Hibernian vs Falkirk Prediction

Hibernian
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Falkirk
Easter Road, Edinburgh 17/10/2026
HibernianHibernian
1-2
Finished
FalkirkFalkirk

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalHIGHModel58%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+5.2%
Hibernian Rest
7 days
Falkirk Rest
7 days

Hibernian vs Falkirk: result, form and history

Falkirk beat Hibernian 2-1 in the Premiership on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 5 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.67
X
24%3.95
2
19%4.75
Double Chance
1X
81%1.17
X2
44%2.12
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.70
No
45%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.06 = 2.74
Over 1.5
78%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.71
Over 3.5
33%2.75
Under 1.5
22%4.10
Under 2.5
45%2.10
Under 3.5
67%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.1 + 4.3 = 10.4
Over 8.5
69%1.30
Over 9.5
58%1.51
Over 10.5
46%1.85
Under 8.5
31%3.20
Under 9.5
42%2.38
Under 10.5
54%1.85
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.62
Over 4.5
42%2.06
Under 3.5
38%2.20
Under 4.5
58%1.71

Match Events

6'Owen EldingFoul
13'Jacob MurrellAssist: Ryan Strain
25'Ben krauhausFoul
37'Jacob MurrellAssist: Ethan Ross
41'Owen EldingAssist: Felix Passlack
45'Scott Tanser INLeon McCann out
54'Penalty cancelledThibault Klidjé
60'Thibault Klidjé INRabbi Matondo out
61'Azeem Abdulai INJamie McGrath out
61'Ryan StrainFoul
65'Ben krauhaus INDeniss Meļņiks out
76'A. Major INAnte Suto out
76'Miguel Changa Chaiwa INNicky Cadden out
77'Ethan Ross INCalvin Fodrey out
79'Finley Frank BarbrookFoul
84'Finley Frank Barbrook INFinn Yeats out
84'Owen Eames INJack McMillan out

Lineups

Hibernian
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Reedijk
Falkirk
4-2-3-1Coach: J. McGlynn
Avg rating6.34
Avg rating6.50
R. Sallinger6.51R. Sallinger
F. Passlack7.025F. Passlack
J. Kerr6.16J. Kerr
M. Ivezić6.45M. Ivezić
A. Mayor6.33A. Mayor
J. Mulligan6.08J. Mulligan
M. Chaiwa5.914M. Chaiwa
M. Boyle5.910M. Boyle
A. Abdulai6.147A. Abdulai
T. Klidje6.718T. Klidje
O. Elding7.47O. Elding
S. Bain6.619S. Bain
R. Strain6.622R. Strain
L. Neilson6.015L. Neilson
L. Henderson6.15L. Henderson
S. Tanser6.517S. Tanser
B. Spencer6.88B. Spencer
Finley Frank Barbrook5.916F. Frank Barbrook
E. Ross7.123E. Ross
B. Krauhaus6.228B. Krauhaus
Owen Eames6.242O. Eames
J. Murrell8.924J. Murrell

Hibernian Substitutes

4G. Hanley
19N. Cadden76'for Miguel Changa Chaiwa6.0
15J. Iredale
39R. Matondo60'for Thibault Klidjé6.2
17J. McGrath61'for Azeem Abdulai6.2
11J. Newell
35F. Owens
12Alex Williams
22A. Šuto76'for A. Major6.4

Falkirk Substitutes

99C. Fodrey77'for Ethan Ross6.4
1N. Hogarth
9R. MacIver
3L. McCann45'for Scott Tanser5.8
4J. McMillan84'for Owen Eames6.3
21D. Meļņiks65'for Ben krauhaus6.3
7Ben Parkinson
14F. Yeats84'for Finley Frank Barbrook6.4
27C. McLeod

Match Stats

HibernianFalkirk
70%Ball Possession30%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
17Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box3
6Blocked Shots2
5Fouls20
0Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
587Total Passes249
471Passes Accurate163
20Free Kicks5

Team Comparison

HibernianHibernian
FalkirkFalkirk
1555Elo Rating 1555
0.89Attack 1.91
1.87Defense 2.07
14%Hit Rate 64%
16.0Shots per Game 14.4
4.1Shots on Target 5.5
6.7Corners per Game 5.4
1.8Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HibernianHibernian
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FalkirkFalkirk
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

HibernianHibernian2Wins · 40%
Draws120%
FalkirkFalkirk2Wins · 40%
3.4Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
80%3+ goals4 of 5

Previous meetings

Premiership09/05/2026
FalkirkHibernian
13
Premiership24/01/2026
FalkirkHibernian
41
Premiership06/12/2025
HibernianFalkirk
30
Premiership23/09/2025
FalkirkHibernian
22
League Cup12/07/2022
FalkirkHibernian
10

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic980123:5+1824WWLWW
2RangersRangers1072117:7+1023WDWWW
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian951320:15+516LWDLW
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd1043314:14015WDWWD
5DundeeDundee1042414:12+214LDWWL
6ST MirrenST Mirren1041511:18-713WLLLL
7FalkirkFalkirk1033412:12012WWLDW
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1033411:15-412LDWDL
9AberdeenAberdeen1032512:13-111LWLDW
10MotherwellMotherwell922511:16-58LLLLL
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1022610:23-138LWLDW
12HibernianHibernian92169:14-57LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic923:524
2RangersRangers1017:723
3Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian920:1516
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd1014:1415
5DundeeDundee1014:1214
6ST MirrenST Mirren1011:1813
7FalkirkFalkirk1012:1212
8ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1011:1512
9AberdeenAberdeen1012:1311
10MotherwellMotherwell911:168
11KilmarnockKilmarnock1010:238
12HibernianHibernian99:147
PromotionRelegation

About the Hibernian vs Falkirk forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hibernian and Falkirk in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Falkirk are 7th and Hibernian 12th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Hibernian 9-14, Falkirk 12-12. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Falkirk have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.