Granada CF vs Valladolid Prediction

Granada CF
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Valladolid
Nuevo Los Cármenes, Granada·Marta Huerta de Aza 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-3.9%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.73
SignalGOODModel66%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
Granada CF Rest
5 days
Valladolid Rest
5 days

Granada CF vs Valladolid: the result in context

Granada CF beat Valladolid 2-1 in the Segunda División on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 4 meetings, with both teams scoring in 4.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.19
X
30%3.25
2
28%3.27
Double Chance
1X
72%1.30
X2
58%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.35 + 1.1 = 2.45
Over 1.5
71%1.32
Over 2.5
47%2.00
Over 3.5
26%3.50
Under 1.5
29%3.25
Under 2.5
53%1.78
Under 3.5
74%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10.1
Over 8.5
67%1.58
Over 9.5
55%1.96
Over 10.5
43%2.51
Under 8.5
33%2.19
Under 9.5
45%1.70
Under 10.5
57%1.41
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.9 = 5
Over 3.5
74%-
Over 4.5
56%1.57
Under 3.5
26%-
Under 4.5
44%2.30

Match Events

14'Sergio Rodelas PintorAssist: José Manuel Arnáiz
20'Thiago Ezequiel OjedaDissent
50'Julien PonceauFoul
52'José Manuel Arnáiz INOwen Emeka out
57'Iván GarrielAssist: Julien Ponceau
61'Juanjo FloresFoul
65'Baïla Diallo INDiego Varela Pampín out
65'Sergio López INPau Casadesús out
65'Mario Jiménez Gambín INChinaza Onouha out
67'Jorge PascualAssist: Gerard Gumbau
70'Tay Abed INYeray Cabanzón out
70'Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda INKaj de Rooij out
70'Victor Barbera INRobin van Duiven out
73'Iván AlejoArgument
77'Sergio Rodelas Pintor INKader Bamba out
81'Julien Ponceau INMathis Lachuer out
86'Mathis LachuerFoul
87'Adrian Arnu INTomás Fernández Sabatini out
90+6'Card upgrade confirmedDavid Torres
90+7'David Torres

Lineups

Granada CF
4-3-3Coach: José Rojo Martín
Valladolid
4-1-3-2Coach: Fran Escribá
Avg rating6.99
Avg rating6.46
Alberto Flores8.11A. Flores
Sergio López6.118S. López
Juan José Flores Castro6.630J. José Flores Castro
Manu Lama7.25M. Lama
B. Diallo7.122B. Diallo
Gumbau7.76Gumbau
Rubén Alcaraz6.84R. Alcaraz
M. Gambin6.327M. Gambin
Sergio Rodelas7.77S. Rodelas
Jorge Pascual8.210J. Pascual
José Arnáiz7.511J. Arnáiz
Álvaro Aceves7.31Á. Aceves
Iván Alejo6.114I. Alejo
Pablo Tomeo6.615P. Tomeo
David Torres5.54D. Torres
Iván Garriel7.227I. Garriel
S. Jurić6.724S. Jurić
T. Ojeda5.98T. Ojeda
T. Abed6.223T. Abed
J. Ponceau7.021J. Ponceau
Victor Barberá6.417V. Barberá
Adrian Arnuncio6.519A. Arnuncio

Granada CF Substitutes

2Pau Casadesús65'for Sergio López6.4
17K. Bamba77'for Sergio Rodelas Pintor6.7
35B. Dembele
33A. Garcia
23B. Gimber
3Diego Hormigo
13Raúl Lizoain
34Manuel Maza Barranco
36O. M. Chukwuemeka52'for José Manuel Arnáiz6.4
19Chinaza Onouha65'replaced by Mario Jiménez Gambín
32D. Rodriguez
16Diego Pampín65'for Baïla Diallo6.5

Valladolid Substitutes

16Álex Balboa
11Yeray Cabanzón70'for Tay Abed6.4
18Clerc
33Tomás Fernández Sabatini87'replaced by Adrian Arnu
6M. Lachuer81'for Julien Ponceau86'5.8
26L. Lavagnino
13Dani Martín
5Ramón Martínez
2Trilli
22K. de Rooij70'for Thiago Ezequiel Ojeda6.8
20R. Duiven70'for Victor Barbera6.3
3Homam Ahmed

Match Stats

Granada CFValladolid
42%Ball Possession58%
3Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
10Total Shots14
7Shots on Goal8
2Shots off Goal3
7Shots Inside Box9
3Shots Outside Box5
1Blocked Shots3
12Fouls16
2Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves5
353Total Passes505
285Passes Accurate441
15Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Granada CFGranada CF
ValladolidValladolid
1627Elo Rating 1544
1.97Attack 2.46
1.98Defense 1.30
86%Hit Rate 34%
13.6Shots per Game 15.3
4.3Shots on Target 6.8
4.9Corners per Game 6.7
1.5Cards per Game 4.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Granada CFGranada CF
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
ValladolidValladolid
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Granada CFGranada CF2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
ValladolidValladolid2Wins · 50%
4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored4 of 4
100%3+ goals4 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División14/02/2026
Granada CFValladolid
51
Segunda División03/11/2025
ValladolidGranada CF
21
La Liga11/04/2021
ValladolidGranada CF
12
La Liga22/11/2020
Granada CFValladolid
13

Recent Form

Granada CFGranada CF
5W2D3L
18/10/2026
Granada CFCadiz
20
W
12/10/2026
BurgosGranada CF
01
W
04/10/2026
Real Sociedad IIGranada CF
23
W
26/09/2026
Granada CFFC Andorra
23
L
20/09/2026
LeganesGranada CF
32
L
12/09/2026
Granada CFAlbacete
11
D
06/09/2026
EibarGranada CF
30
L
30/08/2026
CordobaGranada CF
13
W
24/08/2026
Granada CFMallorca
20
W
15/08/2026
OviedoGranada CF
00
D

Referee Profile

Marta Huerta de Aza85 matches

4.82Cards per match
4.55Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marta Huerta de Aza4.82
Other referees5.15

4.82 cards a match, 0.33 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.15).

Cards come from 44 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Granada CF vs Valladolid forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Granada CF and Valladolid in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Granada CF are 5th and Valladolid 15th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Granada CF 18-14, Valladolid 16-16. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.