FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava Prediction

FK Liepaja
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
FS Jelgava
Daugava Stadium, Liepaja 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
FK Liepaja Rest
5 days
FS Jelgava Rest
7 days

FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava: the result in context

FK Liepaja beat FS Jelgava 3-0 in the Virsliga on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

FK Liepaja have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.67
X
24%3.75
2
22%4.20
Double Chance
1X
78%1.20
X2
46%1.97
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'A. KorobenkoAssist: D. Patijcuks
59'A. OgunniyiAssist: K. Iljins
63'E. Smaukstelis INM. Pudil out
66'E. Oloko
67'L. Strumia
70'A. Korobenko INV. Isajevs out
70'D. Patijcuks INB. Melnis out
76'A. Dreimanis INT. Rataj out
78'R. Becers
79'E. Rodolphe INI. Mushindi out
79'K. Leidsman INCrysthyan out
82'G. Patika INA. Deklavs out
82'R. Becers ING. Kacanovs out
84'A. Ogunniyi INL. Lakutis out

Team Comparison

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
1499Elo Rating 1390
1.36Attack 0.46
2.13Defense 0.94
23%Hit Rate 0%
18.0Shots per Game -
5.0Shots on Target -
9.0Corners per Game -
1.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+109 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja6Wins · 60%
Draws440%
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga26/07/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
02
Virsliga26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
Virsliga12/04/2026
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
11
Virsliga25/10/2025
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
22
Virsliga02/08/2025
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
12
Virsliga30/05/2025
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
01
Virsliga14/04/2025
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
10
Virsliga03/11/2024
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
22
Virsliga10/08/2024
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
30
Cup14/07/2024
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
24

Recent Form

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
3W3D4L
12/10/2026
FK LiepajaAuda
23
L
19/09/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
00
D
11/09/2026
Ogre UnitedFK Liepaja
22
D
07/09/2026
Rīgas FSFK Liepaja
00
D
31/08/2026
FK LiepajaRiga
32
W
25/08/2026
AudaFK Liepaja
10
L
21/08/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
31
W
09/08/2026
Super NovaFK Liepaja
12
W
02/08/2026
TukumsFK Liepaja
21
L
30/07/2026
Austria ViennaFK Liepaja
31
L
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
2W1D7L
11/10/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
42
L
19/09/2026
FS JelgavaRiga
01
L
12/09/2026
GrobiņaFS Jelgava
00
D
05/09/2026
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
01
L
29/08/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
14
W
22/08/2026
Ogre UnitedFS Jelgava
23
W
09/08/2026
FS JelgavaAuda
01
L
01/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsFS Jelgava
21
L
26/07/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
02
L
20/07/2026
FS JelgavaRīgas FS
01
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the FK Liepaja vs FS Jelgava forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FK Liepaja and FS Jelgava in the Virsliga table

FK Liepaja and FS Jelgava are close in the Virsliga table, 5th and 7th, with 15 points between them. League goal record so far: FK Liepaja 46-46, FS Jelgava 34-57. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.