Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC Prediction

Bucheon FC 1995
0-3
Finished
HT 0-1
Gwangju FC
Bucheon Stadium, Bucheon·Chae Sang-Hyeop 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.4%
Bucheon FC 1995 Rest
6 days
Gwangju FC Rest
6 days

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC: result, form and history

Gwangju FC beat Bucheon FC 1995 3-0 in the K League 1 on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Chae Sang-Hyeop averages 2.85 cards a game, 0.77 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.20
X
29%3.38
2
29%3.11
Double Chance
1X
72%1.33
X2
58%1.66
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.66
No
44%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 1.15 = 2.81
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
51%1.84
Over 3.5
30%3.20
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
49%1.92
Under 3.5
70%1.31
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

40'Jefferson Fernando Isidio(Penalty missed)
45+1'John IredaleAssist: Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua
59'Kim Min-Jun INRodrigo Bassani out
60'Park Jeong-in INGustavo out
60'Adriel D'Avila Ba LouaAssist: Shin Chang-moo
65'John IredaleAssist: Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua
67'Patrick William Sá de Oliveira INJeong Ho-Jin out
67'Ye-Geon Sung INYoon Bit-Garam out
77'Ha Seung-un INMoon Min-Seo out
77'Min Sang-gi INAhn Young-Kyu out
80'João Pedro ReginaldoFoul
82'João Pedro Reginaldo INBae Jin-Woo out
83'Kim Jong-SukFoul
84'Jefferson Fernando IsidioFoul
87'Jefferson Fernando Isidio INKim Dong-hyun out
90+2'Shin Chang-moo INJu Se-Jong out
90+3'Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua INKim Yun-ho out

Lineups

Bucheon FC 1995
3-4-3Coach: Lee Young-Min
Gwangju FC
4-4-2Coach: Jeong-kyu Lee
Avg rating5.94
Avg rating7.07
Kim Hyung-Geun5.71K. Hyung-Geun
Patrick William5.53P. William
Baek Dong-Gyu5.929B. Dong-Gyu
Hong Sung-Wook5.920H. Sung-Wook
An Tae-Hyun5.826A. Tae-Hyun
S. Ye-Geon5.84S. Ye-Geon
Kim Jong-Woo5.614K. Jong-Woo
Jo Seong-Joon5.483J. Seong-Joon
Kim Min-Jun6.313K. Min-Jun
Park Jeong-In6.39P. Jeong-In
Jefferson Galego6.111J. Galego
Kim Dong-Hwa23K. Dong-Hwa
Kwon Sung-Yun22K. Sung-Yun
T. van Grunsven4T. van Grunsven
Min Sang-Gi39M. Sang-Gi
João Pedro6.717J. Pedro
Shin Chang-Moo7.240S. Chang-Moo
Choi Kyoung-Rok10C. Kyoung-Rok
Kim Jong-Suk6.321K. Jong-Suk
Ha Seung-Un9H. Seung-Un
A. Ba Loua7.750A. Ba Loua
J. Iredale7.918J. Iredale

Bucheon FC 1995 Substitutes

99Gustavo Nescau60'for Park Jeong-in6.6
6Jeong Ho-Jin67'for Patrick William Sá de Oliveira5.5
24Kim Dong-Hyun87'for Jefferson Fernando Isidio6.0
93J. Lee
31Lee Sang-Hyeon
10Rodrigo Bassani59'for Kim Min-Jun6.4
23K. Takahashi
25Bong-Hun Yeo
8Yoon Bit-Garam67'for Ye-Geon Sung6.2

Gwangju FC Substitutes

6Ahn Young-Kyu77'for Min Sang-gi7.0
66Bae Jin-Woo82'for João Pedro Reginaldo7.0
8Ju Se-Jong90+2'for Shin Chang-moo
1Kim Kyeong-Min
70Kim Woo-jin
25Kim Yun-Ho90+3'for Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua
88Moon Min-seo77'for Ha Seung-un6.8
33Park Won-Jae
37Lee Yong-Jick

Match Stats

Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal8
5Shots off Goal5
8Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box8
3Blocked Shots1
7Fouls11
3Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves4
507Total Passes368
436Passes Accurate297
10Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995
Gwangju FCGwangju FC
1477Elo Rating 1474
0.51Attack 2.52
0.73Defense 1.26
0%Hit Rate 46%
8.4Shots per Game 13.2
3.4Shots on Target 4.9
4.0Corners per Game 1.4
2.2Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Gwangju FCGwangju FC
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 1.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19954Wins · 40%
Draws110%
Gwangju FCGwangju FC5Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

