Grobiņa vs Ogre United Prediction

Grobiņa
3-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Ogre United
17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-9.5%
Grobiņa Rest
6 days
Ogre United Rest
6 days

Grobiņa vs Ogre United: the result in context

Grobiņa beat Ogre United 3-2 in the Virsliga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.80
X
24%3.60
2
25%3.90
Double Chance
1X
75%1.18
X2
49%1.87
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'J. Fokam INM. Ivulans out
18'D. DruzininsAssist: M. Corryn
45'D. DruzininsFoul
46'A. Doroshenko INT. Mickevics out
56'O. Rascevskis INK. Rupeiks out
61'DodoAssist: M. Corryn
64'M. Ivulans INM. Pacepko out
64'I. Pulis INA. Marchuk out
70'K. Cudars(Penalty)
71'H. YamadaAssist: M. Corryn
75'A. Molotkovs INV. Mashchenko out
81'H. Yamada ING. Kluskins out
86'M. KalninsAssist: R. Sibass
87'O. Olatunde-Matthew INA. Puzirevskis out
90'R. SibassFoul

Lineups

Grobiņa
4-4-2
Ogre United
4-4-2
Avg rating7.27
Avg rating6.65
Roberts Ozols6.721R. Ozols
Olgerts Rascevskis6.911O. Rascevskis
Aleksa Jovanović6.915A. Jovanović
Davids DruzininsC8.23D. Druzinins
Rolandas Baravykas7.327R. Baravykas
Maksims Sidorovs7.314M. Sidorovs
Oladotun Olatunde-Matthew6.98O. Olatunde-Matthew
Martin Jose6.687M. Jose
Hirotaka Yamada7.720H. Yamada
Milan Corryn8.26M. Corryn
Dodo9.677Dodo
Nikita Parfjonovs6.21N. Parfjonovs
Rendijs Sibass7.25R. Sibass
Krists GulbisC6.213K. Gulbis
Aleksejs Kudeļkins7.355A. Kudeļkins
Aleksandrs Molotkovs6.327A. Molotkovs
Ingars Pulis6.57I. Pulis
Arsentiy Doroshenko6.930A. Doroshenko
Kristers Cudars6.919K. Cudars
Markuss Kalnins7.010M. Kalnins
Leif Estevez Fernandez6.522L. Estevez Fernandez
Jacques Fokam-Sandeu9J. Fokam-Sandeu

Grobiņa Substitutes

2Krisjanis Rupeiks56'for O. Rascevskis5.6
1Vjačeslavs Kudrjavcevs
5Gustavs Leitans
13Ali Aruna
80Anton Baydal
32Gļebs Kļuškins81'for H. Yamada6.6
99Artjoms Puzirevskis87'for O. Olatunde-Matthew

Ogre United Substitutes

21Markuss Ivulans4'for J. Fokam64'for M. Pacepko6.2
8Tomass Mickevics46'for A. Doroshenko6.6
71Artem Marchuk64'for I. Pulis7.0
11Marks Pacepko64'replaced by M. Ivulans6.5
17Vadim Mashchenko75'for A. Molotkovs6.5
20Janis Kristers Biscuhis
2Rudolfs Ziemelis
6Dāvis Vējkrīgers
91Janis Grinbergs

Match Stats

GrobiņaOgre United
41%Ball Possession59%
9Corner Kicks10
1Yellow Cards1
21Total Shots16
6Shots on Goal7
8Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box12
7Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots3
16Fouls14
1Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves2
256Total Passes383
166Passes Accurate295
65%Pass Accuracy77%

Team Comparison

GrobiņaGrobiņa
Ogre UnitedOgre United
1379Elo Rating 1342
1.23Attack 1.24
1.67Defense 1.29
27%Hit Rate 19%
21.0Shots per Game 16.0
6.0Shots on Target 7.0
9.0Corners per Game 10.0
1.0Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

GrobiņaGrobiņa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ogre UnitedOgre United
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

GrobiņaGrobiņa0Wins · 0%
Draws3100%
Ogre UnitedOgre United0Wins · 0%
2.7Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored3 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Virsliga27/07/2026
GrobiņaOgre United
22
Virsliga25/05/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11
Virsliga13/04/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11

Recent Form

GrobiņaGrobiņa
1W3D6L
10/10/2026
Super NovaGrobiņa
21
L
20/09/2026
TukumsGrobiņa
11
D
12/09/2026
GrobiņaFS Jelgava
00
D
06/09/2026
AudaGrobiņa
10
L
29/08/2026
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
10
W
21/08/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
31
L
17/08/2026
AudaGrobiņa
3222
L
10/08/2026
Rīgas FSGrobiņa
61
L
02/08/2026
RigaGrobiņa
40
L
27/07/2026
GrobiņaOgre United
22
D
Ogre UnitedOgre United
1W2D7L
11/10/2026
Ogre UnitedBFC Daugavpils
12
L
20/09/2026
Ogre UnitedSuper Nova
10
W
16/09/2026
AudaOgre United
10
L
11/09/2026
Ogre UnitedFK Liepaja
22
D
05/09/2026
TukumsOgre United
21
L
30/08/2026
Ogre UnitedRīgas FS
03
L
22/08/2026
Ogre UnitedFS Jelgava
23
L
14/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
L
09/08/2026
RigaOgre United
41
L
27/07/2026
GrobiņaOgre United
22
D

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the Grobiņa vs Ogre United forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Grobiņa and Ogre United in the Virsliga table

Grobiņa and Ogre United are close in the Virsliga table, 8th and 10th, with 11 points between them. League goal record so far: Grobiņa 27-61, Ogre United 34-85. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.