ST Johnstone vs Falkirk Prediction

ST Johnstone
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Falkirk
McDiarmid Park, Perth 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.52
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
ST Johnstone Rest
9 days
Falkirk Rest
3 days

ST Johnstone vs Falkirk: result, form and history

ST Johnstone and Falkirk drew 1-1 in the Premiership on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.05
X
25%3.40
2
25%3.50
Double Chance
1X
75%1.28
X2
50%1.73
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.77
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.13 = 2.66
Over 1.5
78%1.29
Over 2.5
52%1.95
Over 3.5
29%3.37
Under 1.5
22%3.40
Under 2.5
48%1.82
Under 3.5
71%1.32
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.4 = 9.9
Over 8.5
63%1.56
Over 9.5
52%1.98
Over 10.5
42%2.54
Under 8.5
37%2.20
Under 9.5
48%1.75
Under 10.5
58%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.67
Over 4.5
35%2.42
Under 3.5
45%2.10
Under 4.5
65%1.52

Match Events

45'Cheick DiabateFoul
53'Cheick Diabate
55'Josh Campbell INDaniel Finlayson out
60'Ethan RossAssist: Owen Eames
65'Jason Holt INSam Stanton out
65'Reece McAlear INRuari Paton out
67'Finley Frank Barbrook INCraig Sibbald out
67'Jacob Murrell INRoss Maclver out
75'Owen Eames INAodhan Doherty out
75'Ethan Ross INCalvin Fodrey out
77'Zach Mitchell INDanny schmidt out
89'Ben krauhaus INJack McMillan out
90'Ruari PatonArgument
90+2'Enes AlicFoul
90+6'Enes Alic

Lineups

ST Johnstone
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Valakari
Falkirk
4-2-3-1Coach: J. McGlynn
Avg rating6.31
Avg rating7.12
T. Steward6.21T. Steward
L. Smith6.533L. Smith
Z. Mitchell6.45Z. Mitchell
C. Diabate5.83C. Diabate
E. Alıç6.12E. Alıç
R. McAlear6.042R. McAlear
J. Holt6.68J. Holt
J. Campbell6.332J. Campbell
J. Cotterill6.330J. Cotterill
T. Steven5.97T. Steven
J. Fowler6.89J. Fowler
S. Bain7.619S. Bain
R. Strain7.922R. Strain
D. Meļņiks7.621D. Meļņiks
L. Henderson7.35L. Henderson
L. McCann7.43L. McCann
Finley Frank Barbrook6.716F. Frank Barbrook
B. Spencer6.48B. Spencer
E. Ross8.223E. Ross
B. Krauhaus7.228B. Krauhaus
Owen Eames7.542O. Eames
J. Murrell6.124J. Murrell

ST Johnstone Substitutes

19D. Finlayson55'for Josh Campbell6.7
18K. Fotheringham
14M. Foulds
99R. Paton65'for Reece McAlear90'6.4
22D. Schmidt77'for Zach Mitchell6.2
20R. Sinclair
11S. Stanton65'for Jason Holt6.5
25M. Tait
26M. Todd

Falkirk Substitutes

99C. Fodrey75'for Ethan Ross6.9
1N. Hogarth
9R. MacIver67'for Jacob Murrell6.7
4J. McMillan89'for Ben krauhaus7.0
15L. Neilson
7Ben Parkinson
10C. Sibbald67'for Finley Frank Barbrook6.8
17S. Tanser
47A. Doherty75'for Owen Eames6.6

Match Stats

ST JohnstoneFalkirk
44%Ball Possession56%
3Corner Kicks8
2Yellow Cards0
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal4
2Shots off Goal2
4Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots8
13Fouls18
3Goalkeeper Saves4
379Total Passes476
282Passes Accurate380
18Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
FalkirkFalkirk
1574Elo Rating 1605
1.30Attack 1.82
1.06Defense 2.55
14%Hit Rate 86%
9.3Shots per Game 12.0
2.9Shots on Target 4.5
2.3Corners per Game 3.6
2.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
FalkirkFalkirk
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)

Recent Form

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
4W1D5L
09/09/2026
ST JohnstoneCeltic
01
L
06/09/2026
ST JohnstoneHibernian
21
W
02/09/2026
DundeeST Johnstone
11
D
29/08/2026
Heart Of MidlothianST Johnstone
21
L
08/08/2026
ST MirrenST Johnstone
10
L
02/08/2026
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
43
W
25/07/2026
ST JohnstoneEast Fife
4151
L
21/07/2026
Inverness CTST Johnstone
10
L
18/07/2026
ST JohnstoneMorton
30
W
14/07/2026
Linlithgow RoseST Johnstone
02
W
FalkirkFalkirk
3W2D5L
15/09/2026
FalkirkHeart Of Midlothian
21
W
05/09/2026
Dundee UtdFalkirk
11
D
02/09/2026
FalkirkRangers
12
L
29/08/2026
CelticFalkirk
21
L
09/08/2026
MotherwellFalkirk
00
D
01/08/2026
FalkirkST Mirren
02
L
25/07/2026
FalkirkStranraer
30
W
21/07/2026
Alloa AthleticFalkirk
4121
L
18/07/2026
FalkirkGenk
10
W
14/07/2026
FalkirkAyr Utd
01
L

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic13101228:10+1831WLDWW
2RangersRangers1283121:9+1227WDWDW
3FalkirkFalkirk1363420:14+621WWWWW
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1262426:22+420LDWLW
5DundeeDundee1252518:15+317LWLDW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1245317:17017DDWDW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1345417:20-317WDDLD
8ST MirrenST Mirren1342712:22-1014LLDWL
9MotherwellMotherwell1334615:21-613DWDLL
10HibernianHibernian1232715:17-211WDLLL
11AberdeenAberdeen1232712:18-611LLLWL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1323813:29-169LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1328:1031
2RangersRangers1221:927
3FalkirkFalkirk1320:1421
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1226:2220
5DundeeDundee1218:1517
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1217:1717
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1317:2017
8ST MirrenST Mirren1312:2214
9MotherwellMotherwell1315:2113
10HibernianHibernian1215:1711
11AberdeenAberdeen1212:1811
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1313:299
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About the ST Johnstone vs Falkirk forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

ST Johnstone and Falkirk in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, Falkirk are 3rd and ST Johnstone 7th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: ST Johnstone 17-20, Falkirk 20-14. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Falkirk have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. ST Johnstone and Falkirk have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.