FK Liepaja vs Tukums Prediction

FK Liepaja
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Tukums
Daugava Stadium, Liepaja 24/10/2026
FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
0-0
Finished
TukumsTukums

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel72%SurpriseMediumGap-0.9%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
FK Liepaja Rest
5 days
Tukums Rest
4 days

FK Liepaja vs Tukums: the result in context

FK Liepaja and Tukums drew 0-0 in the Virsliga on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7. FK Liepaja tend to win more corners, 9.0 a game to 1.6 for Tukums.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
68%1.44
X
19%4.50
2
13%5.80
Double Chance
1X
87%1.11
X2
32%2.60
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45'Rodolphe Ekou
49'marcis davis valmiers
55'Rodolphe Ekou INBart Straalman out
60'marcis davis valmiers INRudolfs Melkis out
72'Jun Toba
75'abiodun ogunniyi INAmar haidara out
75'Kyvon·Leidsman INLucas Crysthyan out
80'Kristaps klavins
85'Koyo Shigema INShun Shibata out
85'Daniels radzenieks INJoksts H. out
85'danila patijcuks INBruno Melnis out

Lineups

FK Liepaja
4-2-3-1Coach: J. Goba
Tukums
5-3-2Coach: K. Dišlers
Avg rating6.67
Avg rating6.61
D. Ošs7.124D. Ošs
A. Korobenko28A. Korobenko
João Pedro7.534J. Pedro
M. Martins7.04M. Martins
K. Iļjins7.23K. Iļjins
L. Strumia6.35L. Strumia
E. Rodolphe6.16E. Rodolphe
A. Ogunniyi6.87A. Ogunniyi
K. Leidsman6.344K. Leidsman
D. Patijčuks6.370D. Patijčuks
J. Ede18J. Ede
S. Vilkovs7.91S. Vilkovs
D. Valmiers21D. Valmiers
K. Volkovs6.36K. Volkovs
J. Toba6.45J. Toba
R. Reingolcs6.78R. Reingolcs
Kristaps Klavins6.316K. Klavins
K. Shigema6.929K. Shigema
K. Anmanis6.64K. Anmanis
B. Samoilovs6.210B. Samoilovs
D. Radzenieks6.519D. Radzenieks
R. Deružinskis27R. Deružinskis

FK Liepaja Substitutes

35V. Sorokins
2B. Straalman55'for Rodolphe Ekou6.4
9Crysthyan Lucas75'for Kyvon·Leidsman
23A. Haïdara75'for abiodun ogunniyi6.6
26V. Isajevs
77Afonso Leite
17B. Melnis85'for danila patijcuks6.5
22Irad Mushindi
12D. Petković

Tukums Substitutes

35I. Ivanausks
25H. Joksts85'for Daniels radzenieks
12A. Kuprins
28R. Meļķis60'for marcis davis valmiers6.6
7S. Shibata85'for Koyo Shigema6.5
22E. Sprukts
88M. Štāls
30M. Šusts
18D. Calbergs

Match Stats

FK LiepajaTukums
58%Ball Possession42%
9Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
24Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal4
20Shots Inside Box3
4Shots Outside Box7
7Blocked Shots3
16Fouls18
3Goalkeeper Saves6
518Total Passes260
423Passes Accurate176
17Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
TukumsTukums
1499Elo Rating 1324
1.36Attack 0.17
2.13Defense 1.85
23%Hit Rate 0%
18.0Shots per Game 6.2
5.0Shots on Target 2.1
9.0Corners per Game 1.6
1.0Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+175 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TukumsTukums
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja4Wins · 40%
Draws440%
TukumsTukums2Wins · 20%
3.0Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga02/08/2026
TukumsFK Liepaja
21
Virsliga30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
Virsliga17/04/2026
TukumsFK Liepaja
22
Virsliga14/09/2025
FK LiepajaTukums
41
Virsliga25/06/2025
TukumsFK Liepaja
13
Virsliga06/05/2025
TukumsFK Liepaja
22
Virsliga12/03/2025
FK LiepajaTukums
00
Virsliga01/09/2024
FK LiepajaTukums
31
Virsliga20/06/2024
TukumsFK Liepaja
21
Virsliga02/05/2024
TukumsFK Liepaja
00

Recent Form

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja
4W3D3L
18/10/2026
FK LiepajaFS Jelgava
30
W
12/10/2026
FK LiepajaAuda
23
L
19/09/2026
FK LiepajaBFC Daugavpils
00
D
11/09/2026
Ogre UnitedFK Liepaja
22
D
07/09/2026
Rīgas FSFK Liepaja
00
D
31/08/2026
FK LiepajaRiga
32
W
25/08/2026
AudaFK Liepaja
10
L
21/08/2026
FK LiepajaGrobiņa
31
W
09/08/2026
Super NovaFK Liepaja
12
W
02/08/2026
TukumsFK Liepaja
21
L
TukumsTukums
2W1D7L
19/10/2026
Rīgas FSTukums
20
L
10/10/2026
TukumsRiga
02
L
20/09/2026
TukumsGrobiņa
11
D
10/09/2026
Super NovaTukums
10
L
05/09/2026
TukumsOgre United
21
W
29/08/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
14
L
21/08/2026
AudaTukums
30
L
08/08/2026
BFC DaugavpilsTukums
20
L
02/08/2026
TukumsFK Liepaja
21
W
27/07/2026
TukumsRīgas FS
01
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS34275284:24+6086WWWWD
2RigaRiga34257295:33+6282WWWWW
3AudaAuda34207757:35+2267WLWDW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils341391240:37+348WWWDL
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja341381346:46047DWLDD
6Super NovaSuper Nova341151832:50-1838LLLWL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava34881834:57-2332LLLLD
8GrobiņaGrobiņa346111727:61-3429LWLDD
9TukumsTukums345101944:65-2125DLLDL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United34462434:85-5118LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3484:2486
2RigaRiga3495:3382
3AudaAuda3457:3567
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3440:3748
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3446:4647
6Super NovaSuper Nova3432:5038
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3434:5732
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3427:6129
9TukumsTukums3444:6525
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3434:8518

About the FK Liepaja vs Tukums forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FK Liepaja and Tukums in the Virsliga table

In the Virsliga table, FK Liepaja are 5th and Tukums 9th, 22 points apart. League goal record so far: FK Liepaja 46-46, Tukums 44-65. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.