Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction

Ogre United
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
BFC Daugavpils
11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.22
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Ogre United Rest
21 days
BFC Daugavpils Rest
22 days

Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils: result, form and history

BFC Daugavpils beat Ogre United 2-1 in the Virsliga on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

BFC Daugavpils have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game. Ogre United tend to win more corners, 10.0 a game to 3.0 for BFC Daugavpils.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
23%3.80
X
24%3.80
2
53%1.73
Double Chance
1X
47%1.95
X2
77%1.22
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'E. IvanovsFoul
23'A. TraoreAssist: D. Kivinda
31'J. Fokam
55'A. DoroshenkoFoul
58'A. Traore
63'J. Fokam INM. Pacepko out
63'A. Doroshenko INT. Marusiy out
66'W. Mukwelle INZ. Ouled-Haj-M'hand out
68'R. SkrebelsFoul
74'I. Pulis INA. Marchuk out
85'A. Kudelkins INR. Ziemelis out
85'D. Kivinda IND. Ayebadiepreye out
85'A. MolotkovsFoul
85'L. Estevez Fernandez INM. Ivulans out

Team Comparison

Ogre UnitedOgre United
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
1342Elo Rating 1510
1.24Attack 1.30
1.29Defense 2.03
19%Hit Rate 50%
16.0Shots per Game 7.0
7.0Shots on Target 5.0
10.0Corners per Game 3.0
1.0Cards per Game 0.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Ogre UnitedOgre United
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Ogre UnitedOgre United0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils4Wins · 100%
3.8Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
100%3+ goals4 of 4

Previous meetings

Cup14/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
Virsliga19/07/2026
Ogre UnitedBFC Daugavpils
04
Virsliga21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
Virsliga07/04/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
21

Recent Form

Ogre UnitedOgre United
1W2D7L
20/09/2026
Ogre UnitedSuper Nova
10
W
16/09/2026
AudaOgre United
10
L
11/09/2026
Ogre UnitedFK Liepaja
22
D
05/09/2026
TukumsOgre United
21
L
30/08/2026
Ogre UnitedRīgas FS
03
L
22/08/2026
Ogre UnitedFS Jelgava
23
L
14/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
L
09/08/2026
RigaOgre United
41
L
27/07/2026
GrobiņaOgre United
22
D
19/07/2026
Ogre UnitedBFC Daugavpils
04
L
BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils
3W3D4L
19/09/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
00
D
13/09/2026
BFC DaugavpilsRīgas FS
12
L
07/09/2026
RigaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
02/09/2026
BFC DaugavpilsAuda
2233
L
29/08/2026
GrobiņaBFC Daugavpils
10
L
22/08/2026
Super NovaBFC Daugavpils
00
D
14/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
W
08/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
20
W
01/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsFS Jelgava
21
W
26/07/2026
AudaBFC Daugavpils
10
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the Ogre United vs BFC Daugavpils forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ogre United and BFC Daugavpils in the Virsliga table

The table shows a wide gap: BFC Daugavpils are 4th in the Virsliga, while Ogre United sit 10th, 30 points behind. League goal record so far: Ogre United 34-85, BFC Daugavpils 40-37. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.