Leganes vs Mallorca Prediction

Leganes
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Mallorca
Municipal de Butarque, Leganes·Olatz Rivera Olmedo 24/10/2026
LeganesLeganes
1-1
Finished
MallorcaMallorca

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.29
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-5.0%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Over 8.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+3.7%
Leganes Rest
7 days
Mallorca Rest
7 days

Leganes vs Mallorca: the result in context

Leganes and Mallorca drew 1-1 in the Segunda División on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Mallorca have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 0.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.41
X
31%3.13
2
42%2.17
Double Chance
1X
58%1.64
X2
73%1.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.90
No
52%1.82
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.9 + 1.52 = 2.42
Over 1.5
69%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.22
Over 3.5
23%4.10
Under 1.5
31%2.90
Under 2.5
56%1.66
Under 3.5
77%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.8 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.52
Over 9.5
56%1.92
Over 10.5
44%2.46
Under 8.5
33%2.26
Under 9.5
44%1.80
Under 10.5
56%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.8 + 2.3 = 5.1
Over 3.5
75%1.31
Over 4.5
58%1.73
Under 3.5
25%3.20
Under 4.5
42%2.05

Match Events

30'Ismael GharbiFoul
34'Zito Luvumbo
43'Rubén PulidoFoul
49'Antonio SánchezFoul
52'Luis García FernándezDissent
54'Alex SalaArgument
54'Alejandro San Cristobal SanchezArgument
57'Álex MillánAssist: Alejandro San Cristobal Sanchez
61'Arnau TenasArgument
62'Dani RodriguezFoul
62'Pablo Torre INSergi Darder out
66'Ismael Gharbi INZico Buurmeester out
73'Álex Millán INUnax del Cura out
73'Dani Rodriguez INNaim Garcia out
75'Alberto Moreno INAntonio Latorre Grueso out
80'Patrick Soko INAndres Campos out
80'Amadou Diawara INYassine Kechta out
87'Zito Luvumbo INJustin Kalumba out
87'Adrian Liso INGuille Fernández out
90+1'Antonio Latorre GruesoFoul

Lineups

Leganes
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis Carrión
Mallorca
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis García
Avg rating6.60
Avg rating6.60
Raúl Fernández6.21R. Fernández
Rubén Peña6.77R. Peña
Rubén Pulido6.34R. Pulido
Javi Montero6.93J. Montero
Enric Franquesa7.015E. Franquesa
Ismaël Gharbi6.617I. Gharbi
A. Diawara6.424A. Diawara
P. Soko6.019P. Soko
Dani Rodríguez6.114D. Rodríguez
Álex Sancris6.822Á. Sancris
Álex Millán8.09Á. Millán
Arnau Tenas6.81A. Tenas
M. Calatayud7.134M. Calatayud
M. Valjent6.724M. Valjent
Raíllo7.121Raíllo
Alberto Moreno6.55A. Moreno
Álex Sala6.37Á. Sala
Antonio Sánchez6.26A. Sánchez
Zito Luvumbo7.811Z. Luvumbo
Pablo Torre6.620P. Torre
Adrian Liso6.433A. Liso
Fuentes6.118Fuentes

Leganes Substitutes

10Z. Buurmeester66'for Ismael Gharbi6.3
2Marvel
18Andrés Campos80'for Patrick Soko6.5
32Suleiman El Haddadi Mohamed
11Naim García73'for Dani Rodriguez7.0
8Y. Kechta80'for Amadou Diawara6.5
31Nico Lozano
39Jorge Martínez
5Ignasi Miquel
13L. Zidane
16U. del Cura73'for Álex Millán6.6

Mallorca Substitutes

9Abdón Prats
29L. Orejuela
4David López
3Toni Lato75'for Alberto Moreno90+1'6.2
30J. Kalumba87'for Zito Luvumbo6.5
39J. Garcia
2Guille Fernández52'87'for Adrian Liso6.4
10Darder62'for Pablo Torre6.4
25Iván Cuéllar
16A. Buksa
13L. Bergström
22A. Souhmahoro

Match Stats

LeganesMallorca
52%Ball Possession48%
7Corner Kicks4
5Yellow Cards4
13Total Shots10
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal2
11Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots5
20Fouls12
1Goalkeeper Saves3
395Total Passes368
329Passes Accurate294
11Free Kicks20

Team Comparison

LeganesLeganes
MallorcaMallorca
1541Elo Rating 1736
0.27Attack 1.08
0.97Defense 2.17
0%Hit Rate 19%
11.0Shots per Game 12.7
2.2Shots on Target 3.8
4.6Corners per Game 6.1
4.1Cards per Game 3.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LeganesLeganes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.3 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MallorcaMallorca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

LeganesLeganes0Wins · 0%
Draws125%
MallorcaMallorca3Wins · 75%
0.8Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
0%3+ goals0 of 4

Previous meetings

La Liga19/04/2025
MallorcaLeganes
00
La Liga31/08/2024
LeganesMallorca
01
Segunda División01/04/2021
MallorcaLeganes
10
Segunda División12/12/2020
LeganesMallorca
01

Referee Profile

Olatz Rivera Olmedo3 matches analysed

4.59Cards per match
4.36Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 57% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Leganes vs Mallorca forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Leganes and Mallorca in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Mallorca are 7th and Leganes 17th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Leganes 7-16, Mallorca 13-6. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.