Inter vs Monza Prediction

Inter
4-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Monza
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan· Livio Marinelli, Italy 22/08/2026
InterInter
4-1
Finished
MonzaMonza

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSOLIDModel62%RiskMediumGap-1.6%
Inter Rest
6 days
Monza Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.21
X
21%6.45
2
11%13.59
Double Chance
1X
89%1.04
X2
32%4.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%2.30
No
43%1.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.3 + 0.85 = 3.15
Over 1.5
83%1.19
Over 2.5
59%1.64
Over 3.5
35%2.55
Under 1.5
17%4.50
Under 2.5
41%2.25
Under 3.5
65%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 2.7 = 9.6
Over 8.5
58%1.56
Over 9.5
46%1.92
Over 10.5
34%2.48
Under 8.5
42%2.28
Under 9.5
54%1.80
Under 10.5
66%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
50%2.20
Over 4.5
27%3.30
Under 3.5
50%1.58
Under 4.5
73%1.24

Match Events

6'H. CalhanogluAssist: A. Diouf
29'G. VarelaAssist: M. Mout
34'L. MartinezTripping
45+1'H. CalhanogluTripping
48'P. Zielinski
54'L. Martinez INA. Bonny out
54'H. Calhanoglu INP. Sucic out
55'F. EspositoAssist: A. Diouf
63'Y. BisseckAssist: F. Esposito
69'E. KouadioTripping
70'A. Colpani INO. Forson out
70'M. Mout INN. Galazzi out
70'A. Bakoune INP. Cutrone out
75'M. Akanji INJ. Stones out
75'A. Diouf INLuis Henrique out
83'G. Varela INJ. Robinson out
83'P. Zielinski INA. Stankovic out
84'L. LucchesiHolding
88'L. Lucchesi INF. Delli Carri out

Match Stats

InterMonza
72%Ball Possession28%
2Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards0
9Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal2
3Shots off Goal2
6Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box0
2Blocked Shots1
4Fouls8
0Offsides3
1Goalkeeper Saves1
475Total Passes181
424Passes Accurate140
89%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

InterInter
MonzaMonza
1970Elo Rating 1673
2.89Attack 1.44
1.20Defense 0.90
77%Hit Rate 19%
24.0Shots per Game 13.7
8.1Shots on Target 6.2
8.4Corners per Game 3.0
1.6Cards per Game 0.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+297 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📈BTTS Trend69% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

InterInter
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MonzaMonza
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Inter 63%Draw 23%14% Monza
3.45Avg Goals
69%BTTS Rate
46%Over 2.5

Recent Form

InterInter
4W1D0L
15/08/2026
InterReal Betis
10
W
08/08/2026
JuventusInter
12
W
05/08/2026
AC MilanInter
11
D
01/08/2026
Manchester CityInter
1131
W
26/07/2026
Karlsruher SCInter
12
W
MonzaMonza
3W1D1L
14/08/2026
MonzaAvellino
30
W
07/08/2026
MonzaPadova
33
D
30/07/2026
MonzaAris Thessalonikis
13
L
24/07/2026
GalatasarayMonza
02
W
18/07/2026
MonzaPRO Vercelli
43
W

Referee Profile

Livio Marinelli, Italy · 6 matches analysed

3.8Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 17% of referees analysed

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AS RomaAS Roma440012:1+1112WWWW
2InterInter440013:6+712WWWW
3ComoComo43109:4+510WWWD
4LazioLazio43106:3+310DWWW
5CagliariCagliari43014:2+29WWLW
6AC MilanAC Milan42207:4+38DDWW
7FrosinoneFrosinone42117:4+37DWWL
8JuventusJuventus42116:4+27LDWW
9SassuoloSassuolo42118:7+17WDWL
10NapoliNapoli42026:5+16WLLW
11AtalantaAtalanta42025:506LLWW
12LecceLecce42025:7-26WLLW
13UdineseUdinese41128:10-24LLWD
14TorinoTorino41034:7-33LWLL
15FiorentinaFiorentina41035:11-63WLLL
16BolognaBologna40132:5-31LDLL
17ParmaParma40132:6-41LDLL
18MonzaMonza40136:11-51LDLL
19GenoaGenoa40132:8-61DLLL
20VeneziaVenezia40044:11-70LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AS RomaAS Roma412:112
2InterInter413:612
3ComoComo49:410
4LazioLazio46:310
5CagliariCagliari44:29
6AC MilanAC Milan47:48
7FrosinoneFrosinone47:47
8JuventusJuventus46:47
9SassuoloSassuolo48:77
10NapoliNapoli46:56
11AtalantaAtalanta45:56
12LecceLecce45:76
13UdineseUdinese48:104
14TorinoTorino44:73
15FiorentinaFiorentina45:113
16BolognaBologna42:51
17ParmaParma42:61
18MonzaMonza46:111
19GenoaGenoa42:81
20VeneziaVenezia44:110
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Inter vs Monza Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Serie A fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Serie A

ScorePredicts covers Italy football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Inter and Monza have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.45 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.