Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II Prediction

Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria·Morales Moreno Pablo 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.21
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Las Palmas Rest
6 days
Real Sociedad II Rest
7 days

Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II: result, form and history

Las Palmas beat Real Sociedad II 1-0 in the Segunda División on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.5 goals a game across 4 matches. Real Sociedad II tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 3.6 for Las Palmas.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%2.17
X
27%3.44
2
28%3.12
Double Chance
1X
72%1.33
X2
55%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.57
No
41%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.98 + 1.02 = 3.00
Over 1.5
79%1.21
Over 2.5
56%1.74
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
21%4.10
Under 2.5
44%2.10
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.7 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.50
Over 9.5
55%1.87
Over 10.5
43%2.37
Under 8.5
33%2.40
Under 9.5
45%1.87
Under 10.5
57%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.6 = 4.7
Over 3.5
69%-
Over 4.5
51%1.63
Under 3.5
31%-
Under 4.5
49%2.23

Match Events

8'Jesé Rodríguez
31'Giovanni Bonfanti INAndrés Rodríguez Martínez out
33'Iker CalderonFoul
45'Alex Marchal García INAlex Lebarbier out
45'Ibai Aguirre INLander Astiazarán out
55'Inaki RuperezFoul
60'Manu Fuster INMateo Acimovic out
60'Enzo Loiodice INKirian Rodríguez out
60'Taisei Miyashiro INElías Romero out
63'Sergio Viera GarcíaFoul
71'Tomy Carbonell INJon Eceizabarrena out
74'Gorka Gorosabel INArkaitz Mariezkurrena out
76'Jesé RodríguezFoul
76'Sergio Viera García INAboubacar Bassinga out
84'Dani Diaz INJavier Soroeta out
89'Aboubacar BassingaFoul
90+3'Jon EceizabarrenaFoul

Lineups

Las Palmas
4-4-2Coach: Juan Manuel Rodríguez
Real Sociedad II
4-4-2Coach: Ion Ansotegi
Avg rating7.02
Avg rating6.49
José Caro7.013J. Caro
Valentín Pezzolesi7.325V. Pezzolesi
Álex Suárez7.64Á. Suárez
Juan Herzog7.415J. Herzog
G. Bonfanti7.521G. Bonfanti
T. Miyashiro6.811T. Miyashiro
E. Loiodice7.212E. Loiodice
Sergio Viera6.634S. Viera
Iván Jaime7.224I. Jaime
Jesé7.810Jesé
Manu Fuster6.714M. Fuster
Lander Olasagasti7.232L. Olasagasti
Rupérez6.122Rupérez
I. Calderon6.615I. Calderon
K. Kita6.85K. Kita
Jon Balda6.33J. Balda
Dani Díaz6.87D. Díaz
Tomás Carbonell6.214T. Carbonell
Ibai Aguirre6.48I. Aguirre
Alex Garcia6.911A. Garcia
Gorka Gorosabel6.216G. Gorosabel
Gorka Carrera6.418G. Carrera

Las Palmas Substitutes

26A. Bassinga76'for Sergio Viera García89'6.6
16Mateo Acimovic60'replaced by Manu Fuster
7Jefté Betancor
22Ale García
30I. Medina
3N. Opoku
9J. Recoba
23A. Rodriguez31'for Giovanni Bonfanti6.3
20Kirian Rodríguez60'for Enzo Loiodice7.1
35Adrián Suárez
29Elías Romero60'for Taisei Miyashiro6.5
43Eduard Mohedano Serrano

Real Sociedad II Substitutes

23Unax Agote
17Lander Astiazarán45'for Ibai Aguirre6.5
21Jon Eceizabarrena71'for Tomy Carbonell90+3'6.7
2Jon Garro
6A. Lebarbier45'for Alex Marchal García6.3
10Arkaitz Mariezkurrena74'for Gorka Gorosabel6.5
12J. Oleaga
20Sydney Osazuwa
34Andrews Adjabeng
24A. Unax
19Javier Soroeta84'for Dani Diaz5.9
1Aitor Fraga

