Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction

Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo, La Plata·Sebastian Nicolas Martinez

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
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Gimnasia L.P. Rest
7 days
Sarmiento Junin Rest
3 days

Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin: what the numbers say

Both Gimnasia L.P. and Sarmiento Junin have struggled lately, winning once at most in their last five. They meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 23 Oct 2026.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 1.2 goals a game. Referee Sebastian Nicolas Martinez averages 6.18 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
1.66
X
3.61
2
5.28
Double Chance
1X
1.15
X2
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
2.00
No
1.73
Goals
Over 1.5
1.33
Over 2.5
2.09
Over 3.5
3.70
Under 1.5
3.20
Under 2.5
1.73
Under 3.5
1.25
Corners
Over 8.5
1.51
Over 9.5
1.91
Over 10.5
2.40
Under 8.5
2.33
Under 9.5
1.83
Under 10.5
1.48
Cards
Over 3.5
1.19
Over 4.5
1.40
Under 3.5
4.30
Under 4.5
2.80
Predictions for this match are lockedA free account opens the match result market. Pro opens every goal market.

Team Comparison

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
1717Elo Rating 1639
1.44Attack 1.39
1.83Defense 1.67
27%Hit Rate 19%
16.8Shots per Game 9.9
5.2Shots on Target 2.8
4.9Corners per Game 2.4
1.7Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.2Wins · 22%
Draws556%
Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin2Wins · 22%
1.2Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored3 of 9
22%3+ goals2 of 9

Previous meetings

Liga Profesional Argentina13/04/2026
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
12
Liga Profesional Argentina04/10/2025
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
01
Liga Profesional Argentina30/03/2025
Gimnasia L.P.Sarmiento Junin
00
Liga Profesional Argentina18/10/2024
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
11
Liga Profesional Argentina27/05/2023
Gimnasia L.P.Sarmiento Junin
00
Liga Profesional Argentina28/08/2022
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
00
Liga Profesional Argentina15/04/2022
Gimnasia L.P.Sarmiento Junin
13
Liga Profesional Argentina03/10/2021
Gimnasia L.P.Sarmiento Junin
01
Liga Profesional Argentina03/05/2021
Sarmiento JuninGimnasia L.P.
00

Referee Profile

Sebastian Nicolas Martinez162 matches

6.18Cards per match
5.90Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
24.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Sebastian Nicolas Martinez6.18
Other referees5.27

6.18 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga Profesional Argentina 2026

Apertura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia16104229:15+1434WWWWL
2River PlateRiver Plate1692522:12+1029WWWWW
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1685317:13+429LWWWW
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1684420:16+428LWLWD
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1675417:13+426WLLDW
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1682619:19026WLLLW
7HuracanHuracan1657417:13+422WWDDL
8Racing ClubRacing Club1656517:15+221LLWWD
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1656515:15021WLDWW
10TigreTigre1648418:15+320DLLDD
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1661913:20-719LWWLD
12BanfieldBanfield1653817:19-218LLWLL
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1635815:20-514DLWLD
14AldosiviAldosivi160886:19-138LDLLD
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto1612135:24-195LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1629:1534
2River PlateRiver Plate1622:1229
3Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1617:1329
4Rosario CentralRosario Central1620:1628
5Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1617:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1619:1926
7HuracanHuracan1617:1322
8Racing ClubRacing Club1617:1521
9Barracas CentralBarracas Central1615:1521
10TigreTigre1618:1520
11Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1613:2019
12BanfieldBanfield1617:1918
13Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1615:2014
14AldosiviAldosivi166:198
15Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto165:245

Clausura - Group B

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1374220:11+925LWLWD
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1374217:11+625LWWWW
3Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1364314:10+422WLLDW
4Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1364319:18+122WLLLW
5Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1363422:19+321LWWLD
6River PlateRiver Plate1362518:13+520WWWWW
7Barracas CentralBarracas Central1354411:10+119WLDWW
8HuracanHuracan1354412:12019WWDDL
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1354417:21-419WWWWL
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1335512:13-114DLWLD
11TigreTigre1334613:15-213DLLDD
12BanfieldBanfield1334614:19-513LLWLL
13Racing ClubRacing Club1333714:20-612LLWWD
14Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto132388:17-99LDLLL
15AldosiviAldosivi1322914:22-88LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Rosario CentralRosario Central1320:1125
2Argentinos JRSArgentinos JRS1317:1125
3Belgrano CordobaBelgrano Cordoba1314:1022
4Gimnasia L.P.Gimnasia L.P.1319:1822
5Sarmiento JuninSarmiento Junin1322:1921
6River PlateRiver Plate1318:1320
7Barracas CentralBarracas Central1311:1019
8HuracanHuracan1312:1219
9Independ. RivadaviaIndepend. Rivadavia1317:2119
10Atletico TucumanAtletico Tucuman1312:1314
11TigreTigre1313:1513
12BanfieldBanfield1314:1913
13Racing ClubRacing Club1314:2012
14Estudiantes de Rio CuartoEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto138:179
15AldosiviAldosivi1314:228

About the Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin forecast

The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Gimnasia L.P. and Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina table

In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Gimnasia L.P. are 6th and Sarmiento Junin 11th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Gimnasia L.P. 19-19, Sarmiento Junin 13-20. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sarmiento Junin have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.