Northern Ireland vs Hungary Prediction

Northern Ireland
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Hungary
Puskás Aréna, Budapest·Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea 28/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Away Cards
Away Cards Under 2.5
1.53
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+3.5%
Northern Ireland Rest
3 days
Hungary Rest
3 days

Northern Ireland vs Hungary: the result in context

Northern Ireland and Hungary drew 0-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 28 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea averages 4.32 cards a game, 0.55 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.88
X
29%3.00
2
36%2.65
Double Chance
1X
64%1.46
X2
65%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.05
No
54%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.12 + 1.48 = 2.60
Over 1.5
68%1.50
Over 2.5
43%2.52
Over 3.5
25%5.00
Under 1.5
32%2.62
Under 2.5
57%1.51
Under 3.5
75%1.14
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.7 + 5.1 = 8.8
Over 8.5
55%1.79
Over 9.5
44%2.23
Over 10.5
32%3.08
Under 8.5
45%2.00
Under 9.5
56%1.56
Under 10.5
68%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%1.51
Over 4.5
42%2.10
Under 3.5
39%2.49
Under 4.5
58%1.68

Match Events

16'Ethan GalbraithFoul
31'Isaac PriceFoul
34'Bendeguz Bolla INAttila Osváth out
42'Áron CsongvaiFoul
45+2'Jamie DonleyFoul
45+3'Michael Andrew Martin O'NeillDissent
45+5'Willi OrbánArgument
55'Tamás Szűcs INAlex Tóth out
55'Gabor Jurek INDonat Barany out
70'Jamie Donley INBrodie Spencer out
70'Patrick Kelly INDion Charles out
76'Áron Csongvai INMilan Vitális out
77'Dániel Lukács INMilan Tóth out
77'Shea CharlesFoul
88'Isaac Price INJosh Magennis out

Lineups

Northern Ireland
3-4-2-1Coach: M. O'Neill
Hungary
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Rossi
Avg rating6.44
Avg rating6.68
P. Charles6.51P. Charles
Tom Atcheson7.04T. Atcheson
Ruairi McConville6.915R. McConville
C. Brown6.422C. Brown
T. Hume6.45T. Hume
S. Charles6.819S. Charles
E. Galbraith6.27E. Galbraith
J. Devenny6.23J. Devenny
Patrick Kelly6.316P. Kelly
I. Price6.414I. Price
J. Donley6.010J. Donley
B. Tóth7.11B. Tóth
B. Bolla6.114B. Bolla
W. Orbán6.26W. Orbán
M. Csinger7.23M. Csinger
M. Kerkez7.011M. Kerkez
A. Schäfer6.513A. Schäfer
Á. Csongvai6.415Á. Csongvai
G. Jurek6.517G. Jurek
Tamás Szücs6.77T. Szücs
D. Szoboszlai6.810D. Szoboszlai
D. Lukacs6.316D. Lukacs

Northern Ireland Substitutes

2T. Devlin
6M. Forbes
8D. Charles70'for Patrick Kelly6.1
18B. Graham
12C. Hazard
21J. Magennis88'for Isaac Price6.6
17P. McNair
13K. Morrison
9C. O’Neill
23B. Peacock-Farrell
11P. Smyth
20B. Spencer70'for Jamie Donley6.5

Hungary Substitutes

5A. Markgráf
18Z. Nagy
2A. Osváth34'for Bendeguz Bolla6.8
22Á. Pécsi
4K. Szűcs
21A. Tóth55'for Tamás Szűcs7.2
20M. Tóth77'for Dániel Lukács6.6
19B. Várkonyi
8M. Vitális76'for Áron Csongvai6.6
23Á. Doktorics
9D. Bárány55'for Gabor Jurek6.9
12B. Gundel-Takács

Match Stats

Northern IrelandHungary
36%Ball Possession64%
3Corner Kicks2
4Yellow Cards2
10Total Shots13
3Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal8
5Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots4
15Fouls15
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves3
326Total Passes583
242Passes Accurate489
15Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
HungaryHungary
1523Elo Rating 1596
0.85Attack 1.05
2.72Defense 2.14
39%Hit Rate 50%
11.4Shots per Game 16.1
3.6Shots on Target 4.3
3.6Corners per Game 5.1
1.5Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
HungaryHungary
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
5W0D5L
25/09/2026
GeorgiaNorthern Ireland
01
W
08/06/2026
FranceNorthern Ireland
31
L
04/06/2026
Northern IrelandGuinea
10
W
26/03/2026
ItalyNorthern Ireland
20
L
17/11/2025
Northern IrelandLuxembourg
10
W
14/11/2025
SlovakiaNorthern Ireland
10
L
13/10/2025
Northern IrelandGermany
01
L
10/10/2025
Northern IrelandSlovakia
20
W
07/09/2025
GermanyNorthern Ireland
31
L
04/09/2025
LuxembourgNorthern Ireland
13
W
HungaryHungary
4W2D4L
25/09/2026
HungaryUkraine
01
L
09/06/2026
HungaryKazakhstan
31
W
05/06/2026
HungaryFinland
21
W
16/11/2025
HungaryRep. Of Ireland
23
L
13/11/2025
ArmeniaHungary
01
W
14/10/2025
PortugalHungary
22
D
11/10/2025
HungaryArmenia
20
W
09/09/2025
HungaryPortugal
23
L
06/09/2025
Rep. Of IrelandHungary
22
D
23/03/2025
HungaryTürkiye
03
L

Referee Profile

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea190 matches

4.32Cards per match
4.10Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea4.32
Other referees4.87

4.32 cards a match, 0.55 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.87).

Cards come from 176 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland42204:0+48DWDW
2HungaryHungary42113:2+17WWDL
3UkraineUkraine41122:5-34LLDW
4GeorgiaGeorgia40220:2-22DLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland44:08
2HungaryHungary43:27
3UkraineUkraine42:54
4GeorgiaGeorgia40:22
PromotionRelegation

About the Northern Ireland vs Hungary forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Northern Ireland and Hungary in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Northern Ireland are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 1 point ahead of Hungary in 2nd. League goal record so far: Northern Ireland 4-0, Hungary 3-2. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Northern Ireland and Hungary have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.