Super Nova vs Grobiņa Prediction

Super Nova
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Grobiņa
Jana Skredela stadions, Riga 10/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
Super Nova Rest
20 days
Grobiņa Rest
20 days

Super Nova vs Grobiņa: the result in context

Super Nova beat Grobiņa 2-1 in the Virsliga on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 8 previous meetings produced 1.5 goals a game. Grobiņa tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 1.0 for Super Nova.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.38
X
28%3.09
2
31%2.86
Double Chance
1X
69%1.36
X2
58%1.50
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'I. TyshchenkoFoul
6'M. OssAssist: R. Sitjakovs
10'I. TyshchenkoFoul
10'I. TyshchenkoFoul
19'K. RomanovsFoul
20'H. Yamada INJ. Ribeiro out
29'M. Corryn(Penalty)
33'M. OssUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'A. Kholod INDodo out
46'A. Baydal INO. Olatunde-Matthew out
65'Bamba INA. Glaudans out
65'R. Kirss INN. Pathe out
74'I. Patrikejevs INM. Tihonovics out
79'M. Corryn INM. Sidorovs out
85'R. SitjakovsAssist: N. Pathe
87'J. Ribeiro INA. Puzirevskis out
89'V. LizunovsDelay of game
90+1'E. Emsis INK. Skadmanis out
90+1'V. Lizunovs INI. Ndiaye out

Team Comparison

Super NovaSuper Nova
GrobiņaGrobiņa
1421Elo Rating 1379
0.66Attack 1.23
1.04Defense 1.67
19%Hit Rate 27%
10.0Shots per Game 21.0
4.0Shots on Target 6.0
1.0Corners per Game 9.0
6.0Cards per Game 1.0

Game State Tendencies

Super NovaSuper Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
GrobiņaGrobiņa
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Super NovaSuper Nova4Wins · 50%
Draws450%
GrobiņaGrobiņa0Wins · 0%
1.5Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
13%3+ goals1 of 8

Previous meetings

Virsliga20/07/2026
Super NovaGrobiņa
20
Virsliga20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
Virsliga09/04/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
01
Virsliga18/10/2025
GrobiņaSuper Nova
00
Virsliga26/07/2025
Super NovaGrobiņa
00
Virsliga26/05/2025
GrobiņaSuper Nova
11
Virsliga10/04/2025
Super NovaGrobiņa
11
1. Liga29/08/2021
Super NovaGrobiņa
21

Recent Form

Super NovaSuper Nova
4W2D4L
20/09/2026
Ogre UnitedSuper Nova
10
L
15/09/2026
Super NovaRiga
01
L
10/09/2026
Super NovaTukums
10
W
05/09/2026
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
01
W
29/08/2026
AudaSuper Nova
11
D
22/08/2026
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
00
D
16/08/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
01
L
09/08/2026
Super NovaFK Liepaja
12
L
20/07/2026
Super NovaGrobiņa
20
W
11/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
W
GrobiņaGrobiņa
1W3D6L
20/09/2026
TukumsGrobiņa
11
D
12/09/2026
GrobiņaFS Jelgava
00
D
06/09/2026
AudaGrobiņa
10
L
29/08/2026
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
10
W
21/08/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
31
L
17/08/2026
AudaGrobiņa
3222
L
10/08/2026
Rīgas FSGrobiņa
61
L
02/08/2026
RigaGrobiņa
40
L
27/07/2026
GrobiņaOgre United
22
D
20/07/2026
Super NovaGrobiņa
20
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the Super Nova vs Grobiņa forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Super Nova and Grobiņa in the Virsliga table

Super Nova and Grobiņa are close in the Virsliga table, 6th and 8th, with 9 points between them. League goal record so far: Super Nova 32-50, Grobiņa 27-61. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.