Girona vs Celta de Vigo II Prediction

Girona
5-1
Finished
HT 4-0
Celta de Vigo II
Estadi Montilivi, Girona·Jose Guzman 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.32
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-3.5%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.32
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Girona Rest
6 days
Celta de Vigo II Rest
4 days

Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: result, form and history

Girona beat Celta de Vigo II 5-1 in the Segunda División on 24 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Girona had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Celta de Vigo II.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.32
X
20%5.10
2
9%8.55
Double Chance
1X
91%1.06
X2
29%3.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.78
No
48%1.94
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.05 + 0.82 = 2.87
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
60%1.50
Over 3.5
38%2.25
Under 1.5
18%5.40
Under 2.5
40%2.50
Under 3.5
62%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 4 = 10.1
Over 8.5
67%1.60
Over 9.5
55%2.01
Over 10.5
43%2.63
Under 8.5
33%2.17
Under 9.5
45%1.72
Under 10.5
57%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 3 = 4.9
Over 3.5
73%1.33
Over 4.5
55%1.85
Under 3.5
27%3.10
Under 4.5
45%1.90

Match Events

17'Vladyslav VanatAssist: Unai Hernández
20'Unai HernándezAssist: Vladyslav Vanat
27'Penalty confirmedVladyslav Vanat
28'Pablo González Meixús
29'Vladyslav Vanat(Penalty)
38'Carles PérezAssist: Yaser Asprilla
41'Hugo CuencaFoul
55'Vladyslav VanatAssist: Mateu Morey
57'Frank Germain Jonathan Miller INMateo Sobral Sabajanes out
57'Hugo Cuenca INSeyni Mbaye Ndiaye out
59'Mateu Morey INAbdul Mumin out
59'Fran Beltran INIván Morante out
59'Unai Hernández INDonny van de Beek out
59'Óscar Marcos
61'Ángel Arcos INJan Oliveras out
67'Vladyslav Vanat INOleksandr Pyshchur out
73'Carles Pérez INChristian Stuani out
77'Óscar Marcos INStefan Bajcetic out
77'Adrià Capdevila INAldrine Kibet out
77'Jan OliverasFoul
90+1'Joel LopezDissent
90+3'Christian StuaniDissent

Lineups

Girona
4-2-3-1Coach: Quique Álvarez
Celta de Vigo II
3-4-2-1Coach: Fredi
Avg rating7.38
Avg rating5.82
P. Gazzaniga6.613P. Gazzaniga
Mateu Morey7.93M. Morey
David López7.45D. López
Alejandro Francés7.416A. Francés
Álex Moreno7.311Á. Moreno
Fran Beltrán7.18F. Beltrán
I. Gonzalez6.624I. Gonzalez
Y. Asprilla7.722Y. Asprilla
Carles Pérez8.223C. Pérez
Unai Hernández8.530U. Hernández
V. Vanat9.919V. Vanat
Coke Carrillo6.31C. Carrillo
P. Gavian5.72P. Gavian
P. Meixus4.66P. Meixus
K. Ribes5.83K. Ribes
G. Miller5.923G. Miller
H. Cuenca5.617H. Cuenca
Adrià Capdevila6.116A. Capdevila
Joel López6.218J. López
O. Marcos7.210O. Marcos
Ángel Arcos5.911Á. Arcos
A. Marin6.49A. Marin

Girona Substitutes

10Portu
25V. Krapyvtsov
33M. Furtado
14Iván Morante59'for Fran Beltran7.1
2A. Mumin59'for Mateu Morey7.0
6D. van de Beek59'for Unai Hernández6.5
38Holmes Zamorano
7C. Stuani73'for Carles Pérez90+3'6.4
9Abel Ruiz
15Oleksandr Pishchur67'for Vladyslav Vanat6.5
1Sergi Puig
29L. Kourouma

Celta de Vigo II Substitutes

25M. Gonzalez
29M. Sobral57'for Frank Germain Jonathan Miller5.4
27Noah Rodríguez Guallar
26Jorge Pérez-Lafuente Rey
14Jan Oliveras61'for Ángel Arcos77'5.1
4S. M. Ndiaye57'for Hugo Cuenca5.5
15A. Kibet77'for Adrià Capdevila5.7
28Vladimir Henrique Silva
19A. Davila Outerelo
13Caio Barone
22Stefan Bajčetić77'for Óscar Marcos5.8

Match Stats

GironaCelta de Vigo II
65%Ball Possession35%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
21Total Shots3
8Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal0
12Shots Inside Box2
9Shots Outside Box1
3Blocked Shots0
12Fouls10
6Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves4
602Total Passes279
557Passes Accurate215
10Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

GironaGirona
Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
1749Elo Rating 1561
2.28Attack 1.75
2.54Defense 0.59
64%Hit Rate 19%
15.7Shots per Game 9.4
5.1Shots on Target 4.7
4.2Corners per Game 3.1
1.7Cards per Game 3.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+188 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

GironaGirona
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2 vs 0.3 in second half)
Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II
3W3D4L
19/10/2026
Celta de Vigo IITenerife
11
D
10/10/2026
Celta de Vigo IIReal Sociedad II
41
W
04/10/2026
Sporting GijonCelta de Vigo II
32
L
26/09/2026
Celta de Vigo IISabadell
11
D
20/09/2026
AlmeriaCelta de Vigo II
20
L
14/09/2026
Celta de Vigo IIEibar
04
L
05/09/2026
AD Ceuta FCCelta de Vigo II
02
W
31/08/2026
Celta de Vigo IICastellón
12
L
24/08/2026
Celta de Vigo IIFC Andorra
42
W
15/08/2026
CadizCelta de Vigo II
00
D

Referee Profile

Jose Guzman117 matches

5.19Cards per match
4.93Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jose Guzman5.19
Other referees5.04

5.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.04).

Cards come from 88 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
8OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
9BurgosBurgos1052313:10+317WLLWW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1031613:17-410LWDWL
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6MallorcaMallorca1113:619
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
8OviedoOviedo1115:1218
9BurgosBurgos1013:1017
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1013:1710
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Girona vs Celta de Vigo II forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Girona and Celta de Vigo II in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Girona are 4th and Celta de Vigo II 16th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Girona 22-10, Celta de Vigo II 16-21. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Girona have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Girona and Celta de Vigo II have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.