Grimsby vs Shrewsbury Prediction
England · Regular Season - 9
Blundell Park, Grimsby 03/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.62
SignalNEUTRALModel60%SurpriseMediumGap-1.5%
Grimsby Rest
7 days
Shrewsbury Rest
7 days
Grimsby vs Shrewsbury: the result in context
Shrewsbury beat Grimsby 2-1 in the League Two on 3 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
160%1.62
X23%3.90
217%5.00
Double Chance
1X83%1.15
X241%2.20
Both Teams to Score
Yes51%1.78
No49%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.67 + 0.83 = 2.50
Over 1.574%1.22
Over 2.551%1.77
Over 3.530%3.00
Under 1.526%3.80
Under 2.549%2.00
Under 3.570%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.9 = 9.6
Over 8.558%1.42
Over 9.548%1.72
Over 10.537%2.17
Under 8.542%2.58
Under 9.552%1.99
Under 10.563%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.7 = 4.2
Over 3.561%-
Over 4.542%-
Under 3.539%-
Under 4.558%-
Match Events
19'George LloydAssist: William Boyle
26'Kevin BerkoeFoul
50'Isaac FletcherDissent
56'Kian McMahon-BrownFoul
58'Cian DoyleFoul
60'Kian McMahon-BrownAssist: William Boyle
61'Charles Vernam INIwan Morgan out
61'Cian Doyle INFinn Cartwright out
74'Josh RuffelsFoul
75'Finn CartwrightAssist: Iwan Morgan
75'George LloydTime wasting
80'Isaac Fletcher INJosh Davison out
80'J. Turner-Cook INwill gray out
90'Jamie Walker INRyley Reynolds out
90'Andy Cook INSonny Finch out
90+4'Josh DavisonFoul
Lineups
GrimsbyShrewsbury
3-4-1-2Coach: G. CowanAvg ratingAvg rating
31C. Pym
5H. Rodgers
17C. McJannet
26E. Pruti
3J. Sweeney
7J. Walker
8C. Doyle
14J. Amaluzor
4K. Green
30C. Vernam
39A. Cook
1W. Michael Brook
6S. Stubbs
5W. Boyle
3J. Ruffels
2L. Hoole
10T. Sang
7J. Turner-Cooke
11K. Berkoe
18K. M. Brown
9G. Lloyd
8I. Andrew FletcherGrimsby Substitutes
1H. Cartwright
10S. Finch90'for Andy Cook
12J. Foulkes
2M. Kacurri
9Iwan Morgan61'for Charles Vernam
11Ryley Reynolds90'for Jamie Walker
28F. Cartwright61'for Cian Doyle75'
Shrewsbury Substitutes
21will gray80'replaced by J. Turner-Cook
24L. Sousa
27J. Gbode
4Isaac England
13J. Davison80'for Isaac Fletcher90+4'
23I. Lee
32Cameron Gregory
Match Stats
GrimsbyShrewsbury 64%Ball Possession36%
8Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards6
21Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box1
10Blocked Shots1
13Fouls25
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves3
390Total Passes221
266Passes Accurate109
25Free Kicks12
Team Comparison
GrimsbyShrewsbury1543Elo Rating 1457
1.54Attack 1.69
1.72Defense 1.29
27%Hit Rate 42%
17.5Shots per Game 13.5
5.7Shots on Target 5.0
6.7Corners per Game 5.2
3.0Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Grimsby- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Shrewsbury- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Grimsby2Wins · 67%Draws133%
Shrewsbury0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3
Previous meetings
29/12/2025GrimsbyShrewsbury10
09/12/2025ShrewsburyGrimsby11
12/08/2025GrimsbyShrewsbury31
Recent Form
Grimsby3W4D3L
26/09/2026
Newport CountyGrimsbyGrimsby
Crawley TownGrimsby
Bristol RoversGrimsby
Blackpool
Newport CountyGrimsby21
L22/09/2026
Notts CountyGrimsby
19/09/2026Notts CountyGrimsby21
LGrimsbyCrawley Town20
W12/09/2026GrimsbyBristol Rovers20
W05/09/2026
CheltenhamGrimsby
CheltenhamGrimsby22
D01/09/2026
Accrington STGrimsby
Accrington STGrimsby22
D29/08/2026Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
GrimsbyFleetwood Town22
D22/08/2026
WalsallGrimsby
WalsallGrimsby00
D15/08/2026Grimsby
Exeter City
08/08/2026GrimsbyExeter City10
WGrimsbyBlackpool13
LShrewsbury2W2D6L
26/09/2026Shrewsbury
Colchester
ShrewsburyColchester22
D22/09/2026
TranmereShrewsbury
TranmereShrewsbury10
L19/09/2026
CreweShrewsbury
12/09/2026CreweShrewsbury11
DShrewsbury
Northampton20
W05/09/2026Fleetwood TownShrewsbury20
L01/09/2026
RochdaleShrewsbury
RochdaleShrewsbury30
L29/08/2026Shrewsbury
Salford City
25/08/2026ShrewsburySalford City10
WFleetwood TownShrewsbury40
L22/08/2026Shrewsbury
Barnet
ShrewsburyBarnet13
L15/08/2026TranmereShrewsbury
TranmereShrewsbury20
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 23:14 | +9 | 28 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24:16 | +8 | 22 | DLWWW |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:22 | 0 | 21 | WWLLL |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 | LLWWW |
| 5 |  York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21:13 | +8 | 20 | WDDDW |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 18:11 | +7 | 19 | LWDDD |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:17 | +6 | 19 | WDLDW |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10:7 | +3 | 19 | WWDWW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | +6 | 18 | WDWDW |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 17 | WDLLL |
| 12 |  Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | LDLWD |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 | DWLDL |
| 14 |  Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 16 | DWDLL |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:20 | -4 | 16 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 15 | LDDWD |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 | LDLDW |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 | LLWDL |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | WLWDL |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 | DLWDL |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 | LDDLD |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 12 | DDLLL |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 12 | LDWWL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 13 | 23:14 | 28 |
| 2 | Barnet | 11 | 24:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 16:16 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 12 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 12 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 10:7 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 16:20 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | 13:16 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 16:20 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 16:16 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 15:22 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 15:17 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 14:18 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 11:16 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 17:23 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 6:12 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 12:21 | 6 |
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About the Grimsby vs Shrewsbury forecast
The forecasts for this League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Grimsby and Shrewsbury in the League Two table
Shrewsbury and Grimsby are close in the League Two table, 10th and 11th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Grimsby 19-16, Shrewsbury 16-20. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.