Hungary vs Georgia Prediction

Hungary
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Georgia
Puskás Aréna, Budapest·Srdjan Jovanovic 02/10/2026
HungaryHungary
1-0
Finished
GeorgiaGeorgia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalHIGHModel54%SurpriseHighGap+0.6%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Hungary Rest
4 days
Georgia Rest
4 days

Hungary vs Georgia: the result in context

Hungary beat Georgia 1-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 2 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%2.25
X
24%3.20
2
22%3.30
Double Chance
1X
78%1.31
X2
46%1.65
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.87
No
53%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.72 + 0.49 = 2.21
Over 1.5
71%1.36
Over 2.5
46%2.21
Over 3.5
27%4.00
Under 1.5
29%2.95
Under 2.5
54%1.68
Under 3.5
73%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.6 + 3.6 = 10.2
Over 8.5
56%1.80
Over 9.5
47%2.30
Over 10.5
36%3.13
Under 8.5
44%1.93
Under 9.5
53%1.53
Under 10.5
64%1.27
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.44
Over 4.5
36%2.00
Under 3.5
44%2.62
Under 4.5
64%1.75

Match Events

33'Otar KiteishviliFoul
35'Milos KerkezAssist: Dániel Lukács
45'Irakli Yegoian INGiorgi Kochorashvili out
50'Otar Kiteishvili INAnzor Mekvabishvili out
57'Milan Tóth INDonat Barany out
57'Alex Tóth INMilan Vitális out
63'Georgiy Tsitaishvili INGiorgi Kvernadze out
63'Georges Mikautadze INBudu Zivzivadze out
67'Giorgi KochorashviliFoul
69'Zsolt Nagy INRajmund Tóth out
74'Milos KerkezFoul
76'Giorgi Chakvetadze INZuriko Davitashvili out
80'Dániel Lukács INGabor Jurek out
80'Dominik Szoboszlai INTamás Szűcs out
82'Tamás SzűcsFoul
85'Milan VitálisFoul

Lineups

Hungary
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Rossi
Georgia
3-4-1-2Coach: R. Svanadze
Avg rating7.10
Avg rating6.64
B. Tóth7.11B. Tóth
A. Osváth7.12A. Osváth
W. Orbán7.76W. Orbán
M. Csinger8.03M. Csinger
M. Kerkez8.211M. Kerkez
A. Schäfer7.013A. Schäfer
A. Tóth7.221A. Tóth
M. Tóth6.920M. Tóth
D. Szoboszlai7.210D. Szoboszlai
Z. Nagy6.518Z. Nagy
D. Lukacs7.416D. Lukacs
G. Mamardashvili7.71G. Mamardashvili
S. Goglichidze7.05S. Goglichidze
L. Dvali7.43L. Dvali
L. Lochoshvili6.54L. Lochoshvili
O. Kakabadze6.32O. Kakabadze
I. Yegoian6.818I. Yegoian
O. Kiteishvili6.88O. Kiteishvili
G. Tsitaishvili6.419G. Tsitaishvili
G. Chakvetadze6.910G. Chakvetadze
G. Mikautadze6.222G. Mikautadze
K. Kvaratskhelia6.17K. Kvaratskhelia

Hungary Substitutes

23Á. Doktorics
8M. Vitális57'for Alex Tóth85'6.7
4B. Várkonyi
14R.Tóth69'for Zsolt Nagy7.1
7Tamás Szücs80'for Dominik Szoboszlai82'6.6
19J. Szalai
9D. Bárány57'for Milan Tóth6.3
15Á. Csongvai
12B. Gundel-Takács
17G. Jurek80'for Dániel Lukács6.6
5A. Markgráf
22Á. Pécsi

Georgia Substitutes

21J. Tabidze
20S. Sazonov
14A. Mekvabishvili50'for Otar Kiteishvili6.7
15G. Mamageishvili
12S. Lobzhanidze
17G. Kvernadze63'for Georgiy Tsitaishvili6.3
6G. Kochorashvili45'for Irakli Yegoian67'6.2
23L. Gugeshashvili
9Z. Davitashvili76'for Giorgi Chakvetadze6.6
16G. Abuashvili
11B. Zivzivadze63'for Georges Mikautadze6.5
13D. Kereselidze

Match Stats

HungaryGeorgia
42%Ball Possession58%
8Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards2
24Total Shots8
6Shots on Goal3
11Shots off Goal3
15Shots Inside Box6
9Shots Outside Box2
7Blocked Shots2
18Fouls17
1Offsides4
3Goalkeeper Saves4
324Total Passes470
273Passes Accurate407
17Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

HungaryHungary
GeorgiaGeorgia
1596Elo Rating 1514
1.05Attack 0.14
2.14Defense 2.32
50%Hit Rate 0%
16.1Shots per Game 10.7
4.3Shots on Target 3.3
5.1Corners per Game 4.8
2.6Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

HungaryHungary
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GeorgiaGeorgia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

HungaryHungary
4W3D3L
28/09/2026
Northern IrelandHungary
00
D
25/09/2026
HungaryUkraine
01
L
09/06/2026
HungaryKazakhstan
31
W
05/06/2026
HungaryFinland
21
W
16/11/2025
HungaryRep. Of Ireland
23
L
13/11/2025
ArmeniaHungary
01
W
14/10/2025
PortugalHungary
22
D
11/10/2025
HungaryArmenia
20
W
09/09/2025
HungaryPortugal
23
L
06/09/2025
Rep. Of IrelandHungary
22
D
GeorgiaGeorgia
2W2D6L
28/09/2026
GeorgiaUkraine
00
D
25/09/2026
GeorgiaNorthern Ireland
01
L
05/06/2026
GeorgiaBahrain
20
W
02/06/2026
GeorgiaRomania
11
D
18/11/2025
BulgariaGeorgia
21
L
15/11/2025
GeorgiaSpain
04
L
14/10/2025
TürkiyeGeorgia
41
L
11/10/2025
SpainGeorgia
20
L
07/09/2025
GeorgiaBulgaria
30
W
04/09/2025
GeorgiaTürkiye
23
L

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland42204:0+48DWDW
2HungaryHungary42113:2+17WWDL
3UkraineUkraine41122:5-34LLDW
4GeorgiaGeorgia40220:2-22DLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland44:08
2HungaryHungary43:27
3UkraineUkraine42:54
4GeorgiaGeorgia40:22
PromotionRelegation

About the Hungary vs Georgia forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hungary and Georgia in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Hungary are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 5 points ahead of Georgia in 4th. League goal record so far: Hungary 3-2, Georgia 0-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Hungary and Georgia have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.