Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin Prediction
Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin: what the numbers say
Both Gimnasia L.P. and Sarmiento Junin have struggled lately, winning once at most in their last five. They meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina on 23 Oct 2026.
Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 1.2 goals a game. Referee Sebastian Nicolas Martinez averages 6.18 cards a game, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Team Comparison
AI Insights
Game State Tendencies
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 9 meetings, all competitions
Previous meetings
Recent Form
Referee Profile
Compared with other referees
6.18 cards a match, 0.91 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).
Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | +14 | 34 | WWWWL | |
| 2 | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | +10 | 29 | WWWWW | |
| 3 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | +4 | 29 | LWWWW | |
| 4 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | +4 | 28 | LWLWD | |
| 5 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 26 | WLLDW | |
| 6 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 | WLLLW | |
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | +4 | 22 | WWDDL | |
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 21 | LLWWD | |
| 9 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 | WLDWW | |
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 20 | DLLDD | |
| 11 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 | LWWLD | |
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | LLWLL | |
| 13 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 | DLWLD | |
| 14 | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 | LDLLD | |
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 | LDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 29:15 | 34 | |
| 2 | 16 | 22:12 | 29 | |
| 3 | 16 | 17:13 | 29 | |
| 4 | 16 | 20:16 | 28 | |
| 5 | 16 | 17:13 | 26 | |
| 6 | 16 | 19:19 | 26 | |
| 7 | 16 | 17:13 | 22 | |
| 8 | 16 | 17:15 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 15:15 | 21 | |
| 10 | 16 | 18:15 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | 13:20 | 19 | |
| 12 | 16 | 17:19 | 18 | |
| 13 | 16 | 15:20 | 14 | |
| 14 | 16 | 6:19 | 8 | |
| 15 | 16 | 5:24 | 5 |
Clausura - Group B
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | +9 | 25 | LWLWD | |
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:11 | +6 | 25 | LWWWW | |
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | +4 | 22 | WLLDW | |
| 4 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 22 | WLLLW | |
| 5 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:19 | +3 | 21 | LWWLD | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18:13 | +5 | 20 | WWWWW | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11:10 | +1 | 19 | WLDWW | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 19 | WWDDL | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17:21 | -4 | 19 | WWWWL | |
| 10 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 | DLWLD | |
| 11 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 | DLLDD | |
| 12 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14:19 | -5 | 13 | LLWLL | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 | LLWWD | |
| 14 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 | LDLLL | |
| 15 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:22 | -8 | 8 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 20:11 | 25 | |
| 2 | 13 | 17:11 | 25 | |
| 3 | 13 | 14:10 | 22 | |
| 4 | 13 | 19:18 | 22 | |
| 5 | 13 | 22:19 | 21 | |
| 6 | 13 | 18:13 | 20 | |
| 7 | 13 | 11:10 | 19 | |
| 8 | 13 | 12:12 | 19 | |
| 9 | 13 | 17:21 | 19 | |
| 10 | 13 | 12:13 | 14 | |
| 11 | 13 | 13:15 | 13 | |
| 12 | 13 | 14:19 | 13 | |
| 13 | 13 | 14:20 | 12 | |
| 14 | 13 | 8:17 | 9 | |
| 15 | 13 | 14:22 | 8 |
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This match
About the Gimnasia L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin forecast
The forecasts for this Liga Profesional Argentina match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Gimnasia L.P. and Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional Argentina table
In the Liga Profesional Argentina table, Gimnasia L.P. are 6th and Sarmiento Junin 11th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Gimnasia L.P. 19-19, Sarmiento Junin 13-20. The full standings are on the Liga Profesional Argentina Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sarmiento Junin have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.