Match Stats

Las PalmasReal Sociedad II
55%Ball Possession45%
7Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box9
4Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots2
12Fouls14
4Offsides3
3Goalkeeper Saves3
481Total Passes390
403Passes Accurate320
14Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

Las PalmasLas Palmas
Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
1620Elo Rating 1499
1.08Attack 1.55
0.97Defense 0.54
27%Hit Rate 14%
9.0Shots per Game 17.9
3.1Shots on Target 5.6
3.6Corners per Game 7.0
4.5Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+121 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.01 goals

Game State Tendencies

Las PalmasLas Palmas
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Las PalmasLas Palmas2Wins · 50%
Draws250%
Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II0Wins · 0%
1.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División30/01/2026
Real Sociedad IILas Palmas
11
Segunda División12/09/2025
Las PalmasReal Sociedad II
21
Segunda División30/01/2022
Las PalmasReal Sociedad II
00
Segunda División29/10/2021
Real Sociedad IILas Palmas
01

Recent Form

Las PalmasLas Palmas
3W2D5L
Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II
2W2D6L
17/10/2026
Real Sociedad IIAlmeria
24
L
10/10/2026
Celta de Vigo IIReal Sociedad II
41
L
04/10/2026
Real Sociedad IIGranada CF
23
L
30/09/2026
Leicester City U21Real Sociedad II
04
W
26/09/2026
AD Ceuta FCReal Sociedad II
31
L
19/09/2026
Real Sociedad IIMallorca
01
L
15/09/2026
Aston Villa U21Real Sociedad II
51
L
12/09/2026
FC AndorraReal Sociedad II
13
W
05/09/2026
Real Sociedad IITenerife
11
D
31/08/2026
BurgosReal Sociedad II
22
D

Referee Profile

Morales Moreno Pablo3 matches analysed

4.67Cards per match
4.51Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 68% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CastellónCastellón1182122:4+1826WWLDW
2AlmeriaAlmeria1181222:9+1325DWWWW
3EibarEibar1171320:13+722LDLWW
4GironaGirona1163222:10+1221WWDDW
5Granada CFGranada CF1162318:14+420WWWWL
6BurgosBurgos1162316:12+420WWLLW
7MallorcaMallorca1154213:6+719DDWDL
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1161411:13-219LWWWL
9OviedoOviedo1153315:12+318DWWLW
10SabadellSabadell1145211:9+217DLWDD
11CordobaCordoba1150617:20-315WWLWL
12TenerifeTenerife1135313:15-214DDDLD
13EldenseEldense1142513:15-214LWWWL
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1142514:19-514WLLDL
15ValladolidValladolid1133516:16012LLWDW
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1133516:21-512LDWLD
17LeganesLeganes113357:16-912DLLLL
18CadizCadiz1124514:14010WLLWD
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1131715:20-510LLWDW
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1122714:22-88LLLLL
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1112810:25-155LLLDW
22AlbaceteAlbacete111198:22-144WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CastellónCastellón1122:426
2AlmeriaAlmeria1122:925
3EibarEibar1120:1322
4GironaGirona1122:1021
5Granada CFGranada CF1118:1420
6BurgosBurgos1116:1220
7MallorcaMallorca1113:619
8Sporting GijonSporting Gijon1111:1319
9OviedoOviedo1115:1218
10SabadellSabadell1111:917
11CordobaCordoba1117:2015
12TenerifeTenerife1113:1514
13EldenseEldense1113:1514
14Las PalmasLas Palmas1114:1914
15ValladolidValladolid1116:1612
16Celta de Vigo IICelta de Vigo II1116:2112
17LeganesLeganes117:1612
18CadizCadiz1114:1410
19FC AndorraFC Andorra1115:2010
20Real Sociedad IIReal Sociedad II1114:228
21AD Ceuta FCAD Ceuta FC1110:255
22AlbaceteAlbacete118:224
PromotionRelegation

About the Las Palmas vs Real Sociedad II forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Las Palmas and Real Sociedad II in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Las Palmas are 14th and Real Sociedad II 20th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Las Palmas 14-19, Real Sociedad II 14-22. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.