Incheon United vs Jeju United FC Prediction

K League 1South Korea South Korea · Regular Season - 33
Incheon United
3-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Jeju United FC
Incheon Football Stadium, Incheon·Shin Yong-jun 24/10/2026
Incheon UnitedIncheon United
3-1
Finished
Jeju United FCJeju United FC

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.32
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Incheon United Rest
5 days
Jeju United FC Rest
6 days

Incheon United vs Jeju United FC: result, form and history

Incheon United beat Jeju United FC 3-1 in the K League 1 on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them. Referee Shin Yong-jun averages 4.05 cards a game, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.25
X
28%3.18
2
29%3.20
Double Chance
1X
71%1.32
X2
57%1.58
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.87
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.15 = 2.65
Over 1.5
69%1.36
Over 2.5
45%2.19
Over 3.5
25%3.80
Under 1.5
31%2.88
Under 2.5
55%1.63
Under 3.5
75%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'Juan IbizaFoul
49'Kim Ryun-sungFoul
53'Kim Seong-Min INLee Dong-ryul out
59'Lee Myung-JooAssist: Stefan Mugoša
64'Lee Kun-heeFoul
65'Yu In-sooViolent conduct
65'Kwon Gi-min INPark Chang-Jun out
65'Eraldo Cinari INKim Shin-jin out
69'Kim Dong-heonFoul
72'Emerson Negueba
74'Lee Kun-hee INKim Jae-woo out
78'Leandro Ribeiro INMorgan Ferrier out
81'Lee Dong-ryul
85'Park Su-binFoul
85'Lee Chang-Min INRim Chang-Woo out
85'Park Su-bin INKang Dong-Hwi out
86'Julien CelestineFoul
86'Kim Shin-jinFoul
90+1'Lee Chung-YongAssist: Morgan Ferrier
90+5'Lee Chung-Yong INGerso Fernandes out
90+5'Stefan Mugoša INPark Seung-ho out
90+5'Lee Myung-Joo INLee Min-hyuk out

Lineups

Incheon United
4-4-2Coach: Jong-hwan Yoon
Jeju United FC
4-5-1Coach: Sérgio Costa
Avg rating6.65
Avg rating5.94
Kim Dong-Heon6.21K. Dong-Heon
Kim Myung-Sun6.439K. Myung-Sun
Kim Geon-Hui6.84K. Geon-Hui
Juan Fernández6.22J. Fernández
Lee Ju-Yong6.532L. Ju-Yong
Kim Seong-Min17K. Seong-Min
Seo Jae-Min6.415S. Jae-Min
Lee Myung-Joo7.55L. Myung-Joo
Leandro Ribeiro6.470L. Ribeiro
Lee Chung-Yong7.072L. Chung-Yong
S. Mugoša6.69S. Mugoša
Kim Dong-Jun5.71K. Dong-Jun
Yu In-Soo5.117Y. In-Soo
Tobias Figueiredo6.12T. Figueiredo
J. Célestine5.83J. Célestine
Kim Ryun-Seong5.840K. Ryun-Seong
E. Çinari5.522E. Çinari
Lee Chang-Min5.98L. Chang-Min
Park Su-Bin5.733P. Su-Bin
Gi-min Kwon5.96G. Kwon
Emerson Negueba7.094E. Negueba
Lee Kun-Hee6.110L. Kun-Hee

Incheon United Substitutes

13Choi Seung-Gu
11Gerso90+5'for Lee Chung-Yong
99M. Ferrier78'for Leandro Ribeiro6.5
10Lee Dong-Ryul53'for Kim Seong-Min81'7.5
26Lee Min-Hyeok90+5'for Lee Myung-Joo
3Lee Sang-Gi
21Lee Tae-Hui
77Park Seung-Ho90+5'for Stefan Mugoša
20Park Kyung-Sub

Jeju United FC Substitutes

24Choi Byung-Wook
13Chung Woon
81Heo Ja-Ung
55Dong-hwi Kang85'for Park Su-bin5.6
41Kim Jae-Woo74'for Lee Kun-hee6.0
18Kim Sin-Jin65'for Eraldo Cinari86'6.2
7Chang-Jun Park65'for Kwon Gi-min6.3
47Min-jae Park
23Rim Chang-Woo85'for Lee Chang-Min6.4

