Puebla in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Puebla are 13th and FC Juarez 18th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Juarez 13-34, Puebla 19-23. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.