Inter vs Monza Prediction

Inter
4-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Monza
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan·Livio Marinelli, Italy 22/08/2026
InterInter
4-1
Finished
MonzaMonza

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-1.6%
Inter Rest
6 days
Monza Rest
7 days

Inter vs Monza: the result in context

Inter beat Monza 4-1 in the Serie A on 22 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 6 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.21
X
21%6.45
2
11%13.59
Double Chance
1X
89%1.04
X2
32%4.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%2.30
No
43%1.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.3 + 0.85 = 3.15
Over 1.5
83%1.19
Over 2.5
59%1.64
Over 3.5
35%2.55
Under 1.5
17%4.50
Under 2.5
41%2.25
Under 3.5
65%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.9 + 2.7 = 9.6
Over 8.5
58%1.56
Over 9.5
46%1.92
Over 10.5
34%2.48
Under 8.5
42%2.28
Under 9.5
54%1.80
Under 10.5
66%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
50%2.20
Over 4.5
27%3.30
Under 3.5
50%1.58
Under 4.5
73%1.24

Match Events

6'H. CalhanogluAssist: A. Diouf
29'G. VarelaAssist: M. Mout
34'L. MartinezTripping
45+1'H. CalhanogluTripping
48'P. Zielinski
54'L. Martinez INA. Bonny out
54'H. Calhanoglu INP. Sucic out
55'F. EspositoAssist: A. Diouf
63'Y. BisseckAssist: F. Esposito
69'E. KouadioTripping
70'A. Colpani INO. Forson out
70'M. Mout INN. Galazzi out
70'A. Bakoune INP. Cutrone out
75'M. Akanji INJ. Stones out
75'A. Diouf INLuis Henrique out
83'G. Varela INJ. Robinson out
83'P. Zielinski INA. Stankovic out
84'L. LucchesiHolding
88'L. Lucchesi INF. Delli Carri out

Match Stats

InterMonza
70%Ball Possession30%
3Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots7
5Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal3
10Shots Inside Box6
3Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots1
5Fouls14
0Offsides8
2Goalkeeper Saves1
709Total Passes292
628Passes Accurate232
89%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

InterInter
MonzaMonza
1987Elo Rating 1677
2.11Attack 1.95
2.04Defense 0.60
86%Hit Rate 34%
21.4Shots per Game 12.0
7.0Shots on Target 5.0
5.5Corners per Game 3.8
2.3Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+310 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

InterInter
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MonzaMonza
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

InterInter3Wins · 50%
Draws233%
MonzaMonza1Wins · 17%
3.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

Serie A08/03/2025
InterMonza
32
Serie A15/09/2024
MonzaInter
11
Serie A13/01/2024
MonzaInter
15
Serie A19/08/2023
InterMonza
20
Serie A15/04/2023
InterMonza
01
Serie A07/01/2023
MonzaInter
22

Recent Form

InterInter
7W3D0L
15/08/2026
InterReal Betis
10
W
08/08/2026
JuventusInter
12
W
05/08/2026
AC MilanInter
11
D
01/08/2026
Manchester CityInter
1131
W
26/07/2026
Karlsruher SCInter
12
W
23/05/2026
BolognaInter
33
D
17/05/2026
InterHellas Verona
11
D
13/05/2026
LazioInter
02
W
09/05/2026
LazioInter
03
W
03/05/2026
InterParma
20
W
MonzaMonza
5W3D2L
14/08/2026
MonzaAvellino
30
W
07/08/2026
MonzaPadova
33
D
30/07/2026
MonzaAris Thessalonikis
13
L
24/07/2026
GalatasarayMonza
02
W
18/07/2026
MonzaPRO Vercelli
43
W
29/05/2026
MonzaCatanzaro
02
L
24/05/2026
CatanzaroMonza
02
W
19/05/2026
MonzaJuve Stabia
21
W
16/05/2026
Juve StabiaMonza
22
D
08/05/2026
MonzaEmpoli
22
D

Referee Profile

Livio Marinelli128 matches

4.40Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
26.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Livio Marinelli4.40
Other referees4.69

4.40 cards a match, 0.29 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).

Cards come from 121 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1091024:8+1628WWWWW
2InterInter1081126:13+1325LWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1073028:10+1824WWDWD
4ComoComo1072118:8+1023WWWWD
5AC MilanAC Milan1063121:12+921WLWWD
6FrosinoneFrosinone1062224:14+1020WWDWL
7JuventusJuventus1052313:10+317WLWLD
8NapoliNapoli1042417:13+414LWDLW
9BolognaBologna1042414:13+114WWWLW
10TorinoTorino1041514:16-213LLWWW
11GenoaGenoa1041510:14-413WWWLW
12CagliariCagliari104159:15-613LLLLD
13AtalantaAtalanta1032516:20-411LDDLW
14LecceLecce1030711:21-109LLLWL
15ParmaParma102268:15-78WDLLL
16FiorentinaFiorentina1022615:23-88WDLLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1022616:26-108LLLLD
18MonzaMonza1021717:24-77LLLWL
19UdineseUdinese1012711:23-125LDLLL
20VeneziaVenezia101096:20-143LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1024:828
2InterInter1026:1325
3AS RomaAS Roma1028:1024
4ComoComo1018:823
5AC MilanAC Milan1021:1221
6FrosinoneFrosinone1024:1420
7JuventusJuventus1013:1017
8NapoliNapoli1017:1314
9BolognaBologna1014:1314
10TorinoTorino1014:1613
11GenoaGenoa1010:1413
12CagliariCagliari109:1513
13AtalantaAtalanta1016:2011
14LecceLecce1011:219
15ParmaParma108:158
16FiorentinaFiorentina1015:238
17SassuoloSassuolo1016:268
18MonzaMonza1017:247
19UdineseUdinese1011:235
20VeneziaVenezia106:203
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Inter vs Monza forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Inter and Monza in the Serie A table

The table shows a wide gap: Inter are 2nd in the Serie A, while Monza sit 18th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Inter 26-13, Monza 17-24. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.