ST Johnstone vs Hibernian Prediction

ST Johnstone
2-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Hibernian
McDiarmid Park, Perth 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.87
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseHighGap+8.4%
ST Johnstone Rest
3 days
Hibernian Rest
2 days

ST Johnstone vs Hibernian: the result in context

ST Johnstone beat Hibernian 2-1 in the Premiership on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.90
X
26%3.30
2
35%2.43
Double Chance
1X
65%1.53
X2
61%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.66
No
41%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 1.45 = 2.92
Over 1.5
82%1.26
Over 2.5
59%1.87
Over 3.5
34%3.15
Under 1.5
18%3.63
Under 2.5
41%1.91
Under 3.5
66%1.35
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.8 = 10.1
Over 8.5
65%1.45
Over 9.5
54%1.82
Over 10.5
43%2.29
Under 8.5
35%2.46
Under 9.5
46%1.90
Under 10.5
57%1.52
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2 = 3.7
Over 3.5
52%1.62
Over 4.5
32%2.05
Under 3.5
48%2.20
Under 4.5
68%1.70

Match Events

17'Josh Fowler
22'Jamie Gullan INKai Fotheringham out
29'Nathan LoweAssist: Miguel Changa Chaiwa
36'Taylor StevenFoul
41'Josh Fowler(Penalty)
45'Martin Boyle INAnte Suto out
57'Taylor Steven INJoel Cotterill out
61'Grant Hanley INKanayo Megwa out
61'Nathan Lowe INThibault Klidjé out
61'Jacob Devaney INCallum·Wright out
72'Josh Fowler INDanny schmidt out
72'Sam Stanton INMacaulay Tait out
72'Kai Fotheringham INMatty Todd out
75'Josh Mulligan INNicky Cadden out

Lineups

ST Johnstone
4-3-3Coach: S. Valakari
Hibernian
4-1-4-1Coach: David Gray
Avg rating6.61
Avg rating6.41
T. Steward6.21T. Steward
L. Smith6.133L. Smith
Z. Mitchell7.05Z. Mitchell
C. Diabate6.83C. Diabate
E. Alıç6.72E. Alıç
S. Stanton6.511S. Stanton
R. McAlear6.442R. McAlear
J. Holt7.08J. Holt
T. Steven6.97T. Steven
J. Fowler7.79J. Fowler
J. Gullan6.510J. Gullan
R. Sallinger6.01R. Sallinger
F. Passlack6.225F. Passlack
J. Kerr6.46J. Kerr
G. Hanley6.64G. Hanley
A. Mayor6.83A. Mayor
J. Devaney6.424J. Devaney
M. Boyle6.010M. Boyle
J. Mulligan6.28J. Mulligan
M. Chaiwa6.514M. Chaiwa
J. McGrath6.717J. McGrath
N. Lowe7.59N. Lowe

ST Johnstone Substitutes

4M. Boyes
30Joel Cotterill57'replaced by Taylor Steven
18K. Fotheringham22'for Jamie Gullan72'for Matty Todd6.3
14M. Foulds
99R. Paton
22D. Schmidt72'for Josh Fowler6.8
20R. Sinclair
25M. Tait72'for Sam Stanton6.3
26M. Todd72'replaced by Kai Fotheringham6.0

Hibernian Substitutes

11J. Newell
13J. Smith
22A. Šuto45'for Martin Boyle5.9
12Alex Williams
23C. Wright61'for Jacob Devaney6.1
27K. Megwa61'for Grant Hanley6.6
18T. Klidje61'for Nathan Lowe6.5
19N. Cadden75'for Josh Mulligan6.4
49A. Abdulai

Match Stats

ST JohnstoneHibernian
46%Ball Possession54%
2Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards0
9Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box10
3Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots6
10Fouls13
1Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves2
447Total Passes505
363Passes Accurate416
81%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
HibernianHibernian
1574Elo Rating 1563
1.30Attack 1.13
1.06Defense 1.64
14%Hit Rate 27%
9.3Shots per Game 12.7
2.9Shots on Target 2.3
2.3Corners per Game 4.0
2.0Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
HibernianHibernian
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
HibernianHibernian5Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premiership29/03/2025
HibernianST Johnstone
30
Premiership02/01/2025
ST JohnstoneHibernian
11
Premiership14/09/2024
HibernianST Johnstone
20
Premiership27/04/2024
ST JohnstoneHibernian
13
Premiership06/04/2024
HibernianST Johnstone
12
Premiership16/12/2023
ST JohnstoneHibernian
10
Premiership23/09/2023
HibernianST Johnstone
20
Premiership22/04/2023
ST JohnstoneHibernian
11
Premiership21/10/2022
HibernianST Johnstone
12
Premiership30/07/2022
ST JohnstoneHibernian
01

Recent Form

ST JohnstoneST Johnstone
5W1D4L
02/09/2026
DundeeST Johnstone
11
D
29/08/2026
Heart Of MidlothianST Johnstone
21
L
08/08/2026
ST MirrenST Johnstone
10
L
02/08/2026
ST JohnstoneKilmarnock
43
W
25/07/2026
ST JohnstoneEast Fife
4151
L
21/07/2026
Inverness CTST Johnstone
10
L
18/07/2026
ST JohnstoneMorton
30
W
14/07/2026
Linlithgow RoseST Johnstone
02
W
11/07/2026
Cove RangersST Johnstone
24
W
04/07/2026
MontroseST Johnstone
03
W

League Table

Premiership 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CelticCeltic13101228:10+1831WLDWW
2RangersRangers1283121:9+1227WDWDW
3FalkirkFalkirk1363420:14+621WWWWW
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1262426:22+420LDWLW
5DundeeDundee1252518:15+317LWLDW
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1245317:17017DDWDW
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1345417:20-317WDDLD
8ST MirrenST Mirren1342712:22-1014LLDWL
9MotherwellMotherwell1334615:21-613DWDLL
10HibernianHibernian1232715:17-211WDLLL
11AberdeenAberdeen1232712:18-611LLLWL
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1323813:29-169LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1CelticCeltic1328:1031
2RangersRangers1221:927
3FalkirkFalkirk1320:1421
4Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian1226:2220
5DundeeDundee1218:1517
6Dundee UtdDundee Utd1217:1717
7ST JohnstoneST Johnstone1317:2017
8ST MirrenST Mirren1312:2214
9MotherwellMotherwell1315:2113
10HibernianHibernian1215:1711
11AberdeenAberdeen1212:1811
12KilmarnockKilmarnock1313:299
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About the ST Johnstone vs Hibernian forecast

The forecasts for this Premiership match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

ST Johnstone and Hibernian in the Premiership table

In the Premiership table, ST Johnstone are 7th and Hibernian 10th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: ST Johnstone 17-20, Hibernian 15-17. The full standings are on the Premiership Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.