Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen Prediction

Gimcheon Stadium, Golden Spring·Kim Jong-hyeok 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-8.3%
Gimcheon Sangmu FC Rest
5 days
Daejeon Citizen Rest
6 days

Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen: the result in context

Daejeon Citizen beat Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2-1 in the K League 1 on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Daejeon Citizen had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Kim Jong-hyeok averages 3.11 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.60
X
26%3.48
2
46%1.95
Double Chance
1X
54%1.80
X2
72%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.23 + 1.43 = 2.66
Over 1.5
75%1.22
Over 2.5
52%1.80
Over 3.5
31%2.83
Under 1.5
25%3.80
Under 2.5
48%1.97
Under 3.5
69%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Kim In-gyunFoul
45'Kang Min-geu INJung Jae-min out
45'Kim Jun-Beom INDiogo Oliveira out
45'Joo Min-Kyu INGustav Ludwigson out
51'Diogo OliveiraAssist: Kim Bong-Soo
54'Lee Sang-heon INRoh Kyung-Ho out
64'Lee Jung-Taek INKim Min-duk out
73'Jung Jae-minAssist: Min Kyeong-hyeon
74'Diogo Oliveira INLee Soon-min out
78'Kim In-gyun INYoon Jae-Seok out
80'Kim Moon-HwanFoul
83'Kang Yun-sung INLee Hyeon-sik out
90+1'Yoon Jae-SeokFoul
90+1'Hong Yun-sang INKang Ju-Hyeok out
90+2'Min Kyeong-hyeon INKim Jin-Ho out

Lineups

Gimcheon Sangmu FC
4-4-2Coach: Seung-jin Joo
Daejeon Citizen
4-2-3-1Coach: Hwang Sun-Hong
Avg rating6.53
Avg rating6.44
Ahn Joon-Soo6.151A. Joon-Soo
22M. Kyeong-hyeon
Byeon Jun-Soo6.945B. Jun-Soo
Kim Min-Kyu6.65K. Min-Kyu
Park Jin-Seong6.533P. Jin-Seong
Hong Yun-Sang6.848H. Yun-Sang
Park Tae-Jun6.455P. Tae-Jun
Lee Kang-Hyun6.056L. Kang-Hyun
Kim In-Gyun6.221K. In-Gyun
Lee Sang-Heon6.547L. Sang-Heon
M. Kang49M. Kang
Lee Chang-Geun6.11L. Chang-Geun
Kim Moon-Hwan6.233K. Moon-Hwan
Lee Jung-Taek26L. Jung-Taek
A. Krivotsyuk6.598A. Krivotsyuk
Lee Myung-Jae6.516L. Myung-Jae
Kim Bong-Soo6.830K. Bong-Soo
Kang Yun-Sung6.46K. Yun-Sung
Um Won-Sang6.411U. Won-Sang
Kim Jun-Bum14K. Jun-Bum
Seo Jin-Su6.719S. Jin-Su
Joo Min-Kyu10J. Min-Kyu

Gimcheon Sangmu FC Substitutes

46Chung Ma-Ho
57Jeong Jae-Min45'for Kang Min-geu73'7.9
50Kang Ju-Hyeok90+1'for Hong Yun-sang
62Kim Jin-Ho90+2'replaced by Min Kyeong-hyeon
65Lee Sang-Hyeok
44Park Min-Seo
41Park Man-Ho
53Roh Kyung-Ho54'for Lee Sang-heon6.4
54Yoon Jae-Seok78'for Kim In-gyun90+1'6.2

Daejeon Citizen Substitutes

27Jeong Jae-Hee
13Kim Jin-Ya
3Kim Min-Duk64'for Lee Jung-Taek6.4
31Kim Min-Soo
44Lee Soon-Min74'replaced by Diogo Oliveira6.1
20Lee Hyun-Sik83'for Kang Yun-sung6.2
17G. Ludwigson45'for Joo Min-Kyu6.3
41Park Byung-chan
9Diogo de Oliveira45'for Kim Jun-Beom51'74'for Lee Soon-min7.5

