Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden Prediction

Stadion Bilino Polje, Zenica·Oleksiy Derevinskiy 02/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.79
SignalSOLIDModel60%SurpriseHighGap+4.3%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Rest
4 days
Sweden Rest
4 days

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden: result, form and history

Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden drew 1-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 2 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.75
X
26%3.60
2
38%2.41
Double Chance
1X
62%1.56
X2
64%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.51
No
44%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.97 + 1.41 = 2.38
Over 1.5
79%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.65
Over 3.5
37%2.50
Under 1.5
21%4.50
Under 2.5
44%2.26
Under 3.5
63%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.1 = 8.8
Over 8.5
55%1.88
Over 9.5
44%2.50
Over 10.5
32%3.41
Under 8.5
45%1.84
Under 9.5
56%1.47
Under 10.5
68%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 1.8 = 4.2
Over 3.5
60%1.52
Over 4.5
40%1.95
Under 3.5
40%2.46
Under 4.5
60%1.79

Match Events

18'Goal cancelledViktor Gyökeres
31'Carl Starfelt INEric Smith out
61'Viktor GyökeresAssist: Alexander Bernhardsson
63'Edin Džeko INHaris Tabaković out
76'Besfort Zeneli INLucas Bergvall out
76'Alexander Bernhardsson INWilliot Swedberg out
76'Ermedin Demirović INJovo Lukić out
76'Ivan Bašić INErmin Mahmić out
80'Kerim Alajbegovic
87'Nikola Katić INZinedin Smajlovic out
87'Kerim Alajbegovic INIvan Šunjić out
90+5'Sebastian Nanasi INKen Sema out

Lineups

Bosnia & Herzegovina
4-4-2Coach: S. Barbarez
Sweden
4-4-2Coach: G. Potter
Avg rating6.57
Avg rating6.89
S. Hamzić6.612S. Hamzić
A. Memić6.715A. Memić
N. Katić6.918N. Katić
T. Muharemović7.04T. Muharemović
S. Kolašinac6.25S. Kolašinac
E. Bajraktarevic6.320E. Bajraktarevic
I. Bašić7.113I. Bašić
A. Gigović6.38A. Gigović
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović7.319K. Alajbegović
E. Demirović6.110E. Demirović
E. Džeko6.111E. Džeko
V. Johansson6.512V. Johansson
E. Skoglund7.014E. Skoglund
C. Starfelt6.615C. Starfelt
V. Lindelöf6.33V. Lindelöf
G. Gudmundsson7.25G. Gudmundsson
A. Bernhardsson7.721A. Bernhardsson
H. Larsson6.720H. Larsson
J. Karlström6.716J. Karlström
S. Nanasi7.219S. Nanasi
B. Zeneli6.522B. Zeneli
V. Gyökeres8.217V. Gyökeres

Bosnia & Herzegovina Substitutes

17L. Đurić
1M. Jurkas
9J. Lukić76'for Ermedin Demirović6.8
16Ermin Mahmić76'for Ivan Bašić6.4
3A. Malic
2N. Mujakić
7N. Omerović
21S. Radeljić
6Z. Smajlović87'for Nikola Katić6.5
14I. Šunjić87'for Kerim Alajbegovic6.4
23H. Tabaković63'for Edin Džeko6.5
22M. Zlomislić

Sweden Substitutes

18S. Dahl
10H. Bolin
2F. Beijmo
23N. Törnqvist
11W. Swedberg76'for Alexander Bernhardsson6.2
8D. Svensson
4E. Smith31'for Carl Starfelt7.1
13K. Sema90+5'for Sebastian Nanasi
1M. Ellborg
7L. Bergvall76'for Besfort Zeneli6.8
9P. Abraham

Match Stats

Bosnia & HerzegovinaSweden
44%Ball Possession56%
4Corner Kicks0
4Total Shots8
2Shots on Goal4
0Shots off Goal2
2Shots Inside Box6
2Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots2
8Fouls11
0Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves1
466Total Passes465
388Passes Accurate407
10Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
SwedenSweden
1554Elo Rating 1648
1.28Attack 1.41
2.10Defense 1.99
46%Hit Rate 63%
9.2Shots per Game 10.4
2.7Shots on Target 3.7
3.0Corners per Game 2.5
2.2Cards per Game 0.9

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SwedenSweden
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Recent Form

Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
4W4D2L
28/09/2026
RomaniaBosnia & Herzegovina
24
W
25/09/2026
PolandBosnia & Herzegovina
00
D
02/07/2026
USABosnia & Herzegovina
20
L
24/06/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaQatar
31
W
18/06/2026
SwitzerlandBosnia & Herzegovina
41
L
12/06/2026
CanadaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
06/06/2026
PanamaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
29/05/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaFYR Macedonia
00
D
31/03/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaItaly
4111
W
26/03/2026
WalesBosnia & Herzegovina
2141
W
SwedenSweden
5W2D3L
28/09/2026
SwedenPoland
31
W
25/09/2026
SwedenRomania
21
W
30/06/2026
FranceSweden
30
L
26/06/2026
JapanSweden
11
D
20/06/2026
NetherlandsSweden
51
L
15/06/2026
SwedenTunisia
51
W
04/06/2026
SwedenGreece
22
D
01/06/2026
NorwaySweden
31
L
31/03/2026
SwedenPoland
32
W
26/03/2026
UkraineSweden
13
W

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwedenSweden43107:3+410WDWW
2Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina42206:3+38WDWD
3PolandPoland41127:4+34LWLD
4RomaniaRomania40043:13-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SwedenSweden47:310
2Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina46:38
3PolandPoland47:44
4RomaniaRomania43:130
PromotionRelegation

About the Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Sweden forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Sweden are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 2 points ahead of Bosnia & Herzegovina in 2nd. League goal record so far: Bosnia & Herzegovina 6-3, Sweden 7-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Bosnia & Herzegovina and Sweden have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.