Leon vs Atlas Prediction

Leon
2-3
Finished
HT 1-1
Atlas
Estadio Leon, Leon· Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle, Mexico 18/07/2026
LeonLeon
2-3
Finished
AtlasAtlas

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.87
SignalGOODModel42%RiskMediumGap+7.5%
Leon Rest
14 days
Atlas Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.03
X
23%3.40
2
34%3.49
Double Chance
1X
66%1.28
X2
56%1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.68
No
40%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.37 + 1.19 = 2.56
Over 1.5
78%1.25
Over 2.5
59%1.87
Over 3.5
34%3.04
Under 1.5
22%3.74
Under 2.5
41%1.92
Under 3.5
66%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.4 + 4 = 10.4
Over 8.5
61%1.46
Over 9.5
50%1.80
Over 10.5
36%2.27
Under 8.5
39%2.50
Under 9.5
50%1.91
Under 10.5
64%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.8 = 5.2
Over 3.5
72%1.30
Over 4.5
55%1.62
Under 3.5
28%2.87
Under 4.5
45%2.20

Match Events

2'Duk
27'D. Cambindo
42'D. CambindoSerious foul
46'J. Rodriguez INM. Valenzuela out
50'A. GonzalezAssist: Gustavo Ferrareis
55'S. Santos INJ. Cortizo out
56'I. Diaz INA. Alvarado out
56'D. Arcila INE. Guerra out
58'A. Gonzalez INL. Esteves out
64'E. Zaldivar INV. H. Rios De Alba out
73'A. Rocha(Penalty)
73'R. EcheverriaUnsportsmanlike conduct
74'R. Echeverria INL. Valadez out
77'J. CortizoAssist: A. Alvarado
82'I. Moreno INF. Beltran Cruz out
84'M. CapassoFoul
85'A. RochaFoul
89'Duk INJ. Lozano out
90+9'A. AlvaradoFoul

Lineups

Leon
4-1-4-1Coach: Javier Gandolfi
Atlas
4-2-3-1Coach: Diego Cocca
Oscar García23O. GarcíaOscar García
Iván Moreno7I. MorenoIván Moreno
Juan Guevara3J. GuevaraJuan Guevara
Sebastián Vegas5S. VegasSebastián Vegas
Salvador Reyes26S. ReyesSalvador Reyes
José Rodríguez29J. RodríguezJosé Rodríguez
Sebastián Santos22S. SantosSebastián Santos
Rodrigo Echeverría20R. EcheverríaRodrigo Echeverría
Daniel Arcila13D. ArcilaDaniel Arcila
Ismael Díaz11I. DíazIsmael Díaz
Diber Cambindo27D. CambindoDiber Cambindo
Antonio Sánchez22A. SánchezAntonio Sánchez
Gustavo Ferrareis2G. FerrareisGustavo Ferrareis
Manuel Capasso28M. CapassoManuel Capasso
Rodrigo Schlegel21R. SchlegelRodrigo Schlegel
Jorge Rodríguez5J. RodríguezJorge Rodríguez
Aldo Rocha26A. RochaAldo Rocha
Edgar Zaldívar6E. ZaldívarEdgar Zaldívar
Duk11DukDuk
Arturo González58A. GonzálezArturo González
Sergio Hernandez23S. HernandezSergio Hernandez
Ryan Mmaee8R. MmaeeRyan Mmaee

Leon Substitutes

16Jordi CortizoM
19José AlvaradoF
18Edgar GuerraM
35Luis ValadezM
6Fernando BeltránM
1Jordan GarcíaG
4Bryan ColulaD
25Paul BellónD
33Abraham Villegas MacielD
185Christopher MoraD

Atlas Substitutes

16Milton ValenzuelaD
10Luís EstevesM
27Victor RiosM
17Jose LozanoD
4Adrián MoraD
13Gaddi AguirreD
192Jesús SerratoM
15Paulo RamírezD
203Jose MartinF
181Luis HernándezG

Match Stats

LeonAtlas
46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
1Red Cards0
16Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal7
6Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box5
9Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots1
15Fouls10
0Offsides4
4Goalkeeper Saves6
351Total Passes427
283Passes Accurate352
81%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

LeonLeon
AtlasAtlas
1650Elo Rating 1581
1.10Attack 1.58
1.84Defense 0.70
46%Hit Rate 31%
15.5Shots per Game 12.0
5.3Shots on Target 3.1
3.6Corners per Game 5.0
1.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

LeonLeon
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AtlasAtlas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Leon 61%Draw 17%23% Atlas
1.72Avg Goals
19%BTTS Rate
19%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LeonLeon
3W0D2L
03/07/2026
LeonTapatío
42
W
27/06/2026
LeonMineros de Zacatecas
74
W
26/04/2026
TolucaLeon
41
L
22/04/2026
LeonClub America
23
L
19/04/2026
LeonFC Juarez
31
W
AtlasAtlas
0W1D4L
10/07/2026
AtlasPuebla
34
L
04/07/2026
AtlasNecaxa
00
D
01/07/2026
AtlasAtletico San Luis
01
L
10/05/2026
Cruz AzulAtlas
10
L
03/05/2026
AtlasCruz Azul
23
L

Referee Profile

Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle, Mexico · 18 matches analysed

5.2Avg Yellows
5.5Avg Cards
24.4Avg Fouls
Stricter than 92% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca961220:9+1119LWWWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro842211:8+314DWWLD
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana842212:10+214DLWLW
7LeonLeon942312:10+214DWLDW
8PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
9AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
10MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca933315:10+512DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna92169:15-67WWLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca920:919
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro811:814
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana812:1014
7LeonLeon912:1014
8PueblaPuebla911:1114
9AtlasAtlas913:1514
10MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca915:1012
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna99:157
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
Promotion

Leon vs Atlas Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga MX

ScorePredicts covers Mexico football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Leon and Atlas have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.72 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.