Match Stats

Gimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
49%Ball Possession51%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal5
5Shots off Goal3
6Shots Inside Box6
10Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots2
7Fouls7
2Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves5
471Total Passes412
395Passes Accurate326
7Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC
Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen
1550Elo Rating 1667
1.34Attack 1.89
1.53Defense 1.77
17%Hit Rate 66%
14.2Shots per Game 13.0
5.5Shots on Target 5.1
6.4Corners per Game 4.9
1.6Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen4Wins · 40%
2.5Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

K League 125/07/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
32
K League 114/03/2026
Daejeon CitizenGimcheon Sangmu FC
11
K League 130/11/2025
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
03
K League 131/08/2025
Daejeon CitizenGimcheon Sangmu FC
21
K League 118/06/2025
Daejeon CitizenGimcheon Sangmu FC
00
K League 119/04/2025
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
02
K League 125/08/2024
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
22
K League 125/06/2024
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
20
K League 130/04/2024
Daejeon CitizenGimcheon Sangmu FC
00
K League 129/10/2022
Gimcheon Sangmu FCDaejeon Citizen
04

Recent Form

Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC
1W6D3L
18/10/2026
FC SeoulGimcheon Sangmu FC
22
D
10/10/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCFC Anyang
01
L
19/09/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Gimcheon Sangmu FC
02
W
13/09/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCGangwon FC
22
D
09/09/2026
Pohang SteelersGimcheon Sangmu FC
00
D
06/09/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC
22
D
29/08/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCGimcheon Sangmu FC
31
L
25/08/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCJeonbuk Motors
00
D
22/08/2026
Jeju United FCGimcheon Sangmu FC
00
D
19/08/2026
Gimpo CitizenGimcheon Sangmu FC
21
L
Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen
6W3D1L
18/10/2026
Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC
32
W
13/10/2026
SHANGHAI SIPGDaejeon Citizen
11
D
09/10/2026
Daejeon CitizenJeonbuk Motors
21
W
20/09/2026
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
11
D
15/09/2026
Daejeon CitizenKyoto Sanga
10
W
12/09/2026
Daejeon CitizenPohang Steelers
22
D
09/09/2026
Daejeon CitizenFC Anyang
32
W
05/09/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Daejeon Citizen
05
W
30/08/2026
Jeju United FCDaejeon Citizen
31
L
26/08/2026
Daejeon CitizenUlsan Hyundai FC
21
W

Referee Profile

Kim Jong-hyeok128 matches

3.11Cards per match
2.95Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
19.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Kim Jong-hyeok3.11
Other referees3.61

3.11 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.61).

Cards come from 98 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

K League 1 2026

K-League: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul33207661:29+3267DDWLW
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC331561252:47+551DWLLW
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3313101053:41+1249WWWDD
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors331212943:33+1048DWLDL
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC331115740:30+1048DDWDL
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3312101143:35+846WDWDD
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3312101139:37+246LLLWD
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3310131040:48-843DDWWD
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers331191330:39-942DDLWD
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC33519933:41-834LDLWD
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995337111532:47-1532LLLLD
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC333121830:69-3921WLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul3361:2967
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC3352:4751
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3353:4149
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors3343:3348
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC3340:3048
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3343:3546
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3339:3746
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3340:4843
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC3333:4134
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19953332:4732
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC3330:6921

K-League: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul33207661:29+3267DDWLW
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC331561252:47+551DWLLW
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3313101053:41+1249WWWDD
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors331212943:33+1048DWLDL
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC331115740:30+1048DDWDL
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3312101143:35+846WDWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul3361:2967
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC3352:4751
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3353:4149
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors3343:3348
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC3340:3048
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3343:3546

K-League: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3312101139:37+246LLLWD
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3310131040:48-843DDWWD
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers331191330:39-942DDLWD
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC33519933:41-834LDLWD
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995337111532:47-1532LLLLD
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC333121830:69-3921WLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3339:3746
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3340:4843
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC3333:4134
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19953332:4732
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC3330:6921
Champions LeaguePromotionRelegation

About the Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen forecast

The forecasts for this K League 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Daejeon Citizen in the K League 1 table

The table shows a wide gap: Daejeon Citizen are 3rd in the K League 1, while Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 10th, 15 points behind. League goal record so far: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 33-41, Daejeon Citizen 53-41. The full standings are on the K League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.