Match Stats

Incheon UnitedJeju United FC
73%Ball Possession27%
7Corner Kicks0
3Yellow Cards5
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots5
7Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0
0Offsides0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Incheon UnitedIncheon United
Jeju United FCJeju United FC
1611Elo Rating 1572
1.76Attack 1.37
2.36Defense 0.83
46%Hit Rate 17%
9.1Shots per Game 11.0
4.9Shots on Target 3.1
3.3Corners per Game 2.8
1.2Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Incheon UnitedIncheon United
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Jeju United FCJeju United FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Incheon UnitedIncheon United5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
Jeju United FCJeju United FC4Wins · 40%
2.3Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

K League 102/08/2026
Jeju United FCIncheon United
33
K League 125/04/2026
Incheon UnitedJeju United FC
10
K League 119/10/2024
Incheon UnitedJeju United FC
12
K League 110/08/2024
Jeju United FCIncheon United
01
K League 126/06/2024
Jeju United FCIncheon United
10
K League 106/04/2024
Incheon UnitedJeju United FC
01
K League 116/09/2023
Incheon UnitedJeju United FC
21
K League 110/05/2023
Jeju United FCIncheon United
20
K League 112/03/2023
Incheon UnitedJeju United FC
10
K League 111/10/2022
Incheon UnitedJeju United FC
31

Recent Form

Incheon UnitedIncheon United
3W4D3L
18/10/2026
Gangwon FCIncheon United
11
D09/10/2026
Incheon UnitedPohang Steelers
30
W27/09/2026
Gangwon FCIncheon United
00
D
20/09/2026
Incheon UnitedDaejeon Citizen
11
D
12/09/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCIncheon United
21
L
08/09/2026
Incheon UnitedBucheon FC 1995
21
W
05/09/2026
FC SeoulIncheon United
10
L30/08/2026
Incheon UnitedJeonbuk Motors
11
D
26/08/2026
FC AnyangIncheon United
21
L
23/08/2026
Gwangju FCIncheon United
01
W
Jeju United FCJeju United FC
3W3D4L
18/10/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsJeju United FC
32
L10/10/2026
FC SeoulJeju United FC
21
L20/09/2026
Gangwon FCJeju United FC
01
W12/09/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Jeju United FC
22
D
09/09/2026
Gwangju FCJeju United FC
01
W
05/09/2026
Jeju United FCUlsan Hyundai FC
00
D
30/08/2026
Jeju United FCDaejeon Citizen
31
W
25/08/2026
Jeju United FCPohang Steelers
12
L22/08/2026
Jeju United FCGimcheon Sangmu FC
00
D
19/08/2026
FC AnyangJeju United FC
21
L

Referee Profile

Shin Yong-jun92 matches

4.05Cards per match
3.90Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
21.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Shin Yong-jun4.05
Other referees3.53

4.05 cards a match, 0.52 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.53).

Cards come from 40 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

K League 1 2026

K-League: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul33207661:29+3267DDWLW
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC331561252:47+551DWLLW
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3313101053:41+1249WWWDD
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors331212943:33+1048DWLDL
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC331115740:30+1048DDWDL
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3312101143:35+846WDWDD
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3312101139:37+246LLLWD
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3310131040:48-843DDWWD
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers331191330:39-942DDLWD
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC33519933:41-834LDLWD
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995337111532:47-1532LLLLD
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC333121830:69-3921WLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul3361:2967
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC3352:4751
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3353:4149
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors3343:3348
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC3340:3048
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3343:3546
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3339:3746
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3340:4843
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC3333:4134
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19953332:4732
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC3330:6921

K-League: Championship Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul33207661:29+3267DDWLW
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC331561252:47+551DWLLW
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3313101053:41+1249WWWDD
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors331212943:33+1048DWLDL
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC331115740:30+1048DDWDL
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3312101143:35+846WDWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul3361:2967
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC3352:4751
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3353:4149
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors3343:3348
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC3340:3048
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3343:3546

K-League: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3312101139:37+246LLLWD
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3310131040:48-843DDWWD
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers331191330:39-942DDLWD
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC33519933:41-834LDLWD
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995337111532:47-1532LLLLD
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC333121830:69-3921WLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3339:3746
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3340:4843
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC3333:4134
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19953332:4732
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC3330:6921
Champions LeaguePromotionRelegation

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About the Incheon United vs Jeju United FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Incheon United and Jeju United FC in the K League 1 table

In the K League 1 table, Incheon United (6th) and Jeju United FC (7th) are level on 46 points. League goal record so far: Incheon United 43-35, Jeju United FC 39-37. The full standings are on the K League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.