K League 108/08/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
00
K League 111/04/2026
Gwangju FCBucheon FC 1995
01
FA Cup27/08/2025
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
12
FA Cup20/08/2025
Gwangju FCBucheon FC 1995
20
FA Cup19/06/2024
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
23
K League 230/08/2022
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
21
K League 205/07/2022
Gwangju FCBucheon FC 1995
21
FA Cup25/05/2022
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
21
K League 223/04/2022
Gwangju FCBucheon FC 1995
10
K League 220/03/2022
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
20

Recent Form

Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995
2W2D6L
17/10/2026
Ulsan Hyundai FCBucheon FC 1995
21
L
09/10/2026
Gangwon FCBucheon FC 1995
20
L
19/09/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Gimcheon Sangmu FC
02
L
12/09/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Jeju United FC
22
D
08/09/2026
Incheon UnitedBucheon FC 1995
21
L
05/09/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Daejeon Citizen
05
L
29/08/2026
Bucheon FC 1995FC Anyang
11
D
25/08/2026
FC SeoulBucheon FC 1995
10
L
22/08/2026
Bucheon FC 1995Pohang Steelers
30
W
19/08/2026
Busan I ParkBucheon FC 1995
3050
W
Gwangju FCGwangju FC
2W4D4L
18/10/2026
Daejeon CitizenGwangju FC
32
L
11/10/2026
Gwangju FCUlsan Hyundai FC
43
W
20/09/2026
Jeonbuk MotorsGwangju FC
22
D
13/09/2026
Gwangju FCFC Anyang
11
D
09/09/2026
Gwangju FCJeju United FC
01
L
06/09/2026
Gimcheon Sangmu FCGwangju FC
22
D
30/08/2026
Gwangju FCFC Seoul
25
L
26/08/2026
Gangwon FCGwangju FC
22
D
23/08/2026
Gwangju FCIncheon United
01
L
19/08/2026
Ulsan CitizenGwangju FC
01
W

Referee Profile

Chae Sang-Hyeop85 matches

2.85Cards per match
2.77Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
20.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Chae Sang-Hyeop2.85
Other referees3.62

2.85 cards a match, 0.77 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.62).

Cards come from 39 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

K League 1 2026

K-League: Regular season

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC SeoulFC Seoul33207661:29+3267DDWLW
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC331561252:47+551DWLLW
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3313101053:41+1249WWWDD
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors331212943:33+1048DWLDL
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC331115740:30+1048DDWDL
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3312101143:35+846WDWDD
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3312101139:37+246LLLWD
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3310131040:48-843DDWWD
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers331191330:39-942DDLWD
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC33519933:41-834LDLWD
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995337111532:47-1532LLLLD
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC333121830:69-3921WLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
1FC SeoulFC Seoul3361:2967
2Ulsan Hyundai FCUlsan Hyundai FC3352:4751
3Daejeon CitizenDaejeon Citizen3353:4149
4Jeonbuk MotorsJeonbuk Motors3343:3348
5Gangwon FCGangwon FC3340:3048
6Incheon UnitedIncheon United3343:3546
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3339:3746
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3340:4843
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC3333:4134
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19953332:4732
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC3330:6921

K-League: Relegation Group

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3312101139:37+246LLLWD
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3310131040:48-843DDWWD
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers331191330:39-942DDLWD
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC33519933:41-834LDLWD
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 1995337111532:47-1532LLLLD
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC333121830:69-3921WLWDD
#TeamMPGPts
7Jeju United FCJeju United FC3339:3746
8FC AnyangFC Anyang3340:4843
9Pohang SteelersPohang Steelers3330:3942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FCGimcheon Sangmu FC3333:4134
11Bucheon FC 1995Bucheon FC 19953332:4732
12Gwangju FCGwangju FC3330:6921
PromotionRelegation

About the Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bucheon FC 1995 and Gwangju FC in the K League 1 table

Bucheon FC 1995 and Gwangju FC are close in the K League 1 table, 11th and 12th, with 11 points between them. League goal record so far: Bucheon FC 1995 32-47, Gwangju FC 30-69. The full standings are on the K League 1 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.